BMIE Market 60538
Kendall County, Illinois · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 30,514 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±754 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 10,175 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±556 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 26,619 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 9,324 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $97,131 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4,303 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 35.9 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $1,858 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±218 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $267,300 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±12,882 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 9.7 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 35 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 60538 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 10.5 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | +9.4% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +25.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +94.4% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +75.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 42 (range 36–48) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +1.1 per year, r² 0.61) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 77 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 84 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 74 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 70 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 60538. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +1.1 restaurants per year, r² 0.61, confidence Medium.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. Illinois and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,016, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 77 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 84.5 | 84 | 40% | +33.8 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 73.9 | 74 | 35% | +25.9 |
| Market Momentum Score | 69.6 | 70 | 25% | +17.4 |
Consumer Market Score: 84 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 30,514 | 89 | 40% | +35.7 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 97,131 | 79 | 40% | +31.6 |
| Households (ACS) | 10,175 | 86 | 20% | +17.2 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 74 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 25 | 67 | 35% | +23.6 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 11.5 | 67 | 25% | +16.6 |
| Population (ACS) | 30,514 | 89 | 20% | +17.8 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 97,131 | 79 | 20% | +15.8 |
Market Momentum Score: 70 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | 9.4 | 67 | 50% | +33.5 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 25 | 67 | 30% | +20.2 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 94.4 | 80 | 20% | +15.9 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (70)
By cuisine
American 13 · Mexican 11 · Coffee 6 · Latin American (other) 6 · Sandwiches 5 · Asian 4 · Bakery 4 · Chicken / wings 4 · Dessert 4 · Pizza 4 · Burgers 3 · Chinese 3 · Italian 3 · BBQ 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 2 · Hot dogs 1 · Steakhouse 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 37 · Quick service 20 · Bar 10 · Bakery 7 · Casual dining 7 · Dessert 6 · Coffee shop 5 · Café 3 · Food truck 2 · Specialty food shop 2 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Other 2 · Buffet 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9ers Grill 9er's Grill at Bay City | Casual dining · Bar | Southwestern / Tex-Mex · American | 350 US Highway 30 | open |
| AC Controls | Bar | 2273 Andrew Trl | open | |
| Antojitos Mi Guatemala | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Latin American (other) · Mexican | 1335 Douglas Ave | open |
| Atrevete | Bakery | Bakery | 216 N River St | open |
| Baba's Famous Steak & Lemonade - Montgomery | Other | Sandwiches | 1890 Douglas Rd | open |
| Bar Travis | Bar | American | 195 Holmes Pl | open |
| Buona Buona | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian · Sandwiches | 1230 Ogden Ave | open |
| Burger King Burger King | Quick service | Burgers · American | 1385 Douglas Rd | open |
| Burger King Burger King | Quick service | Burgers · American | 1957 US-30 | open |
| Chinese Wok Chinese Wok | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 1833 Douglas Rd | open |
| Chipotle Mexican Grill Chipotle | Quick service | 1971 US Route 30 | open | |
| Cooper's Hawk Winery & Restaurant Cooper's Hawk Winery & Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar | 998 US-30 | open | |
| Dairy Queen Grill & Chill Dairy Queen | Quick service · Dessert · Casual dining | Ice cream / frozen desserts · American | 1831 Douglas Rd | open |
| Danny Boy's | Bar | 211 N River St | open | |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Coffee shop · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Bakery | Coffee · Juice / smoothies · Dessert | 1050 US Highway 34 | open |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Coffee shop · Quick service · Dessert · Bakery | Coffee · Dessert | 1601 Douglas Rd | open |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Bakery · Quick service · Dessert · Coffee shop | Dessert · Coffee | 1055 S Orchard Rd | open |
| El Costeño | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 702 Montgomery Rd | open |
| Food Market La Chiquita and Taqueria La Chiquita | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 1525 Douglas Rd | open |
| Freddy's Frozen Custard & Steakburgers | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1020 Ogden Ave | open | |
| Gario's Pizza Villa | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 813 Montgomery Rd | open |
| General Mills | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Other | 1370 Orchard Rd | open | |
| George's Restaurant | Casual dining | American | 110 Webster St | open |
| George’s Chicago Red Hot Dogs | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Hot dogs | 1830 Douglas Rd, | open |
| Golden China Buffet Golden China Buffet | Buffet | Chinese · Asian | 1495 Douglas Rd | open |
| Grandma's Table | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 1700 Douglas Rd | open |
| Grumpy Gaucho | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 214 N River St | open | |
