BMIE Market 74126

Osage County, Oklahoma · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	9,920 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±794 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	3,609 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±302 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	10,598 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	4,795 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$42,172 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2,841 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	33.2 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,127 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±48 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$69,200 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±7,767 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	24.1 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	5 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 74126
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	7.6 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-16.7% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	-44.4% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	-44.4% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	4 (range 1–7) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.2 per year, r² 0.20) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	40 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	45 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	44 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	27 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 74126. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.2 restaurants per year, r² 0.20, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Oklahoma and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 436, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 40 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	45.1	45	40%	+18.1
Restaurant Opportunity Score	43.8	44	35%	+15.3
Market Momentum Score	26.7	27	25%	+6.7

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 45 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	9,920	71	40%	+28.2
Median household income (ACS)	42,172	8	40%	+3.0
Households (ACS)	3,609	70	20%	+13.9

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 44 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-16.7	15	35%	+5.3
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	5.0	92	25%	+22.9
Population (ACS)	9,920	71	20%	+14.1
Median household income (ACS)	42,172	8	20%	+1.5

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 27 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	0	42	50%	+20.9
10-year restaurant growth	-16.7	15	30%	+4.5
20-year restaurant growth	-44.4	7	20%	+1.3

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (15)

By cuisine

American 3 · Chicken / wings 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Sandwiches 2 · BBQ 1 · Burgers 1 · Dessert 1 · Italian 1 · Mexican 1 · Pizza 1 · Steakhouse 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 9 · Dessert 3 · Quick service 3 · Other 2 · Bakery 1 · Bar 1 · Catering 1 · Food truck 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Arby's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	4641 N Peoria Ave	open
Asian Express	Restaurant (service type not stated)		4748 N Peoria Ave	open
Church's Texas Chicken Church's Chicken	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	5034 N. Peoria Avenue	open
Daylight Donuts	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert	7425 N Peoria Ave	open
Hillbilly Igloo	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	6606 N Peoria Ave	open
KFC KFC	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	4707 N. Peoria Avenue	open
Nine18Bar	Bar		Tulsa-Osage	open
Scavo Hot Mess BBQ	Food truck · Catering	BBQ	7123 Bratton Rd	open
Simple Simon's Pizza Simple Simon’s Pizza of Farmington	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	6206 N Peoria Ave	open
Stone Creek Kitchen In Osage	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American		open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	4948 N Peoria Ave	open
Taco Palace	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	5114 N Peoria Ave	open
Texas Roadhouse Texas Roadhouse	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Steakhouse	1111 E 71st St N	open
The Freeze	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Burgers · American	212 E 46th St N	open
The Mug Shop Tulsa	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Other		6315 N Madison Ave	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	9	9	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	9	9	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	10	10	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	9	9	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	9	8	1	6	1	1	NAICS1997
1999	10	9	2	6	1	—	NAICS1997
2000	9	8	1	6	1	—	NAICS1997
2001	11	10	2	7	1	—	NAICS1997
2002	9	8	2	6	—	—	NAICS1997
2003	10	9	1	8	—	—	NAICS2002
2004	9	8	2	6	—	—	NAICS2002
2005	8	7	2	5	—	—	NAICS2002
2006	7	7	1	6	—	—	NAICS2002
2007	8	8	2	6	—	—	NAICS2002
2008	8	8	1	7	—	—	NAICS2007
2009	8	8	1	7	—	—	NAICS2007
2010	8	8	1	7	—	—	NAICS2007
2011	9	9	1	8	—	—	NAICS2007
2012	7	6	1	5	—	—	NAICS2012
2013	6	6	1	5	—	—	NAICS2012
2014	8	7	1	6	—	—	NAICS2012
2015	8	7	1	6	—	—	NAICS2012
2016	9	8	1	7	—	—	NAICS2012
2017	7	6	—	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	6	5	—	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	9	8	—	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	7	6	—	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	8	7	—	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	5	4	—	—	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	5	5	—	4	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 74126. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
74130	3.4 mi	1	2014
74106	3.6 mi	11	2023
74073	4.3 mi	5	2023
74127	4.7 mi	8	2023
74110	5.0 mi	6	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.