BMIE Market 70814

East Baton Rouge Parish, Louisiana · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	11,921 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,094 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	4,941 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±332 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	14,514 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	5,533 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$51,529 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3,480 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	42.2 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,122 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±95 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$188,300 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±13,798 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	8.9 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	12 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 70814
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	11.7 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-14.3% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-20.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	-25.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	-53.9% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	14 (range 11–18) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.1 per year, r² 0.04) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	38 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	51 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	41 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	14 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 70814. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.1 restaurants per year, r² 0.04, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Louisiana and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 362, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 38 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	50.9	51	40%	+20.3
Restaurant Opportunity Score	40.8	41	35%	+14.3
Market Momentum Score	14.3	14	25%	+3.6

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 51 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	11,921	73	40%	+29.3
Median household income (ACS)	51,529	17	40%	+6.7
Households (ACS)	4,941	74	20%	+14.8

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 41 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-20	14	35%	+4.8
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	10.1	72	25%	+18.0
Population (ACS)	11,921	73	20%	+14.7
Median household income (ACS)	51,529	17	20%	+3.4

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 14 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-14.3	16	50%	+7.9
10-year restaurant growth	-20	14	30%	+4.1
20-year restaurant growth	-25	12	20%	+2.3

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (44)

By cuisine

Cajun, Creole, Southern 8 · Seafood 8 · Chicken / wings 5 · Mexican 5 · American 3 · BBQ 3 · Pizza 3 · Sandwiches 3 · Bakery 2 · Burgers 2 · Coffee 2 · Dessert 2 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 2 · Chinese 1 · Latin American (other) 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 27 · Quick service 13 · Bar 5 · Bakery 2 · Café 2 · Casual dining 2 · Dessert 2 · Food truck 2 · Catering 1 · Delivery-focused 1 · Specialty food shop 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Al Smith Catering	Restaurant (service type not stated)		4650 Coral Dr	open
Baby Dolls Cafe	Café	Coffee	7869 Greenwell Springs Rd	open
Beaux Tie BBQ	Catering · Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	3834 Ridgemont Dr	open
Best Poboys & Seafood	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	9330 Greenwell Springs Rd	open
Big Ed’s Eatery	Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated)		8588 Greenwell Springs Rd	open
Cafe Jeanpierre	Restaurant (service type not stated)		10500 Greenwell Springs Rd	open
Capital Wok	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	3636 N Sherwood Forest Dr	open
Church's Texas Chicken Church's Chicken	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	5460 Airline Highway	open
Cravin Seafood Boil 2	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · Cajun, Creole, Southern	3636 N Sherwood Forest Dr Ste 300c	open
Creole Kitchen Baker	Restaurant (service type not stated)		Main Street	open
Daiquiri Cafe	Café · Bar	Coffee	8501 Greenwell Springs Rd	open
Deli Mom Seafood	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Seafood · Sandwiches	9824 Greenwell Springs Rd	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Delivery-focused · Quick service	Pizza	8910 Greenwell Springs Rd	open
Golden Chick Golden Chick	Quick service	Chicken / wings · American	9445 Greenwell Springs Rd	open
Jack in the Box	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Burgers	10982 Greenwell Springs Rd	open
JB Boiling	Casual dining	Seafood · American	3636 N Sherwood Forest Dr	open
Jerry Lee's Cajun Foods	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cajun, Creole, Southern	12181 Greenwell Springs Rd	open
KFC KFC	Quick service		9445 Greenwell Springs Road	open
Krispy Krunchy Chicken - Save More 3	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	10982 Greenwell Springs Rd	open
Larry's Donuts	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert · Bakery	3636 N Sherwood Forest Dr	open
LTK Seafood	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · Cajun, Creole, Southern	11008 Toledo Bend Ave	open
Mariscos El Pacifico Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Mexican	8142 Greenwell Springs Rd	open
Mary Lee Donuts Mary Lee Donuts - Ponchatoula	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert · Bakery	12187 Greenwell Springs Rd	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	9470 Greenwell Springs Rd	open
Patti's Pool Palace	Bar		8401 Greenwell Springs Rd	open
Phat Boy'z Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	9186 Greenwell Springs Rd	open
Pizza Hut	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	4505 N Sherwood Forest Dr	open
Popeyes Popeyes Louisiana Kitchen	Quick service	Chicken / wings · Cajun, Creole, Southern	9376 Greenwell Springs Rd	open
Quick Stuff	Restaurant (service type not stated)		10982 Greenwell Springs Rd	open
Rack	Bar		8401 Greenwell Springs Rd	open
Ryaan's Grill	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cajun, Creole, Southern	3636 N Sherwood Forest Dr c300	open
Side Of Road Seafood	Restaurant (service type not stated)		12197 Greenwell Springs Rd	open
Smokey Watson BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern	9932 Greenwell Springs Rd	open
Southern Boilers	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · Cajun, Creole, Southern	9774 Greenwell Springs Rd	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	7664 Airline Highway	open
Subway Subway	Quick service	Sandwiches	9776 Greenwell Springs Rd Suite A	open
Sunny’s Snoballs & Concessions	Food truck		8844 Greenwell Springs Rd	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	9409 Greenwell Springs Rd	open
Taqueria El Famoso Taco Loco LLC	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	8154 Greenwell Springs Rd	open
Uncle E's Hot Wings & Things	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	3070 Monterrey Dr	open
Villa del Mar	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Latin American (other) · Seafood · Mexican	2885 Monterrey Dr	open
Wendy's	Quick service		9774 Greenwell Springs Rd	open
Wrookies	Bar		9702 Greenwell Springs Rd	open
Zea's Rotisserie & Grill Zea Cafe	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	BBQ		open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	30	26	—	—	—	4	SIC1987
1995	21	19	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1996	23	18	—	—	—	5	SIC1987
1997	31	26	—	—	—	5	SIC1987
1998	28	24	8	15	1	4	NAICS1997
1999	29	24	9	14	1	5	NAICS1997
2000	21	17	4	12	1	4	NAICS1997
2001	23	20	6	13	1	3	NAICS1997
2002	20	18	4	13	1	2	NAICS1997
2003	18	16	2	13	1	2	NAICS2002
2004	16	14	1	12	1	2	NAICS2002
2005	16	14	3	10	1	2	NAICS2002
2006	15	13	2	10	1	2	NAICS2002
2007	16	12	2	9	1	2	NAICS2002
2008	16	13	2	11	—	2	NAICS2007
2009	18	15	2	13	—	2	NAICS2007
2010	20	17	3	14	—	2	NAICS2007
2011	21	18	4	13	1	2	NAICS2007
2012	20	17	4	12	1	2	NAICS2012
2013	18	15	2	12	1	2	NAICS2012
2014	15	12	1	10	1	2	NAICS2012
2015	13	10	1	8	1	2	NAICS2012
2016	14	11	1	9	1	2	NAICS2012
2017	17	14	—	11	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	17	14	—	11	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	17	14	—	11	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	19	15	—	12	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	18	15	—	12	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	16	13	—	11	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	15	12	—	10	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 70814. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
70815	2.1 mi	38	2023
70812	3.1 mi	1	2016
70819	3.3 mi	1	2016
70818	4.0 mi	33	2023
70816	4.5 mi	102	2023
70806	4.5 mi	75	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.