BMIE Market 64138

Jackson County, Missouri · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	23,805 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,618 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	10,465 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±593 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	25,294 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	11,220 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$58,638 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±8,575 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	40.1 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,152 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±85 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$188,400 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±10,284 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	13.3 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	14 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 64138
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	6.3 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-6.7% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+7.7% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	-22.2% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	-56.3% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	16 (range 14–18) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.2 per year, r² 0.34) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	54 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	62 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	63 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	29 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 64138. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.2 restaurants per year, r² 0.34, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Missouri and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 668, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 54 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	62.0	62	40%	+24.8
Restaurant Opportunity Score	62.7	63	35%	+21.9
Market Momentum Score	28.8	29	25%	+7.2

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 62 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	23,805	84	40%	+33.8
Median household income (ACS)	58,638	27	40%	+10.9
Households (ACS)	10,465	86	20%	+17.3

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 63 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	7.7	52	35%	+18.2
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	5.9	89	25%	+22.2
Population (ACS)	23,805	84	20%	+16.9
Median household income (ACS)	58,638	27	20%	+5.5

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 29 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-6.7	21	50%	+10.7
10-year restaurant growth	7.7	52	30%	+15.6
20-year restaurant growth	-22.2	13	20%	+2.6

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (33)

By cuisine

Chicken / wings 6 · Coffee 5 · American 4 · Asian 3 · Burgers 3 · Mexican 3 · Seafood 3 · Chinese 2 · Pizza 2 · Sandwiches 2 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 2 · Bakery 1 · BBQ 1 · Breakfast 1 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · Dessert 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Japanese 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 20 · Quick service 10 · Coffee shop 5 · Bar 4 · Café 3 · Dessert 2 · Bakery 1 · Casual dining 1 · Specialty food shop 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Azteca Mexican	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	7534 Raytown Rd	open
Baskin-robbins	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	8722 Blue Ridge Blvd	open
Big T's Bar B Q	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	9409 Blue Ridge Blvd	open
Bluto’s Fish And Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings · Seafood · American	9260 Blue Ridge Blvd	open
Cairo's Fried Fish & Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings · American	7600 E 88th St	open
China King 88 .inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	8781 Blue Ridge Blvd	open
Church's Texas Chicken Church's Chicken	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	9325 Blue Ridge Boulevard	open
Dutch Bros Coffee Dutch Bros Coffee Jackson County	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	10025 E 350 Hwy	open
Dwights Cigar KC	Bar		7500 Oldham Rd	open
E 350 Hwy Scooter's Coffee	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	10105 E 350 Hwy	open
Freddy's Frozen Custard & Steakburgers Freddy's Frozen Custard & Steakburgers	Quick service	Burgers · American	10019 E 350 Hwy	open
IHOP RayTown	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast	10000 E MO-350	open
KC Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers · Pizza	8793 Blue Ridge Blvd Ste B	open
Little Caesars Little Caesars	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Pizza	8700 Blue Ridge Blvd	open
Luna's Chicken and Seafood	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · Chicken / wings	8793 Blue Ridge Blvd Ste B	open
Mad Cakes	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	10402 E State Rte 350	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	7700 E 87th St	open
Panda Express Panda Express México	Quick service	Chinese · Asian	10139 E 350 Hwy	open
Pearl's Lounge	Bar		8736 Blue Ridge Blvd	open
Phase 2 Coffee Co.	Coffee shop	Coffee	13212 E 75th St	open
Popeyes Popeyes Louisiana Kitchen	Quick service	Chicken / wings · Cajun, Creole, Southern	7601 Raytown Rd	open
Premier Sports Bar & Grill	Bar		11400 E State Route 350	open
Rincon Tarasco	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	7534 Raytown Rd	open
Sam & Faruque Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		9325 Blue Ridge Blvd	open
Scooter's Coffee Drive-Thru Scooter's Coffee	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	10105 E State Route 350	open
Sharx Fish & Chicken (Blue Ridge Blvd)	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings · Seafood	8785 Blue Ridge Blvd	open
Shitaki Grill	Casual dining · Bar	Asian · Japanese	8821 E 92nd St	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee	8779 Hillcrest Rd	open
Steak'M Take'M	Quick service		8729 Blue Ridge Blvd	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	8793 Blue Ridge Blvd Ste A	open
Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Specialty food shop	Sandwiches	10300 East 350 Hwy	open
Tenderfix By Noah Schnapp	Quick service		10000 E State Route 350	open
Texas Toms	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Mexican · American	9425 Blue Ridge Blvd	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	35	32	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1995	26	24	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1996	27	25	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1997	29	27	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1998	32	28	13	12	2	1	NAICS1997
1999	30	25	10	13	1	1	NAICS1997
2000	28	22	10	9	2	2	NAICS1997
2001	23	19	9	8	1	2	NAICS1997
2002	24	19	8	9	1	2	NAICS1997
2003	24	18	7	7	3	2	NAICS2002
2004	19	15	8	5	2	2	NAICS2002
2005	18	13	7	4	2	2	NAICS2002
2006	22	17	8	8	1	2	NAICS2002
2007	22	18	10	7	—	2	NAICS2002
2008	21	18	8	7	2	2	NAICS2007
2009	23	20	9	9	1	2	NAICS2007
2010	19	16	5	9	1	2	NAICS2007
2011	20	17	5	10	1	2	NAICS2007
2012	16	14	5	8	—	2	NAICS2012
2013	14	13	3	9	—	1	NAICS2012
2014	14	13	3	9	—	1	NAICS2012
2015	13	12	4	8	—	1	NAICS2012
2016	14	13	3	10	—	1	NAICS2012
2017	13	12	3	9	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	16	15	5	10	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	17	15	7	8	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	16	14	7	7	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	18	14	6	8	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	19	14	6	7	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	18	14	6	7	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 64138. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
64134	2.7 mi	12	2023
64133	3.3 mi	48	2023
64139	3.6 mi	1	2011
64065	3.7 mi	—
64132	3.9 mi	7	2023
64137	4.6 mi	5	2023
64136	4.7 mi	4	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.