BMIE Market 64134

Jackson County, Missouri · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	22,964 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,773 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	8,836 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±549 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	21,973 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	9,316 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$58,170 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±8,560 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	33.9 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,308 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±63 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$156,400 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±8,190 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	11.9 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	12 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 64134
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	6.4 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-25.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-25.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	-33.3% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	-14.3% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	15 (range 11–20) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.0 per year, r² 0.00) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	44 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	61 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	49 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	11 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 64134. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.0 restaurants per year, r² 0.00, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Missouri and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 668, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 44 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	60.8	61	40%	+24.3
Restaurant Opportunity Score	48.8	49	35%	+17.1
Market Momentum Score	10.7	11	25%	+2.7

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 61 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	22,964	84	40%	+33.5
Median household income (ACS)	58,170	27	40%	+10.6
Households (ACS)	8,836	83	20%	+16.6

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 49 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-25	12	35%	+4.1
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	5.2	91	25%	+22.7
Population (ACS)	22,964	84	20%	+16.8
Median household income (ACS)	58,170	27	20%	+5.3

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 11 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-25	11	50%	+5.4
10-year restaurant growth	-25	12	30%	+3.5
20-year restaurant growth	-33.3	9	20%	+1.8

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (31)

By cuisine

American 7 · Burgers 3 · Mediterranean 3 · Pizza 3 · Coffee 2 · Latin American (other) 2 · Middle Eastern 2 · Asian 1 · British / Irish pub food 1 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Chinese 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Indian 1 · Italian 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Mexican 1 · Sandwiches 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 18 · Bar 7 · Quick service 7 · Casual dining 3 · Café 2 · Dessert 1 · Food truck 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Antojitos El Paraiso	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Latin American (other)	11308 Blue Ridge Blvd	open
Aruba Mediterranean Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mediterranean	9520 James A Reed Rd	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	10517 Blue Ridge Blvd	open
CaliKc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		9530 James A Reed Rd	open
Church's Texas Chicken Church's Chicken	Quick service	Chicken / wings · Cajun, Creole, Southern	11500 Blue Ridge Boulevard	open
Courtney's Cabbage Gas Factory	Bar	American	6209 E 101st St	open
El Rincon Latino	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Latin American (other) · American	6841 Longview Rd	open
Elwaha Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	6841 Longview Rd	open
Fish City	Restaurant (service type not stated)	British / Irish pub food	11513 Blue Ridge Blvd	open
GJ Fish and Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	6807 Longview Rd	open
KTM Indo-Mediterranean Grill & Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Indian	9520 James A Reed Rd	open
La Huerta Snack City	Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Café	Juice / smoothies · Ice cream / frozen desserts · Coffee	6845 Longview Rd	open
Legends Events Space	Bar	American	6809 Longview Rd	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	11001 Hickman Mills Dr	open
Mix It Private Bartending Service	Bar		11124 Blue Ridge Blvd	open
Olive Cafe	Café	Mediterranean · Middle Eastern · Coffee	9530 James A Reed Rd	open
One Block East	Bar		11802 Blue Ridge Blvd	open
Paul's Drive In	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers · American	10424 Blue Ridge Blvd	open
Peppermill Lounge South	Casual dining · Bar		11612 Hickman Mills Dr	open
Pizza Hut Pizza Hut	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	9515 Blue Ridge Ext	open
Rancho Benjamin	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service		10600 Raytown Rd	open
RENDEZVOUS LOUNGE	Bar		11816 Blue Ridge Blvd	open
Richey's Club	Bar		11527 Hickman Mills Dr	open
Sonic Drive In Sonic Drive-In	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	10455 Blue Ridge Blvd	open
Southside Mafia Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	10328 Blue Ridge Blvd	open
Spring China	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	6821 Longview Rd	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	10401 Blue Ridge Blvd	open
Taqueria El Pariente/ Food truck	Food truck	Mexican	11818 Blue Ridge Blvd	open
The Olive Zaytoona	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Middle Eastern · Mediterranean	8015 Bannister Rd	open
Wingstreet	Restaurant (service type not stated)		9515 Blue Ridge Blvd	open
Gold Bar Lounge	Bar		10516 Blue Ridge Blvd	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	19	14	—	—	—	5	SIC1987
1995	17	12	—	—	—	5	SIC1987
1996	21	13	—	—	—	8	SIC1987
1997	25	17	—	—	—	8	SIC1987
1998	23	15	7	8	—	8	NAICS1997
1999	23	15	6	9	—	8	NAICS1997
2000	17	11	6	5	—	6	NAICS1997
2001	18	13	5	7	1	5	NAICS1997
2002	20	14	6	7	1	6	NAICS1997
2003	23	18	9	7	1	5	NAICS2002
2004	26	21	12	7	1	4	NAICS2002
2005	22	18	9	6	2	3	NAICS2002
2006	23	18	10	6	1	4	NAICS2002
2007	22	17	11	6	—	4	NAICS2002
2008	20	15	10	5	—	4	NAICS2007
2009	18	15	9	6	—	3	NAICS2007
2010	18	14	6	8	—	4	NAICS2007
2011	13	12	4	8	—	1	NAICS2007
2012	16	15	6	9	—	1	NAICS2012
2013	17	16	7	9	—	1	NAICS2012
2014	16	14	5	9	—	2	NAICS2012
2015	17	15	5	10	—	2	NAICS2012
2016	16	14	5	9	—	1	NAICS2012
2017	16	14	5	9	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	18	16	7	9	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	18	17	8	9	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	19	18	9	9	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	20	19	8	9	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	16	14	6	7	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	14	12	5	7	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 64134. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
64138	2.7 mi	14	2023
64137	3.0 mi	5	2023
64030	3.9 mi	37	2023
64081	4.3 mi	36	2023
64132	4.5 mi	7	2023
64149	4.6 mi	—
64065	4.7 mi	—
64131	5.0 mi	30	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.