BMIE Market 74134

Tulsa County, Oklahoma · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	23,323 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,258 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	8,576 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±425 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	15,083 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	6,211 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$73,119 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3,288 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	34.7 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,041 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±56 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$230,700 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±13,066 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	12.1 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	11 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 74134
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	3.3 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+10.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+37.5% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	-8.3% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	-35.3% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	14 (range 12–16) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.5 per year, r² 0.70) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	70 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	71 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	77 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	60 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 74134. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.5 restaurants per year, r² 0.70, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Oklahoma and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 436, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 70 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	70.9	71	40%	+28.4
Restaurant Opportunity Score	76.9	77	35%	+26.9
Market Momentum Score	60.1	60	25%	+15.0

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 71 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	23,323	84	40%	+33.6
Median household income (ACS)	73,119	52	40%	+20.8
Households (ACS)	8,576	83	20%	+16.5

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 77 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	37.5	76	35%	+26.6
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	4.7	93	25%	+23.2
Population (ACS)	23,323	84	20%	+16.8
Median household income (ACS)	73,119	52	20%	+10.4

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 60 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	10	68	50%	+33.8
10-year restaurant growth	37.5	76	30%	+22.8
20-year restaurant growth	-8.3	17	20%	+3.5

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (27)

By cuisine

Mexican 6 · Dessert 5 · Bakery 3 · Burgers 3 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 3 · Latin American (other) 3 · American 1 · Asian 1 · Breakfast 1 · Coffee 1 · Italian 1 · Korean 1 · Pizza 1 · Sandwiches 1 · Seafood 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1 · Vietnamese 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 17 · Dessert 6 · Bakery 3 · Bar 2 · Food truck 2 · Quick service 2 · Café 1 · Coffee shop 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
ALPHA GRILL Bbq & Wings	Restaurant (service type not stated)		14002 E 21st St	open
Atrium Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	14002 E 21st St	open
Beyond Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	14002 E 21st St S	open
Braum's Ice Cream and Dairy Store Braums	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	3126 S 129th E Ave	open
Burger Island	Restaurant (service type not stated)		14002 E 21st St	open
Daylight Donuts	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert · Breakfast · Bakery	3171 S 129th E Ave	open
El Pueblito Food Truck	Food truck	Mexican	3141 S 129th East Ave	open
Harden's Hamburgers	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	14002 E 21st St	open
IHOP	Restaurant (service type not stated)		3111 S 129th Ave	open
Lo Banh Mi Viet Hot Bread	Juice, smoothie, tea · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Tea / bubble tea · Vietnamese	3151 S 129th E Ave	open
Marco's Pizza Marco's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	12913 E 31st St	open
Mariscos Mexico El Abuelo Carlos	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · Latin American (other)	3141 S 129th Ave E	open
NASCAR Refuel Tenders & Burgers	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	3111 S 129th Ave	open
Neveria y Paleteria La Tropical	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Mexican · Dessert	3151 S 129th E Ave	open
Pupuseria Y Taqueria La SalvadoreÑA	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Latin American (other) · Mexican	2140 S 129th E Ave	open
Restaurante y Pasteleria Mexico I love cake	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	3141 S 129th E Ave	open
Seoul Bistro	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Korean · Asian	3161 S 129th East Ave	open
Sonic Drive In Sonic Drive-In	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	3017 S 129Th Street East Ave	open
SONIC Drive In	Quick service		3017 S. 129Th Street East Aven	open
Spirit 76 tavern	Bar		3161 S 129th E Ave	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	14002 E 21st St Ste 1100	open
SUITI Artisan Cheesecakery, LLC	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	4217 S 132nd Ave E	open
Tacos Los Arellano	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	2828 S 129th Ave E	open
Tacos Mere's LLC.	Food truck	Mexican	3160 S 129th East Ave	open
Tacos San Pedro	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	12929 E 21st St	open
The Spot	Bar			open
The Sugar Art Cakery	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	4367 S 172nd E Ave	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	17	17	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	12	12	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	14	14	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	15	15	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	19	17	5	10	2	—	NAICS1997
1999	21	18	6	9	3	1	NAICS1997
2000	19	15	5	8	2	2	NAICS1997
2001	16	13	4	7	2	1	NAICS1997
2002	11	10	3	5	2	—	NAICS1997
2003	15	12	3	6	2	—	NAICS2002
2004	8	7	1	3	2	—	NAICS2002
2005	8	7	1	3	3	—	NAICS2002
2006	11	9	3	4	2	—	NAICS2002
2007	8	6	2	3	1	—	NAICS2002
2008	9	6	2	3	1	—	NAICS2007
2009	8	6	2	3	1	1	NAICS2007
2010	8	5	1	2	2	2	NAICS2007
2011	9	5	2	2	1	2	NAICS2007
2012	14	8	3	4	1	2	NAICS2012
2013	12	8	3	4	1	2	NAICS2012
2014	11	7	3	3	1	2	NAICS2012
2015	12	7	3	3	1	2	NAICS2012
2016	11	6	2	3	1	2	NAICS2012
2017	12	8	3	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	13	10	5	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	15	11	4	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	11	9	3	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	13	11	4	4	3	—	NAICS2017
2022	15	12	4	4	4	—	NAICS2022
2023	13	11	5	4	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 74134. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
74108	2.1 mi	2	2016
74146	3.3 mi	44	2023
74128	3.9 mi	16	2023
74012	4.1 mi	154	2023
74129	4.3 mi	31	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.