BMIE Market 63021
St. Louis County, Missouri · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 55,666 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,333 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 22,131 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±616 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 56,261 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 22,553 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $120,177 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±5,461 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 40.7 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $1,423 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±53 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $349,500 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±8,456 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 21.8 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 24 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 63021 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 4.3 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | -7.7% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +4.4% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +14.3% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +100.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 26 (range 24–29) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.2 per year, r² 0.25) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 74 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 95 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 78 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 33 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 63021. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.2 restaurants per year, r² 0.25, confidence Low.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. Missouri and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 668, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 74 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 95 | 95 | 40% | +38.0 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 78.4 | 78 | 35% | +27.4 |
| Market Momentum Score | 33.4 | 33 | 25% | +8.4 |
Consumer Market Score: 95 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 55,666 | 98 | 40% | +39.2 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 120,177 | 90 | 40% | +36.1 |
| Households (ACS) | 22,131 | 98 | 20% | +19.7 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 78 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 4.4 | 49 | 35% | +17.2 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 4.3 | 94 | 25% | +23.5 |
| Population (ACS) | 55,666 | 98 | 20% | +19.6 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 120,177 | 90 | 20% | +18.1 |
Market Momentum Score: 33 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | -7.7 | 20 | 50% | +10.2 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 4.4 | 49 | 30% | +14.8 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 14.3 | 42 | 20% | +8.4 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (40)
By cuisine
Pizza 6 · American 5 · Asian 4 · Italian 4 · BBQ 3 · Coffee 3 · Dessert 3 · Seafood 3 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Bakery 1 · British / Irish pub food 1 · Burgers 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Chinese 1 · Hawaiian / Pacific 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Japanese 1 · Noodles / ramen / pho 1 · Sandwiches 1 · Sushi 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 27 · Bar 8 · Quick service 8 · Casual dining 7 · Dessert 4 · Café 2 · Coffee shop 2 · Delivery-focused 2 · Bakery 1 · Buffet 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ASUQUO CAFE | Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Coffee | 509 Red Bridge Ct | open |
| Ballwin Sno-Cone | Dessert · Casual dining · Bar | Dessert | 151 Ries Rd | open |
| Bartolino's Twin Oaks Bartolino's Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Italian · American | 1304 Big Bend Rd | open |
| Cake By Jade | Dessert · Bakery | Dessert · Bakery | 1560 Morning Sun Dr | open |
| China 1 | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Asian | 1393 Big Bend Rd | open |
| Clancy's Irish Pub | Bar | British / Irish pub food | 40 Old State Rd | open |
| Dairy Queen Grill & Chill Dairy Queen | Quick service · Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · American | 1445 Big Bend Rd | open |
| Debz Corner | Casual dining · Bar | 685 Big Bend Rd | open | |
| Domino's Domino's Pizza | Quick service · Delivery-focused | Pizza | 667 Big Bend Road | open |
| Dynasty Restaurants Incorporated | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 647 Big Bend Rd | open | |
| Flowin' Smoke BBQ | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ | 527 Fox Run Estates Ct | open |
| Freddy's Frozen Custard & Steakburgers Freddy's Frozen Custard & Steakburgers | Quick service | Burgers · American | 15676 Manchester Rd | open |
| Hibachi Grill Supreme Buffet | Buffet | Asian | 1282 Old Orchard Ctr | open |
| Hunan & Peking Garden | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Asian · Seafood · Noodles / ramen / pho | 1262 Old Orchard Ctr | open |
| Imo's Pizza Imo's Fans | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 14329 Manchester Rd | open |
| Imo's Pizza Imo's Fans | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 1346 Big Bend Rd | open |
| J & P's Place | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar | open | ||
| Kanwl Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1362 Big Bend Square Shop Ctr | open | |
| KFC KFC | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 101 S. Weidman Rd | open |
| Kreigers | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | 1356 Big Bend Square Shop Ctr | open | |
| Lazy River Grill | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | American | 631 Big Bend Rd | open |
| Mariscos El Gato #2 | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood | 2701 Old State Rd | open |
| Midwest Pasta Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 631 Big Bend Rd | open | |
| Papa Murphy's Papa Murphy's - Jefferson City | Delivery-focused · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 1393 Big Bend Road | open |
| Pizza Hut Pizza Hut | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 1358 Big Bend Rd St. Louis | open |
| Pizza Takeout & Delivery Papa Murphy's | Quick service | open | ||
| Rosemary Coffee Co | Coffee shop · Café | Coffee | 1316 Big Bend Rd | open |
| Sauce on the Side Sauce on the Side | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian · Pizza | 1312-1314 Big Bend Rd | open |
| Shad's Awesome Backyard Grill | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | BBQ | 702 Boleyn Pl | open |
| Show Me Steaks | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood | 245 Old Meramec Station Rd | open |
| Slater Sots Management Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1312 Big Bend Rd | open | |
| Smokee Mo's St. Louis Bbq | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ | 110 Old Meramec Station Rd | open |
| Sonic Drive In Sonic Drive-In | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | American | 601 Big Bend Road | open |
| Subway | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 1362 Big Bend Square | open |
| Tetley USA | Coffee shop | Coffee | 420 April Oaks Ct | open |
| The Mocker Pub & Spa | Bar | 608 Eaglesridge Dr | open | |
| Tropical Sno | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 126 Old Meramec Station Rd | open |
| Wok Express Wok Express | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 647 Big Bend Rd | open |
| Young Monies Unlimited Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1356 Big Bend Square Shop Ctr | open | |
| ZENSHI Handcrafted Sushi Zenshi Sushi | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi · Healthy / salads / bowls · Hawaiian / Pacific | 1393 Big Bend Rd | open |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 18 | 12 | — | — | — | 6 | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 18 | 13 | — | — | — | 5 | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 19 | 16 | — | — | — | 3 | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 26 | 23 | — | — | — | 3 | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 22 | 19 | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 22 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 21 | 15 | 6 | 8 | 1 | 3 | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 21 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 1 | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 22 | 17 | 9 | 7 | 1 | 3 | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 26 | 21 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 3 | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 26 | 24 | 13 | 9 | 1 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 26 | 24 | 11 | 10 | 2 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 26 | 22 | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 29 | 23 | 9 | 10 | 3 | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 29 | 26 | 10 | 11 | 4 | 2 | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 28 | 25 | 13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 27 | 24 | 11 | 8 | 4 | 2 | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 25 | 22 | 10 | 8 | 3 | 2 | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 26 | 22 | 11 | 8 | 2 | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 26 | 23 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 26 | 23 | 10 | 11 | 1 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 30 | 25 | 10 | 13 | 1 | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 27 | 23 | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 29 | 24 | 10 | 10 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 32 | 26 | 11 | 12 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 31 | 23 | 9 | 11 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 32 | 26 | 10 | 12 | 3 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 34 | 27 | 11 | 12 | 3 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 32 | 25 | 10 | 11 | 3 | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 30 | 24 | 8 | 11 | 4 | — | NAICS2022 |