BMIE Market 72908

Sebastian County, Arkansas · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	14,288 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,081 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	5,906 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±462 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	13,378 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	5,779 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$72,732 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±11,348 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	41.4 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$940 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±81 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$197,000 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±20,488 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	7.7 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	19 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 72908
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	11.2 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-9.5% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+26.7% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+375.0% DERIVED: 1995 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	20 (range 17–22) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.0 per year, r² 0.00) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	52 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	66 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	52 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	30 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 72908. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.0 restaurants per year, r² 0.00, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Arkansas and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 342, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 52 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	66.2	66	40%	+26.5
Restaurant Opportunity Score	52.5	52	35%	+18.4
Market Momentum Score	30.0	30	25%	+7.5

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 66 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	14,288	76	40%	+30.3
Median household income (ACS)	72,732	51	40%	+20.5
Households (ACS)	5,906	77	20%	+15.4

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 52 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	0	35	35%	+12.3
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	13.3	59	25%	+14.8
Population (ACS)	14,288	76	20%	+15.2
Median household income (ACS)	72,732	51	20%	+10.3

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 30 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-9.5	19	50%	+9.5
10-year restaurant growth	0	35	30%	+10.5
20-year restaurant growth	26.7	50	20%	+10.0

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (36)

By cuisine

American 6 · Pizza 6 · Coffee 4 · Dessert 4 · Breakfast 3 · Italian 3 · Mexican 3 · Asian 2 · Chicken / wings 2 · Bakery 1 · Burgers 1 · Chinese 1 · Hot dogs 1 · Sandwiches 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Thai 1 · Vietnamese 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 23 · Dessert 4 · Quick service 4 · Bar 3 · Casual dining 3 · Coffee shop 3 · Bakery 2 · Café 2 · Buffet 1 · Food truck 1 · Specialty food shop 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
A & A Management Services, Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		8901 Jenny Lind Rd Ste 2a	open
Anthony's Italian Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	3115 Cavanaugh Rd	open
Asian Bistro	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	2503 Market Trce	open
Ava's at Fianna	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	American	8901 Jenny Lind Rd	open
Bob's Dogs	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Hot dogs · American	6107 S 31st St	open
Casey's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	8800 Jenny Lind Rd	open
Cavanaugh Pizza	Buffet · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	3111 Cavanaugh Rd	open
Chester's Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	3401 Cavanaugh Rd	open
Da' Bayou Snowballs	Dessert	Dessert	2700 Market Trce	open
Daylight Donuts	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert	7826 Highway 71 S	open
El Rodeo	Restaurant (service type not stated)		7824 Highway 71 S	open
El Super Taco	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	4100 Brooken Hill Dr	open
Fast Rack Modern Cycling Solutions Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2312 Ingersol Cir	open
Geno's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	8801 Jenny Lind Rd	open
Green Papaya on Hwy 271 S	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Vietnamese · Asian	6301 US-271	open
JoJos Grind Premium Coffee	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	5111 Rogers Ave	open
Krispy Krunchy Chicken Krispy Krunchy Chicken	Quick service		7914 Highway 271 S	open
Krispy Krunchy Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	4101 Brooken Hill Drive	open
La Fiesta	Restaurant (service type not stated)		7824 Highway 71 S	open
La Mesa on Hwy 271	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	6500 Highway 271 S	open
Larry's Pizza Larry's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	6400 Highway 71 S	open
Lewis' Family Restaurant	Casual dining	American	5901 U.S. 71 South	open
Long Donuts	Bakery · Dessert · Café	Dessert · Coffee · Bakery	8901 Jenny Lind Rd Ste 14A	open
M & A Supply	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	6007 S 29th St	open
Mai Pad Thai Cuisine	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai · Mexican	4100 Brooken Hill Dr	open
Marco's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	2505 Market Trce	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · Breakfast	9200 US-71	open
Pig Barn Bbq	Food truck		9105 Highway 71 S	open
Regorson	Bar		7032 Texas Rd	open
San Rafael Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		7824 Highway 71 S	open
Sonic Drive-In Sonic Drive-In	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	3100 S. Zero	open
Starbucks	Coffee shop	Coffee	3850 Park South Rd	open
The Brain Freeze & Coffee Shop	Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Coffee	5901 AR-71 S	open
The Egg of Fort Smith	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast · American	3801 Planters Rd	open
Waffle House Waffle House	Casual dining	Breakfast · American	9009 US-71	open
Whattya Do Y'all	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		6924-7036, US-71 BUS	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1995	4	4	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	8	7	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1997	9	9	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	10	7	5	2	—	2	NAICS1997
1999	14	10	7	3	—	3	NAICS1997
2000	18	14	7	6	1	3	NAICS1997
2001	17	13	6	6	1	3	NAICS1997
2002	16	15	7	8	—	1	NAICS1997
2003	17	15	6	8	—	2	NAICS2002
2004	18	16	8	6	1	2	NAICS2002
2005	17	14	7	5	1	3	NAICS2002
2006	16	15	7	6	1	1	NAICS2002
2007	18	17	10	5	1	1	NAICS2002
2008	16	14	8	5	1	2	NAICS2007
2009	17	15	8	6	1	2	NAICS2007
2010	18	15	8	6	1	3	NAICS2007
2011	16	14	9	4	1	2	NAICS2007
2012	18	15	8	6	1	2	NAICS2012
2013	22	19	11	7	1	2	NAICS2012
2014	21	19	10	7	2	1	NAICS2012
2015	20	20	12	6	2	—	NAICS2012
2016	20	20	11	7	2	—	NAICS2012
2017	22	21	13	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	22	21	14	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	21	21	14	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	21	20	12	5	3	—	NAICS2017
2021	19	18	12	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	22	21	14	5	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	20	19	12	6	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 72908. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
72916	3.2 mi	11	2023
72901	3.9 mi	72	2023
72903	4.1 mi	114	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.