BMIE Market 60503

Will County, Illinois · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	16,789 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±515 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	5,246 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±268 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	16,717 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	5,441 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$136,726 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±15,247 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	34.9 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$2,274 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±176 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$324,500 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±15,742 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	4.3 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	11 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 60503
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	2.4 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+22.2% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+120.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+266.7% DERIVED: 2004 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	14 (range 11–17) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.6 per year, r² 0.66) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	86 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	84 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	89 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	85 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence Medium · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 60503. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.6 restaurants per year, r² 0.66, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Illinois and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,016, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 86 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	84.1	84	40%	+33.6
Restaurant Opportunity Score	89.2	89	35%	+31.2
Market Momentum Score	84.8	85	25%	+21.2

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 84 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	16,789	78	40%	+31.4
Median household income (ACS)	136,726	94	40%	+37.7
Households (ACS)	5,246	75	20%	+15.0

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 89 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	120	95	35%	+33.1
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	6.6	86	25%	+21.5
Population (ACS)	16,789	78	20%	+15.7
Median household income (ACS)	136,726	94	20%	+18.9

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 85 (Medium confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	22.2	79	50%	+49.3
10-year restaurant growth	120	95	30%	+35.5

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (15)

By cuisine

Bakery 2 · Italian 2 · Mexican 2 · Pizza 2 · American 1 · Asian 1 · Burgers 1 · Dessert 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Indian 1 · Middle Eastern 1 · Sandwiches 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Thai 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 9 · Bakery 2 · Bar 2 · Dessert 2 · Quick service 2 · Casual dining 1 · Food truck 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Bruster's Real Ice Cream Bruster's Real Ice Cream	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Ice cream / frozen desserts	2440 S Eola Rd	open
Carmiecakes	Bakery	Bakery	2345 Summerlin Dr	open
Carnitas El Valle LLC	Food truck	Mexican	21 Hill Ave	open
Dosbros Fresh Mexican Grill & Catering - Aurora DosBros	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	1521 Ogden Ave	open
Idly Vada Bistro	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Indian	1521 Ogden Ave	open
Karolina's Cakes	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	2728 Squaw Valley Trl	open
Maciano's Pizza & Pastaria Maciano's Pizza & Pastaria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	2460 S Eola Rd Ste A	open
McBride's North Mcbride's on 52	Casual dining · Bar		2340 S Eola Rd	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	2230 S Eola Road	open
Papa Saverio's Pizzeria Papa Saverios of Huntley	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	2380 S Eola Rd	open
Papi's Place	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		1842 EllingtonDrive	open
Shawarma licious	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Middle Eastern	2400 S Eola Rd Ste G	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	2380 S. Eola Road Unit 116	open
Thai Orchid	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai · Asian	2460 S Eola Rd	open
Chan's Gourmet	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai · Chinese · Asian	2400 S Eola Rd Ste A	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
2004	3	3	1	2	—	—	NAICS2002
2005	6	6	2	3	1	—	NAICS2002
2006	5	5	2	1	2	—	NAICS2002
2007	5	5	2	2	1	—	NAICS2002
2008	7	6	4	1	1	—	NAICS2007
2009	6	4	3	1	—	1	NAICS2007
2010	6	4	3	1	—	1	NAICS2007
2011	5	5	3	2	—	—	NAICS2007
2012	5	5	3	1	1	—	NAICS2012
2013	6	5	3	2	—	—	NAICS2012
2014	5	3	1	2	—	—	NAICS2012
2015	8	6	3	3	—	—	NAICS2012
2016	11	9	4	5	—	—	NAICS2012
2017	11	9	—	7	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	11	9	—	7	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	10	8	—	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	13	10	3	7	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	10	8	—	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	12	10	—	8	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	12	11	3	7	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 60503. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
60504	2.7 mi	107	2023
60564	3.2 mi	82	2023
60585	3.9 mi	45	2023
60538	4.3 mi	35	2023
60543	4.3 mi	70	2023
60505	4.5 mi	59	2023
60519	4.9 mi	1	1998

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.