BMIE Market 64157
Clay County, Missouri · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 23,030 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,146 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 7,748 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±412 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 16,122 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 5,686 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $149,526 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±8,087 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 38.4 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $2,169 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±290 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $386,400 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±17,963 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 10.8 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 37 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 64157 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 15.5 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | +23.3% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +32.1% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +208.3% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +3,600.0% DERIVED: 1996 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 38 (range 34–42) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.7 per year, r² 0.62) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 81 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 88 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 73 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 80 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 64157. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.7 restaurants per year, r² 0.62, confidence Medium.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. Missouri and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 668, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 81 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 88.1 | 88 | 40% | +35.3 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 73.5 | 73 | 35% | +25.7 |
| Market Momentum Score | 80.3 | 80 | 25% | +20.1 |
Consumer Market Score: 88 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 23,030 | 84 | 40% | +33.5 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 149,526 | 96 | 40% | +38.4 |
| Households (ACS) | 7,748 | 81 | 20% | +16.2 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 73 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 32.1 | 72 | 35% | +25.3 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 16.1 | 49 | 25% | +12.2 |
| Population (ACS) | 23,030 | 84 | 20% | +16.8 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 149,526 | 96 | 20% | +19.2 |
Market Momentum Score: 80 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | 23.3 | 80 | 50% | +39.8 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 32.1 | 72 | 30% | +21.7 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 208.3 | 95 | 20% | +18.9 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (62)
By cuisine
American 11 · Coffee 9 · Bakery 6 · Burgers 6 · Dessert 5 · Pizza 5 · Asian 4 · Juice / smoothies 4 · Mexican 4 · Sandwiches 4 · Breakfast 3 · Chicken / wings 3 · Italian 3 · Japanese 3 · Middle Eastern 2 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 2 · Sushi 2 · Chinese 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Mediterranean 1 · Noodles / ramen / pho 1 · Steakhouse 1 · Thai 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 37 · Quick service 17 · Café 9 · Casual dining 9 · Bakery 6 · Bar 6 · Dessert 6 · Coffee shop 5 · Juice, smoothie, tea 4 · Catering 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 54th Street Scratch Grill and Bar 54th Street Grill & Bar | Casual dining · Bar | American | 9251 NE Barry Rd | open |
| Back Yard Burgers | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 9800 NE Barry Rd | open |
| Barista de Casa Cafe | Café | Coffee | 8900 NE Flintlock Rd | open |
| Bob Evans | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Breakfast | 8501 N Church Rd | open |
| Buffalo Wild Wings Buffalo Wild Wings | Bar · Casual dining | American | 9207 Northeast M-152 Highway The Plaza at Shoal Creek | open |
| Burger King Burger King | Quick service | Burgers · American | 9650 NE Barry Rd | open |
| Capriotti's Sandwich Shop Capriotti's Sandwich Shop | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 10406 NE Cookingham Dr Ste 102 | open |
| Chili's Grill & Bar | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 9600 NE Barry Rd. | open | |
| Chipotle Mexican Grill Chipotle Mexican Grill | Quick service | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 8700 NE Flintlock Rd | open |
| Crumbl - Liberty | Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bakery | Dessert · Bakery | 8420 N Church Rd | open |
| Dairy Queen Dairy Queen | Dessert · Quick service | Ice cream / frozen desserts · American | 10350 Ne Cookingham Dr 10350 Ne Cookingham Dr | open |
| Freddy's Frozen Custard & Steakburgers Freddy's Frozen Custard & Steakburgers | Quick service | Burgers · American | 9800 NE Barry Rd. | open |
| Hometown Nutrition | Juice, smoothie, tea | Juice / smoothies | 9758 N Ash Ave | open |
| It's Just Wings | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 9600 NE Barry Rd. | open |
| Jake’s Bar and Grill | Casual dining · Bar | Ne 115th terr | open | |
| Kam Sheng | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 9774 N Ash Ave | open |
| La Fuente Mexican Restaurant La Fuente Smithville | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 8801 NE Cookingham Dr | open |
| Lemon Tree Frozen Yogurt | Dessert | Dessert | 8676 NE Flintlock Rd | open |
| Liberty Whataburger | Quick service | 8607 NE 85th St | open | |
| Liberty West Noodles & Company | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 9140 NE Barry Road | open | |
| Lilo's Shaved Ice | Dessert | Dessert | 8690 N Flintlock Rd | open |
| LongHorn Steakhouse LongHorn Steakhouse | Casual dining · Bar | Steakhouse · American | 9400 NE Barry Rd | open |
| Marco's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 8706 NE Flintlock Rd | open |
