BMIE Market 74128

Tulsa County, Oklahoma · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	13,751 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±864 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	4,480 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±199 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	12,676 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	5,193 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$52,195 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±5,003 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	29.7 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,109 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±60 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$120,100 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4,900 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	3.6 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	16 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 74128
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	13.4 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+6.7% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+6.7% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	-11.1% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	-11.1% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	17 (range 14–20) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.2 per year, r² 0.19) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	52 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	52 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	53 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	50 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 74128. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.2 restaurants per year, r² 0.19, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Oklahoma and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 436, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 52 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	51.8	52	40%	+20.7
Restaurant Opportunity Score	53.0	53	35%	+18.5
Market Momentum Score	50.4	50	25%	+12.6

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 52 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	13,751	75	40%	+30.1
Median household income (ACS)	52,195	18	40%	+7.1
Households (ACS)	4,480	73	20%	+14.5

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 53 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	6.7	51	35%	+17.9
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	11.6	66	25%	+16.5
Population (ACS)	13,751	75	20%	+15.1
Median household income (ACS)	52,195	18	20%	+3.6

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 50 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	6.7	63	50%	+31.7
10-year restaurant growth	6.7	51	30%	+15.3
20-year restaurant growth	-11.1	17	20%	+3.3

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (52)

By cuisine

Mexican 17 · Latin American (other) 10 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 6 · Juice / smoothies 5 · American 4 · Bakery 3 · Burgers 3 · Dessert 3 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 3 · Chicken / wings 2 · Pizza 2 · Seafood 2 · Asian 1 · Breakfast 1 · Caribbean 1 · Chinese 1 · Italian 1 · Japanese 1 · Sandwiches 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 31 · Dessert 8 · Quick service 8 · Food truck 5 · Juice, smoothie, tea 5 · Bar 4 · Bakery 3 · Casual dining 3 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
A&W Restaurant	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	1956 S Garnett Rd	open
Asian Cuisine Asian Cuisine	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	1920 S Garnett Rd	open
Braum's	Dessert	Dessert	10159 E 11th St	open
Braum's Ice Cream & Dairy Store Braums	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert · American	1308 S Garnett Rd	open
Cajun Boilers	Food truck		E 21st St and S Garnett	open
Captain D's	Quick service		1825 S Garnett Rd	open
Charolazzo's Express	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		11730 E 11th St S	open
Cicis Tulsa	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1918 S Garnett Rd	open
Cocina Mexicana El Gallo Loco y Carniceria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	1060 S Mingo Rd	open
CRAZY churros	Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert	Juice / smoothies · Ice cream / frozen desserts	21 S Garnett Rd	open
Crudoolandia Tulsa Crudoolandia	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Seafood	1901 S Garnett Rd	open
Denny's	Casual dining	American	11720 E 11th St	open
Ditch Witch of Tulsa	Bar		10901 E 11th St S	open
Don Pollo	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings · Latin American (other)	1940 S Garnett Rd	open
Dulce bocado	Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert	Juice / smoothies · Ice cream / frozen desserts	11165 E 31st s	open
Dulce Sabor Neveria y Paleteria	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Ice cream / frozen desserts	1060 S Mingo Rd	open
Eggcellent & Things Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)		11710 E 11th St	open
El Buen Sazon Centro Americano	Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies	9768 E 11th St	open
El Hidalguense Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	1060 S Mingo Rd F	open
El Ranchero Restaurant & catering	Quick service		1060 S Mingo Rd Ste J	open
Emilee's Papaya	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Food truck		1801 S Garnett Rd	open
Happy's Bar	Bar		1111 S 124th E Ave	open
Hibachi Sushi Super Buffet	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Japanese · American		open
La Isla	Food truck	Latin American (other) · Caribbean	10150 E 11th St	open
Las Lomas Cocina Mexicana y Tortilleria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Latin American (other)	1918 S Garnett Rd	open
Lucky Star Restaurant, Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1920A S Garnett Rd	open
Magic Cakes LLC	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	12406 E 11th St	open
Mariscos El Centenario	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · Mexican · Latin American (other)	1744 S Garnett Rd	open
Mazzio's Pizza Mazzio's Pizza Tahlequah	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	1125 S Garnett Rd	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	1829 S Garnett Rd	open
Molcajetes Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	1125 S Garnett Rd	open
Neveria La Tapatia	Dessert · Juice, smoothie, tea	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Mexican · Juice / smoothies	1938 S Garnett Rd	open
Palladium Bar	Bar		11730 E 11th St S	open
Pancho Anaya Bakery	Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea	Bakery · Mexican · Juice / smoothies	40 S Garnett Rd	open
Platillos El Quetzal	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Latin American (other)	10150 E 11th St	open
Pollos Asados A La Leña	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Chicken / wings	10550 E 11th St	open
Pro Sprinkler	Restaurant (service type not stated)		10338 E 11th St	open
Rodrigo’s Taco Shop	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	1956 S Garnett Rd	open
Sonic Drive-In	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	11231 E 11th St	open
Specialty Bakery Of Tulsa	Bakery	Bakery	12320 E Skelly Dr	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	1148 S Garnett Rd	open
Super Tacos El Chihuas	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	10705 E 11th St	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	1810 S Garnett Rd	open
Taco Bueno	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	11710 E 11th St	open
Tacos El Pirata	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	11444 E 20th St	open
Taqueria & Marisqueria Jalisco	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	11720 E 11th St	open
Taqueria El Chilango	Restaurant (service type not stated)		OK-66, Tulsa, OK 74128, United States	open
Taqueria Express	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	1738 S Garnett Rd	open
Taqueria Juquila	Food truck · Quick service	Mexican	9701 E 11th St S	open
Tulsa cuéntame	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Ice cream / frozen desserts	1060 S Mingo Rd	open
Waffle House Waffle House	Casual dining	Breakfast · American	10516 E 11th St	open
Royal T’s Bistro	Casual dining		10150 E 11th St	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	20	18	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1995	18	15	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1996	14	13	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1997	17	14	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1998	19	17	6	11	—	2	NAICS1997
1999	18	17	6	10	1	1	NAICS1997
2000	17	16	4	11	1	1	NAICS1997
2001	17	16	5	10	1	1	NAICS1997
2002	19	16	4	11	1	1	NAICS1997
2003	21	18	6	11	1	1	NAICS2002
2004	22	21	7	13	1	—	NAICS2002
2005	21	20	5	14	1	—	NAICS2002
2006	19	18	5	12	1	—	NAICS2002
2007	17	17	5	10	2	—	NAICS2002
2008	16	16	5	9	1	—	NAICS2007
2009	16	16	4	10	1	—	NAICS2007
2010	17	17	6	9	1	—	NAICS2007
2011	15	15	4	9	1	—	NAICS2007
2012	16	15	4	9	1	1	NAICS2012
2013	16	15	4	9	1	1	NAICS2012
2014	16	15	4	9	1	1	NAICS2012
2015	14	13	3	8	1	1	NAICS2012
2016	15	14	4	8	1	1	NAICS2012
2017	16	15	5	8	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	16	15	5	9	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	15	14	4	9	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	14	13	4	7	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	16	15	5	7	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	20	18	4	8	5	—	NAICS2022
2023	17	16	3	8	4	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 74128. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
74129	1.9 mi	31	2023
74116	2.9 mi	9	2023
74112	2.9 mi	35	2023
74146	3.3 mi	44	2023
74108	3.4 mi	2	2016
74134	3.9 mi	11	2023
74145	4.1 mi	50	2023
74115	4.8 mi	30	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.