BMIE Market 64120

Jackson County, Missouri · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	552 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±152 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	412 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±117 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	369 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	239 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$76,833 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±38,146 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	29.5 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,737 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±198 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$38,000 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±24,435 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	7.9 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	6 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 64120
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	243.9 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-33.3% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-33.3% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	-57.1% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	-50.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	2 (range 0–6) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.5 per year, r² 0.60) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	24 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	39 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	20 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	7 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 64120. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.5 restaurants per year, r² 0.60, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Missouri and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 668, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 24 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	38.8	39	40%	+15.5
Restaurant Opportunity Score	20.3	20	35%	+7.1
Market Momentum Score	7.3	7	25%	+1.8

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 39 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	552	23	40%	+9.1
Median household income (ACS)	76,833	58	40%	+23.1
Households (ACS)	412	33	20%	+6.6

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 20 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-33.3	9	35%	+3.2
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	108.7	4	25%	+1.0
Population (ACS)	552	23	20%	+4.5
Median household income (ACS)	76,833	58	20%	+11.6

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 7 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-33.3	8	50%	+4.1
10-year restaurant growth	-33.3	9	30%	+2.8
20-year restaurant growth	-57.1	2	20%	+0.4

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (26)

By cuisine

American 4 · Burgers 3 · Sandwiches 3 · Breakfast 2 · Bakery 1 · BBQ 1 · Coffee 1 · Italian 1 · Mexican 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 14 · Bar 6 · Quick service 5 · Casual dining 3 · Other 2 · Winery / distillery / taproom 2 · Bakery 1 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Café 1 · Food truck 1 · Specialty food shop 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Bar K Dog Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated)		501 Berkley Pkwy	open
Bimbo Bakeries	Bakery	Bakery	6501 E Commerce Ave	open
Black & McDonald Black & McDonald Limited	Quick service	Burgers	6001 E Front St	open
Burger King	Quick service		7125 E Front St	open
Chickie's & Pete's KC Chickie's & Pete's	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1800 E Front St	open
Denny's	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Breakfast · Sandwiches · Coffee · American	6887 E Front St	open
Diamond W BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · American	2715 Rochester Ave	open
Farmer's Pick Buffet	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service		1800 East Front Street	open
General Mills Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Other		2917 Guinotte Ave	open
Grace's Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2924 Nicholson Ave	open
Headlights Bar & Grill	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	1036 N Agnes Ave	open
Johnny C's Deli & Pasta	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Italian · Sandwiches	7012 Universal Ave	open
Li'l Guy Foods	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	1717 N Topping Ave	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	6701 E Front St	open
Pigwich	Food truck		2618 Guinotte Ave	open
Ranch Bar & Grill Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		4200 Gardner Ave	open
Show Pony	Restaurant (service type not stated)		151 Berkley Plz	open
Smuggler's Inn	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	1650 Universal Ave	open
Southern Glazer's Wine Spirits	Winery / distillery / taproom		6201 Stilwell St	open
Subway Restaurants	Other	Sandwiches	6507 E Front St	open
The Hey Hey Club	Bar		2700 Guinotte Ave	open
The Historic Heim Brewery	Brewery / taproom · Bar		2800 Guinotte Ave	open
The Monogram Lounge	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		2700 Guinotte Ave	open
Thyssenkrupp	Bar		6100 Stilwell St	open
Two Birds One Stone Two Birds One Stone	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar		1000 Riverfront Drive	open
Waffle House Waffle House	Casual dining	American · Breakfast	6840 E Front St	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	13	12	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1995	13	13	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	14	13	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1997	17	16	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1998	22	19	9	8	2	1	NAICS1997
1999	17	14	7	6	1	1	NAICS1997
2000	17	14	7	6	1	1	NAICS1997
2001	15	12	5	6	1	1	NAICS1997
2002	15	13	5	8	—	1	NAICS1997
2003	18	14	4	10	—	1	NAICS2002
2004	17	13	4	9	—	1	NAICS2002
2005	15	12	3	9	—	1	NAICS2002
2006	14	11	3	8	—	1	NAICS2002
2007	12	9	2	7	—	1	NAICS2002
2008	11	9	2	7	—	1	NAICS2007
2009	12	10	2	8	—	1	NAICS2007
2010	11	9	3	6	—	1	NAICS2007
2011	12	10	3	7	—	1	NAICS2007
2012	12	10	4	6	—	1	NAICS2012
2013	11	9	3	6	—	1	NAICS2012
2014	11	9	4	5	—	1	NAICS2012
2015	10	8	4	4	—	1	NAICS2012
2016	10	8	3	4	1	1	NAICS2012
2017	12	10	4	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	11	9	4	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	10	7	4	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	7	4	—	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	10	4	—	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	12	4	—	—	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	13	6	3	—	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 64120. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
64123	1.5 mi	9	2023
64117	2.1 mi	20	2023
64125	2.3 mi	7	2023
64124	2.3 mi	10	2023
64126	3.2 mi	2	2016
64053	3.3 mi	2	2016
64116	3.4 mi	54	2023
64127	3.4 mi	19	2023
64106	3.6 mi	46	2023
64161	3.8 mi	3	2023
64054	4.1 mi	14	2023
64105	4.5 mi	31	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.