BMIE Market 64128

Jackson County, Missouri · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	11,912 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,169 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	5,320 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±383 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	11,613 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	6,344 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$36,088 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3,646 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	41.9 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±5 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,018 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±89 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$84,600 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±8,333 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	3.0 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	6 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 64128
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	3.4 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-25.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+50.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	-14.3% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	-53.9% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	10 (range 7–12) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.3 per year, r² 0.40) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	50 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	46 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	67 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	33 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 64128. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.3 restaurants per year, r² 0.40, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Missouri and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 668, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 50 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	46.0	46	40%	+18.4
Restaurant Opportunity Score	67.1	67	35%	+23.5
Market Momentum Score	33.1	33	25%	+8.3

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 46 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	11,912	73	40%	+29.3
Median household income (ACS)	36,088	4	40%	+1.7
Households (ACS)	5,320	75	20%	+15.0

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 67 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	50	82	35%	+28.8
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	5.0	92	25%	+22.9
Population (ACS)	11,912	73	20%	+14.7
Median household income (ACS)	36,088	4	20%	+0.8

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 33 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-25	11	50%	+5.4
10-year restaurant growth	50	82	30%	+24.7
20-year restaurant growth	-14.3	15	20%	+3.1

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (26)

By cuisine

Chicken / wings 5 · American 4 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 4 · Seafood 4 · Mexican 3 · Pizza 3 · British / Irish pub food 2 · Chinese 2 · Coffee 2 · Sandwiches 2 · Bakery 1 · BBQ 1 · Burgers 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 19 · Quick service 10 · Coffee shop 2 · Bakery 1 · Café 1 · Casual dining 1 · Specialty food shop 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Big Mouths Chicken Fish Tenderloin	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Chicken / wings	3010 Van Brunt Blvd	open
Brotha's Grill & Convenience Store	Quick service	Sandwiches	2900 E 39th St	open
Delta Trenz	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cajun, Creole, Southern	4200 E 35th St	open
Double Backz Breakfast and Burgers	Restaurant (service type not stated)		3916 Indiana Ave	open
Dunbar Gardens	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	3392 Colorado Ave	open
Fish Town	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	2831 Prospect Ave	open
Hunt Brothers Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	5353 E 39th St	open
J's Fish And Chicken J's Fish & Chicken Market	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings · Seafood · American	2831 Prospect Ave	open
Kajun Fried Fish & Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cajun, Creole, Southern	3631 Prospect Ave	open
King Combo	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	3003 Prospect Ave	open
Linwood Chinese	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	3134 Prospect Ave	open
Lutfi's Fried Fish 3631 Prospect Lutfi's Fried Fish	Restaurant (service type not stated)	British / Irish pub food · Seafood	3631 Prospect Ave	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	3051 Van Brunt Boulevard	open
Neighborhood Market	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	3800 E 39th St	open
Pizza Hut Pizza Hut	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	3116 Prospect Ave Jackson	open
Pizza Hut	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	3010 Van Brunt Blvd	open
Popeyes Popeyes	Quick service	Chicken / wings · Cajun, Creole, Southern	3102 Prospect Ave	open
Precision Bakes	Coffee shop · Café · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	3416 S Benton Ave	open
Sharx Fish & Chicken	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings · Seafood · British / Irish pub food	3029 Prospect Ave	open
St Thomas BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	BBQ	2737 Lister Ave	open
Starbucks	Coffee shop	Coffee	4801 E Linwood Blvd	open
Street Foods 2 Go	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	4416 E 39th St	open
Street tacos Togo	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	4416 E 39th St	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	3030 Van Brunt Blvd	open
The Soul Shack	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cajun, Creole, Southern	4200 E 35th St	open
Wingstop Wingstop	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Chicken / wings	3029 Prospect Ave.	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	13	13	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	11	11	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	12	12	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	10	10	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	10	10	3	7	—	—	NAICS1997
1999	10	10	4	6	—	—	NAICS1997
2000	11	11	6	5	—	—	NAICS1997
2001	7	7	3	4	—	—	NAICS1997
2002	8	8	3	5	—	—	NAICS1997
2003	7	7	1	6	—	—	NAICS2002
2004	6	6	1	5	—	—	NAICS2002
2005	8	8	2	6	—	—	NAICS2002
2006	7	7	—	7	—	—	NAICS2002
2007	6	6	—	6	—	—	NAICS2002
2008	5	5	1	4	—	—	NAICS2007
2009	3	3	1	2	—	—	NAICS2007
2010	4	4	1	3	—	—	NAICS2007
2011	4	4	1	3	—	—	NAICS2007
2012	4	4	1	3	—	—	NAICS2012
2013	4	4	1	3	—	—	NAICS2012
2014	6	6	2	4	—	—	NAICS2012
2015	5	5	1	4	—	—	NAICS2012
2016	5	5	1	4	—	—	NAICS2012
2017	7	7	—	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	8	8	—	7	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	8	8	—	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	8	8	—	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	8	8	—	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	7	7	—	6	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	6	6	—	6	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 64128. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
64127	1.6 mi	19	2023
64109	1.8 mi	10	2023
64130	2.2 mi	18	2023
64129	2.3 mi	3	2022
64126	2.7 mi	2	2016
64124	2.9 mi	10	2023
64110	3.0 mi	27	2023
64108	3.1 mi	108	2023
64111	3.2 mi	105	2023
64106	3.3 mi	46	2023
64123	3.5 mi	9	2023
64125	3.6 mi	7	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.