| Masabi Japanese Sushi Bar & Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi · Asian | 9763 N Cedar Ave | open |
| MAVI Casual Italian | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian | 8678 NE Flintlock Rd | open |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 9851 Ne Barry Rd | open |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 9701 N Ash Ave | open |
| Meddys Meddys | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mediterranean · Middle Eastern | 8636 NE 85th St Ste H | open |
| Meshuggah Bagels | Bakery | Bakery | 8600 NE 85th St Suite 101 | open |
| Moonlight Sushi Bar & Grill | Casual dining · Bar | Japanese · Sushi | 8678 NE Flintlock Rd | open |
| Natural Bowl & Grill Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 8702 NE Flintlock Rd | open | |
| Nicky's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 9771 N Cedar Ave | open |
| Noodles & Company Noodles & Company | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Noodles / ramen / pho | 9140 NE Barry Rd | open |
| Old Wok | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Asian · Thai | 8702 NE Flintlock Rd | open |
| Panera Bread Panera Bread | Bakery · Café | Bakery · Sandwiches · Coffee | 8580 Church Road | open |
| Pizza Hut Pizza Hut | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 9220 NE Barry Road Clay | open |
| Pizza Hut Pizza Hut | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 10440 NE Cookingham Dr | open |
| Pizza Shoppe Pizza Shoppe | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 8584 N Church Rd | open |
| QDOBA Mexican Eats | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 9300 NE Barry Rd | open |
| Red Door Woodfired Grill Red Door Woodfired Grill | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | American | 9703 N Ash Ave | open |
| Scooter's Coffee Scooter's Coffee | Coffee shop · Juice, smoothie, tea · Café | Coffee · Juice / smoothies | 10841 N Stark Ave | open |
| Sonic Drive In Sonic Drive-In | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers · American | 10101 N.E. Cookingham Road | open |
| Starbucks Starbucks | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 9220 NE Barry Rd | open |
| Starbucks Starbucks | Coffee shop · Café · Bakery | Coffee · Bakery | 10410 NE Cookingham Dr | open |
| Starbucks Coffee Company Starbucks | Coffee shop · Café | Coffee | 8623 NE 85th St | open |
| Stark Ave & NE Cookingham Dr Scooter's Coffee | Coffee shop · Café | Coffee | 10841 N Stark Ave | open |
| Steak 'n Shake Steak 'n Shake | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 9500 NE Barry Rd | open |
| Subway Subway | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 8564 N Church Rd | open |
| Subway Subway | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 9776 North Ash | open |
| Swig Swig | Juice, smoothie, tea · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Juice / smoothies | 9705 N Ash Ave | open |
| Tastefully Simple Consultant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 8419 NE 109th Pl | open | |
| Teriyaki Madness Teriyaki Madness | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Asian · Japanese | 10408 NE Cookingham Dr | open |
| The Halal Guys | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Middle Eastern | 8702 NE Flintlock Rd | open |
| Tiki Taco TikiTaco | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Mexican · American | 9711 N Ash Ave #101 | open |
| Triple D Bakery | Bakery · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | 9911 N Skiles Ave | open |
| Tropical Smoothie Cafe Tropical Smoothie Cafe | Juice, smoothie, tea · Quick service · Café | Juice / smoothies · Coffee | 8634 NE 85th St | open |
| Urban Egg - Liberty Urban Egg - Liberty | Catering | Breakfast | 8653 NE 85th St | open |
| Waffle House Waffle House | Casual dining | Breakfast · American | 9700 NE Barry Rd | open |
| Whataburger | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | 8607 NE 85th St | open | |
| Wingstop | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 8566 N Church Rd | open |
| Your Dessert Diva | Bakery · Dessert · Café | Bakery · Dessert · Coffee | 9601 N Evanston Ave | open |
| Zaxby's Zaxby's | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Chicken / wings | 10430 Ne Cookingham Dr | open |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1996 | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 2 | 2 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 1 | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 2 | 2 | 2 | — | — | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 4 | 4 | 3 | — | 1 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 1 | — | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 11 | 11 | 5 | 6 | — | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 12 | 12 | 6 | 6 | — | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 18 | 18 | 8 | 9 | 1 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 18 | 18 | 9 | 8 | 1 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 21 | 21 | 10 | 10 | 1 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 22 | 22 | 11 | 11 | — | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 27 | 27 | 14 | 12 | 1 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 22 | 22 | 13 | 8 | 1 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 25 | 25 | 13 | 10 | 2 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 23 | 23 | 13 | 8 | 2 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 23 | 23 | 13 | 9 | 1 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 28 | 28 | 15 | 12 | 1 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 29 | 28 | 15 | 10 | 3 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 30 | 30 | 15 | 12 | 3 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 29 | 28 | 14 | 12 | 2 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 27 | 27 | 13 | 12 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 30 | 30 | 13 | 16 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 32 | 31 | 13 | 17 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 32 | 30 | 13 | 15 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 32 | 31 | 14 | 15 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 35 | 32 | 12 | 17 | 3 | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 38 | 37 | 13 | 19 | 5 | — | NAICS2022 |