BMIE Market 62563

Sangamon County, Illinois · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	5,766 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±348 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	2,178 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±200 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	5,686 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	2,210 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$117,255 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±12,508 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	45.8 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,391 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±564 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$262,800 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±18,923 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	59.5 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	5 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 62563
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	8.8 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+25.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+400.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	-16.7% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+66.7% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	6 (range 4–8) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.2 per year, r² 0.38) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	77 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	73 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	85 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	73 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 62563. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.2 restaurants per year, r² 0.38, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Illinois and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,016, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 77 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	73.3	73	40%	+29.3
Restaurant Opportunity Score	84.7	85	35%	+29.6
Market Momentum Score	73.2	73	25%	+18.3

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 73 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	5,766	63	40%	+25.1
Median household income (ACS)	117,255	89	40%	+35.8
Households (ACS)	2,178	62	20%	+12.5

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 85 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	400	100	35%	+34.9
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	8.7	78	25%	+19.4
Population (ACS)	5,766	63	20%	+12.5
Median household income (ACS)	117,255	89	20%	+17.9

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 73 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	25	81	50%	+40.4
10-year restaurant growth	400	100	30%	+29.9
20-year restaurant growth	-16.7	15	20%	+2.9

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (17)

By cuisine

American 4 · Dessert 2 · Sandwiches 2 · Bakery 1 · Burgers 1 · Coffee 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Italian 1 · Pizza 1

By type

Casual dining 7 · Restaurant (service type not stated) 7 · Bar 6 · Dessert 3 · Bakery 1 · Café 1 · Other 1 · Quick service 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Buckhart Tavern	Casual dining · Bar	American	11000 Buckhart Rd	open
Cocoa Blue Chocolates	Dessert	Dessert	117 E Main St	open
Frosty Treats	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	330 S State St	open
Greenie's Grill	Casual dining · Bar	Burgers · American	445 State St Ste C	open
Head West Sub Shop	Other	Sandwiches	450 S State St	open
Lighthouse Family Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	201 S Walnut St	open
Mockingbird Bakery	Bakery · Dessert · Café	Bakery · Dessert · Coffee	129 S John St	open
Moore's Service	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	408 E Main St	open
Public House 29	Casual dining · Bar		312 Sattley St	open
Razzos Family Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	129 S John St	open
Sangamon Video Gaming, Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		320 E Main St	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	Route 29 & State St	open
The Alibi	Casual dining · Bar		320 E Main St	open
The Filling Station	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		320 E Main St	open
The Short Stop - Rochester, Illinois	Restaurant (service type not stated)		100 Wild Rose Ln	open
Walnut street Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom		309 S Walnut St	open
Whiskey Ridge Saloon	Casual dining · Bar		11202 Breckenridge Rd	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	3	3	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	4	4	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	6	5	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1997	5	4	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1998	6	4	1	2	1	1	NAICS1997
1999	7	5	2	2	1	1	NAICS1997
2000	7	5	2	2	1	1	NAICS1997
2001	7	4	1	3	—	1	NAICS1997
2002	9	6	2	4	—	1	NAICS1997
2003	8	6	3	2	1	1	NAICS2002
2004	6	4	1	2	1	1	NAICS2002
2005	5	3	1	1	1	1	NAICS2002
2006	7	3	1	1	1	2	NAICS2002
2007	9	5	1	3	1	2	NAICS2002
2008	9	5	1	3	1	2	NAICS2007
2009	10	6	2	3	1	2	NAICS2007
2010	9	5	2	2	1	2	NAICS2007
2011	7	4	1	2	1	1	NAICS2007
2012	7	3	—	2	1	2	NAICS2012
2013	4	1	—	1	—	1	NAICS2012
2014	7	4	2	2	—	1	NAICS2012
2015	8	4	2	2	—	1	NAICS2012
2016	7	4	3	1	—	1	NAICS2012
2017	8	4	3	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	8	4	3	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	7	4	3	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	5	3	—	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	7	4	3	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	8	5	4	—	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	9	5	4	—	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 62563. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
62712	4.9 mi	9	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.