BMIE Market 64124

Jackson County, Missouri · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	10,925 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,474 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	4,138 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±447 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	12,639 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	5,618 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$46,241 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±8,663 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	30.9 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$970 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±86 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$112,000 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±10,953 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	1.7 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	10 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 64124
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	6.3 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+11.1% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-16.7% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	-33.3% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	-37.5% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	8 (range 4–12) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.1 per year, r² 0.01) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	43 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	47 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	41 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	41 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 64124. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.1 restaurants per year, r² 0.01, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Missouri and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 668, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 43 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	47.4	47	40%	+19.0
Restaurant Opportunity Score	40.8	41	35%	+14.3
Market Momentum Score	40.8	41	25%	+10.2

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 47 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	10,925	72	40%	+28.8
Median household income (ACS)	46,241	11	40%	+4.3
Households (ACS)	4,138	72	20%	+14.3

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 41 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-16.7	15	35%	+5.3
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	9.2	76	25%	+18.9
Population (ACS)	10,925	72	20%	+14.4
Median household income (ACS)	46,241	11	20%	+2.2

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 41 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	11.1	69	50%	+34.5
10-year restaurant growth	-16.7	15	30%	+4.5
20-year restaurant growth	-33.3	9	20%	+1.8

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (44)

By cuisine

Mexican 19 · Latin American (other) 10 · Chicken / wings 5 · Coffee 5 · American 3 · Pizza 3 · African 2 · Asian 2 · Bakery 2 · Burgers 2 · Dessert 2 · BBQ 1 · Breakfast 1 · Chinese 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Japanese 1 · Sandwiches 1 · Sushi 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 30 · Quick service 8 · Food truck 6 · Café 4 · Coffee shop 4 · Bakery 2 · Bar 2 · Dessert 2 · Casual dining 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Angie's International Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	African · American	3537 Independence Ave	open
Baccala	Bar		4704 Independence Ave	open
Charritos Taqueria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	3831 Independence Ave	open
Chihuahua’s Carnitas	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Food truck		5221 E 6th St	open
Core Coffee & Eatery	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	546 Olive St	open
El Indio - Pollos Asados Al Carbon	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Mexican · Chicken / wings	5200 Independence Ave	open
El Paso Del Norte	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Bakery	3430 Independence Ave	open
El Pollo Dorado Al Carbon en Kansas City	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings · Mexican	3009 Independence Ave	open
El Si Hay de Camargo	Quick service	Mexican · Latin American (other)	3511 Independence Ave	open
El taco	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other) · Chicken / wings	5200 Independence Ave	open
Eleos Coffee House	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee · Breakfast	3401 Independence Ave	open
Elvira's Cakes	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	3838 Independence Ave	open
Frutopia Paleteria & Ice cream	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Mexican · Dessert	3737 Independence Ave	open
Gallardo's Restaurante	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · American		open
Gerrys Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated)		4704 Independence Ave	open
Howard's Farm & Kitchen	Café	Coffee · Healthy / salads / bowls	521 Wabash Ave	open
Humdinger Drive-In and Food Truck	Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service		2504 E 9th St	open
Kabashi Hibachi Grill & Sushi Japanese Express	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	801 Prospect Ave	open
KC Birria	Food truck	Mexican	543 Van Brunt Blvd	open
KFC KFC	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	3014 Independence Ave	open
La Hamburguesa Loca	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers · Latin American (other)	3009 Independence Ave	open
La Piña Loka	Quick service	Mexican · Latin American (other)	4838 E 9th St	open
Las Marias	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	4820 Independence Ave	open
Las Tres Palmas	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Pizza	4201 E 9th St	open
Little Caesars Pizza Little Caesars	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	5029 Independence Ave	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	5347 Independence Ave	open
Mesob Pikliz	Restaurant (service type not stated)	African	3405 Independence Ave	open
Musalettis Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings · Pizza	4807 Independence Ave	open
Nicholas Kansas	Coffee shop	Coffee	2904 Independence Ave	open
Northeast Pizza KC	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2203 Lexington Ave	open
PH Coffee	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	2200 Lexington Ave	open
Sonic Drive In Sonic Drive-In	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	American	4200 Independence Avenue	open
Steam Bowl Chinese Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	5017 Independence Ave	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	1831 Independence Ave	open
Tacocina	Restaurant (service type not stated)		3009 Independence Ave	open
Taqueria El Primo De Jalisco	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	5201 Independence Ave	open
Taqueria Hernandez	Food truck	Mexican	4722 Independence Ave	open
Taqueria La Mano	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	605 Cleveland Ave.	open
Taqueria Los 3 Hermanos	Food truck	Mexican · Latin American (other)	3014 Independence Ave	open
Taqueria Monarca	Food truck	Mexican	4509 Independence Ave	open
Taqueria Super Taco	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	3616 Independence Ave	open
The Catrachas Mex	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Latin American (other) · Mexican	4807 Independence Ave	open
The Lodge on Lawn	Bar		419 Lawn Ave	open
Golden Bar	Bar		4222 E 9th St	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	21	16	—	—	—	5	SIC1987
1995	23	18	—	—	—	5	SIC1987
1996	21	18	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1997	21	15	—	—	—	6	SIC1987
1998	19	14	5	9	—	5	NAICS1997
1999	11	9	3	6	—	2	NAICS1997
2000	12	10	3	7	—	2	NAICS1997
2001	13	11	5	6	—	1	NAICS1997
2002	18	14	7	7	—	3	NAICS1997
2003	18	15	5	10	—	2	NAICS2002
2004	14	12	4	8	—	2	NAICS2002
2005	14	11	4	7	—	3	NAICS2002
2006	12	10	3	7	—	2	NAICS2002
2007	14	11	4	7	—	3	NAICS2002
2008	13	11	5	5	1	2	NAICS2007
2009	11	9	4	5	—	2	NAICS2007
2010	10	8	3	5	—	2	NAICS2007
2011	11	9	4	5	—	2	NAICS2007
2012	12	10	3	7	—	2	NAICS2012
2013	14	12	5	7	—	2	NAICS2012
2014	9	8	4	4	—	1	NAICS2012
2015	10	8	4	4	—	1	NAICS2012
2016	10	9	4	4	1	1	NAICS2012
2017	13	11	4	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	12	9	—	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	15	12	4	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	12	9	3	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	11	9	—	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	10	8	—	5	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	12	10	3	5	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 64124. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
64123	1.1 mi	9	2023
64127	1.2 mi	19	2023
64106	1.7 mi	46	2023
64120	2.3 mi	6	2023
64125	2.4 mi	7	2023
64126	2.6 mi	2	2016
64105	2.8 mi	31	2023
64128	2.9 mi	6	2023
64108	3.0 mi	108	2023
64109	3.2 mi	10	2023
64101	3.3 mi	5	2023
64116	3.5 mi	54	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.