BMIE Market 64158

Clay County, Missouri · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	7,317 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,029 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	2,663 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±343 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	5,161 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	2,156 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$105,043 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±33,505 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	37.1 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,598 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±105 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$371,800 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±25,972 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	2.3 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	16 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 64158
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	25.2 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+23.1% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+45.5% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+220.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+1,500.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	17 (range 14–19) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.3 per year, r² 0.40) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	73 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	73 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	66 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	82 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 64158. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.3 restaurants per year, r² 0.40, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Missouri and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 668, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 73 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	73.1	73	40%	+29.3
Restaurant Opportunity Score	65.9	66	35%	+23.1
Market Momentum Score	82.4	82	25%	+20.6

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 73 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	7,317	66	40%	+26.5
Median household income (ACS)	105,043	84	40%	+33.6
Households (ACS)	2,663	65	20%	+13.1

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 66 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	45.5	79	35%	+27.7
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	21.9	33	25%	+8.2
Population (ACS)	7,317	66	20%	+13.2
Median household income (ACS)	105,043	84	20%	+16.8

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 82 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	23.1	79	50%	+39.7
10-year restaurant growth	45.5	79	30%	+23.7
20-year restaurant growth	220	95	20%	+19.0

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (34)

By cuisine

Coffee 4 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 3 · Pizza 3 · American 2 · Asian 2 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 2 · Chicken / wings 2 · Dessert 2 · Healthy / salads / bowls 2 · Mexican 2 · Sandwiches 2 · Bakery 1 · Breakfast 1 · Burgers 1 · Chinese 1 · Indian 1 · Italian 1 · Japanese 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Mediterranean 1 · Middle Eastern 1 · Spanish / tapas 1 · Sushi 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 21 · Quick service 7 · Bar 5 · Café 4 · Dessert 3 · Coffee shop 2 · Bakery 1 · Buffet 1 · Delivery-focused 1 · Fast casual 1 · Specialty food shop 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Andy's Frozen Custard Andy's Frozen Custard	Dessert · Quick service	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	8585 NE Shoal Creek Valley Dr	open
Applebee's LIBERTY	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	8350 N Church Rd	open
Arby's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	8261 N Oxford St	open
Buffalo Wild Wings	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	9207 NE Highway 152	open
Cheddar's Scratch Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	8380 N Booth Ave	open
Chicken Salad Chick Chicken Salad Chick	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Fast casual	Healthy / salads / bowls · Cajun, Creole, Southern	8311 N Booth Ave	open
Cold Stone Creamery Cold Stone Creamery	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	9300 NE 83rd Ter	open
Corner Cafe At Barry Pointe Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		8301 N Flintlock Rd	open
Cracker Barrel Cracker Barrel Old Country Store	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	8225 North Church Rd. I-35 & State Route 152	open
First Watch First Watch	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Breakfast · Coffee	8758 NE 82nd Terrace	open
Jerusalem Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Mediterranean · Middle Eastern · Coffee	9263 NE 83rd Ter	open
Joy Wok	Buffet	Asian · Sushi · Japanese	8320 N Church Rd	open
KFC KFC	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	9551 NE 83rd Ter	open
Kings indian cuisine	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Indian	8250 N Oxford St	open
LaRocca Family Tavern	Bar		7439 N Sycamore Ave	open
Liberty Brothers Enterprises Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		8320 N Church Rd	open
Lions Choice	Quick service		8880 NE 82nd Ter	open
Mochinut Liberty Missouri	Restaurant (service type not stated)		AAA, 9205 NE Hwy 152	open
N Flintlock Rd & NE 82nd Terrace Scooter's Coffee	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	8248 N Flintlock Rd	open
Old Chicago Pizza & Taproom	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	8251 N Booth Ave	open
Old Chicago Pizza + Taproom	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	8251 N Booth Ave	open
Osteria Bianchi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	9261 NE 83rd Terrace	open
Panda Express Panda Express México	Quick service	Chinese · Asian	9241 Ne Hwy 152	open
Pepperjax Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)		9263 NE 83rd Ter	open
Schlotzsky's	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Sandwiches	9300 NE Barry Rd	open
Scooter's Coffee Scooter's Coffee	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	8248 N Flintlock Rd	open
Smoothie King Smoothie King	Juice, smoothie, tea · Delivery-focused	Juice / smoothies · Healthy / salads / bowls	9269 NE 83rd Terrace	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	9301 NE Highway 152	open
Tanner's Bar And Grill - Liberty, Mo	Restaurant (service type not stated)		8250 N Church Rd	open
Ted's Cafe Escondido	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	8300 North Booth Ave	open
Trago Bar & Tapas	Bar	Spanish / tapas	9261 NE 83rd Ter	open
Walmart Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	8301 N Church Rd	open
Yogurtini Shoal Creek Yogurtini	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Ice cream / frozen desserts	8375 N Booth Ave	open
Smokebox Bbq	Bar		8250 N Church Rd	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	1	1	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	1	1	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	3	3	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	3	3	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	6	6	4	2	—	—	NAICS1997
1999	7	7	5	2	—	—	NAICS1997
2000	9	9	7	2	—	—	NAICS1997
2001	7	7	6	1	—	—	NAICS1997
2002	5	5	4	—	—	—	NAICS1997
2003	6	5	4	—	—	—	NAICS2002
2004	7	7	4	1	—	—	NAICS2002
2005	7	7	4	2	—	—	NAICS2002
2006	8	8	4	3	—	—	NAICS2002
2007	11	11	6	4	—	—	NAICS2002
2008	8	8	3	5	—	—	NAICS2007
2009	12	12	4	8	—	—	NAICS2007
2010	13	13	6	7	—	—	NAICS2007
2011	12	11	5	6	—	—	NAICS2007
2012	10	10	5	5	—	—	NAICS2012
2013	11	11	5	6	—	—	NAICS2012
2014	12	12	5	7	—	—	NAICS2012
2015	13	13	6	6	—	—	NAICS2012
2016	16	16	7	7	1	—	NAICS2012
2017	14	14	7	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	13	13	5	7	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	12	12	6	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	14	14	6	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	14	14	6	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	15	15	6	6	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	16	16	7	6	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 64158. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
64119	2.4 mi	43	2023
64157	3.0 mi	37	2023
64156	3.3 mi	3	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.