| Hacienda El Dorado | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 817 Montgomery Rd | open |
| Homemade with Love inc. | Bakery · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | 1581 Douglas Rd | open |
| J Ray'S Bbq | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ | 3 Codorus Rd | open |
| Jimmy John's Jimmy John's | Quick service · Specialty food shop | Sandwiches | 2085 Orchard Rd | open |
| KFC KFC | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 1701 Douglas Road | open |
| La cocina de Monica | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 2206 Cornell Ave | open |
| La Michoacana Y Antojitos | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 1335 Douglas Ave | open |
| Lakewood Creek Clubhouse | Bar | 2799 Oakmont Dr | open | |
| Los Portales Mexican Food | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 1690 Orchard Rd | open |
| McAlister's Deli McAlister's Deli | Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Sandwiches | 1240 Ogden Ave | open |
| Molotes La Poblanita | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Mexican | 1335 Douglas Ave | open |
| Montgomery Street Eats Festival | Food truck | open | ||
| Number 1 China | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 1864 Douglas Rd | open |
| Papa Johns Papa John's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Pizza | 1550 douglas rd | open |
| Pariente Mix | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1200 Ogden Ave | open | |
| Pig Dog Pub | Casual dining · Bar | 1250 S Broadway | open | |
| Pizza Hut Pizza Hut | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 1837 Douglas Rd Unit D Unit D | open |
| Poor Boy's Pub | Bar · Casual dining | 283 Montgomery Rd | open | |
| Regal Priegel | Bar | 28 Circle Dr W | open | |
| Riverview Diner | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 1420 SE River Rd | open |
| Rosati's Pizza Rosati's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 2083 Orchard Rd | open |
| Select Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 29 Boulder Hill Pass | open | |
| Solver Steakhouse | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Steakhouse | 2332.5 Monarchos Lane | open |
| Sonic Drive In Sonic Drive-In | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 1220 Ogden Avenue | open |
| South Moon BBQ | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ | 211 N River St | open |
| Starbucks Starbucks | Café · Coffee shop · Bakery | Coffee · Bakery | 2080 Orchard Rd | open |
| Starbucks Starbucks | Coffee shop · Café | Coffee | 1991 Hill Ave | open |
| Subway Subway | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 2000 Orchard Road US Rte 30 & Orchard Road | open |
| Sushi Zu Montgomery | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Asian | 1539 Douglas Rd | open |
| Taco Bell Taco Bell | Quick service | Mexican | 1950 Douglas Road | open |
| Tacos 3 Carnales #2 | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 1 Boulder Hill Pass | open |
| Tacos Don Pacua | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 214 N River St | open |
| TamalesPlus | Food truck | 111 S Lake St | open | |
| Tasty Bite | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 1783 Douglas Rd | open |
| The Chicken Coop | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Chicken / wings | 1335 Douglas Ave | open |
| Tortilleria Espiga Del Cielo | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Latin American (other) · Mexican | 105 Saugatuck Rd | open |
| Tropical Smoothie Cafe Tropical Smoothie Cafe | Juice, smoothie, tea · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Juice / smoothies · Coffee | 2001 Orchard Rd | open |
| Walmart Bakery | Bakery | Bakery | 2000 Orchard Rd | open |
| Wendy's Wendy's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 1895 Douglas Rd | open |
| Wingstop Wingstop | Quick service | Chicken / wings · American | 1246 Ogden Ave (In Front Of Menards) | open |
| Wingstop Wingstop | Quick service | Chicken / wings · American | 2086 Orchard Rd. (In front of Walmart) | open |
| Wrigleyville West Pub | Bar | 2364 Riva Ridge Rd | open | |
| Riverstone Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 702 Montgomery Rd | closed |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 21 | 20 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 21 | 20 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 24 | 22 | — | — | — | 2 | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 25 | 23 | — | — | — | 2 | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 23 | 20 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 24 | 22 | 9 | 10 | 3 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 23 | 21 | 8 | 10 | 3 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 20 | 18 | 6 | 8 | 4 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 19 | 18 | 6 | 9 | 3 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 21 | 18 | 8 | 7 | 3 | 3 | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 28 | 25 | 10 | 11 | 4 | 3 | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 34 | 31 | 13 | 15 | 3 | 3 | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 31 | 28 | 12 | 13 | 3 | 3 | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 27 | 24 | 10 | 11 | 3 | 3 | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 31 | 29 | 13 | 12 | 3 | 2 | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 26 | 24 | 11 | 10 | 3 | 2 | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 31 | 28 | 13 | 12 | 3 | 3 | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 28 | 25 | 11 | 11 | 3 | 2 | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 26 | 25 | 7 | 15 | 3 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 29 | 28 | 8 | 17 | 3 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 28 | 26 | 8 | 15 | 3 | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 27 | 24 | 7 | 14 | 3 | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 28 | 26 | 8 | 15 | 3 | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 39 | 36 | 12 | 20 | 4 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 35 | 32 | 12 | 14 | 6 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 32 | 29 | 11 | 12 | 6 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 36 | 33 | 12 | 14 | 7 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 39 | 35 | 15 | 14 | 6 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 40 | 37 | 17 | 15 | 5 | 3 | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 37 | 35 | 17 | 13 | 5 | — | NAICS2022 |