BMIE Market 74116

Tulsa County, Oklahoma · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	3,617 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±378 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	1,454 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±140 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	3,890 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	1,777 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$55,156 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±11,247 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	34.5 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±5 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$783 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±158 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$156,200 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±24,821 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	18.0 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	9 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 74116
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	28.3 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-25.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+50.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+80.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	9 (range 6–13) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.1 per year, r² 0.04) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	36 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	42 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	34 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	29 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 74116. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.1 restaurants per year, r² 0.04, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Oklahoma and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 436, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 36 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	42	42	40%	+16.8
Restaurant Opportunity Score	34.4	34	35%	+12.0
Market Momentum Score	28.9	29	25%	+7.2

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 42 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	3,617	55	40%	+22.1
Median household income (ACS)	55,156	22	40%	+8.7
Households (ACS)	1,454	56	20%	+11.2

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 34 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	0	35	35%	+12.3
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	24.9	27	25%	+6.7
Population (ACS)	3,617	55	20%	+11.1
Median household income (ACS)	55,156	22	20%	+4.4

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 29 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-25	11	50%	+5.4
10-year restaurant growth	0	35	30%	+10.5
20-year restaurant growth	50	65	20%	+13.0

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (30)

By cuisine

Mexican 9 · Latin American (other) 6 · Sandwiches 5 · American 4 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 3 · Burgers 2 · Breakfast 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Chinese 1 · Coffee 1 · Dessert 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 18 · Bar 6 · Quick service 5 · Casual dining 4 · Other 2 · Bakery 1 · Buffet 1 · Café 1 · Coffee shop 1 · Dessert 1 · Food truck 1 · Specialty food shop 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
All About Tacos	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	1444 N Mingo Rd	open
Antojitos Bety	Food truck	Mexican · Latin American (other)	1014 N Garnett Rd	open
Arby's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	16415 E Admiral Pl	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	16504 E Admiral Pl	open
Casa Amigos Mexican Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Latin American (other)	11223 E Admiral Pl	open
Catoosa Deli	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Sandwiches	1528 N 166th E Ave A	open
Champs Chicken	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	3800 N Mingo Rd	open
Cielito Lindo Mexican Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Latin American (other)	10707 E Pine St	open
Daylight Donuts	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert	11124 E Admiral Pl	open
Duke's Bar and Grill	Casual dining · Bar		16002 E Pine St	open
Envios y paqueteria TULSA #1	Restaurant (service type not stated)		Oklahoma St, Tulsa, OK 74116, United States	open
Golden Corral Golden Corral Puerto Rico	Quick service · Buffet		68 N Mingo Rd	open
Knuckleheads Bar & Grill	Casual dining · Bar		16002 E Pine St	open
La Raza Tacos	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	16136 E Admiral Pl	open
Lil Brown's	Bar		11114 E Admiral Pl	open
Lot A Burger	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	1208 N Mingo Rd	open
New China	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	152 N Garnett Rd	open
No Place Sports Bar	Bar		11730 E Admiral Pl	open
QT 71	Coffee shop · Café · Bar	Coffee		open
S&t Manufacturing	Restaurant (service type not stated)		17407 E Pine St	open
Sami's Pizza and Hamburgers	Casual dining	American · Breakfast	4591 N Mingo Rd	open
Sazón Michoacano	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	11118 E Admiral Pl	open
Subway	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	3600 N Mingo Rd, #526	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	222 N Garnett Rd	open
Taco Del Mar Taco Del Mar Seattle	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	3900 N Mingo Rd	open
Tacos El Sabroso	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	11714 E Admiral Pl	open
Taqueria y pupuseria Lulú"	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Latin American (other) · Mexican	11 N Garnett Rd	open
The Amsterdam Room	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		1010 N Garnett Rd	open
The Burger Den	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Other	Sandwiches · Mexican · Burgers	121 North 129 East Ave	open
Raven's International Bistro	Casual dining		222 N Garnett Rd	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	6	5	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1995	6	5	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1996	10	8	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1997	8	7	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1998	12	10	4	5	1	1	NAICS1997
1999	14	11	4	6	1	2	NAICS1997
2000	14	12	4	7	1	1	NAICS1997
2001	14	9	2	6	1	2	NAICS1997
2002	17	7	1	5	1	3	NAICS1997
2003	12	6	—	5	1	2	NAICS2002
2004	12	6	1	4	1	2	NAICS2002
2005	13	7	1	5	1	2	NAICS2002
2006	14	9	2	6	1	1	NAICS2002
2007	10	8	2	5	1	—	NAICS2002
2008	12	9	2	6	1	1	NAICS2007
2009	13	11	3	7	1	1	NAICS2007
2010	13	11	3	7	1	1	NAICS2007
2011	14	9	1	7	1	2	NAICS2007
2012	15	9	1	7	1	2	NAICS2012
2013	15	9	1	7	1	2	NAICS2012
2014	14	9	1	7	1	2	NAICS2012
2015	18	11	2	8	1	2	NAICS2012
2016	16	11	1	8	2	2	NAICS2012
2017	17	12	—	10	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	17	12	—	10	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	17	12	—	10	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	16	11	—	8	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	13	10	—	9	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	9	7	—	5	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	11	9	—	7	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 74116. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
74128	2.9 mi	16	2023
74115	3.8 mi	30	2023
74112	4.4 mi	35	2023
74108	4.5 mi	2	2016
74129	4.6 mi	31	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.