BMIE Market 74127

Osage County, Oklahoma · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	16,324 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±571 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	6,631 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±312 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	17,151 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	7,906 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$46,373 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4,485 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	39.1 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$959 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±43 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$134,200 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±16,367 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	21.3 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	8 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 74127
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	5.3 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-11.1% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	-42.9% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	-33.3% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	8 (range 6–10) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.0 per year, r² 0.00) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	44 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	51 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	47 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	28 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 74127. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.0 restaurants per year, r² 0.00, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Oklahoma and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 436, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 44 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	51.3	51	40%	+20.5
Restaurant Opportunity Score	47.0	47	35%	+16.4
Market Momentum Score	27.5	28	25%	+6.9

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 51 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	16,324	78	40%	+31.2
Median household income (ACS)	46,373	11	40%	+4.4
Households (ACS)	6,631	79	20%	+15.7

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 47 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-11.1	18	35%	+6.2
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	4.9	92	25%	+23.0
Population (ACS)	16,324	78	20%	+15.6
Median household income (ACS)	46,373	11	20%	+2.2

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 28 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	0	42	50%	+20.9
10-year restaurant growth	-11.1	18	30%	+5.3
20-year restaurant growth	-42.9	7	20%	+1.4

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (22)

By cuisine

American 6 · Burgers 3 · Coffee 3 · Dessert 2 · Latin American (other) 2 · Mexican 2 · Pizza 2 · Asian 1 · Bakery 1 · Chinese 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Sandwiches 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 12 · Bar 6 · Casual dining 4 · Food truck 3 · Quick service 3 · Café 2 · Dessert 2 · Bakery 1 · Catering 1 · Coffee shop 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Amish Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)		744 W 9th St	open
Baxter's Interurban Grill	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	717 S Houston Ave	open
Braum's Ice Cream & Dairy Store Braums	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert · American	317 N Gilcrease Museum Rd	open
Catrina Fresh Mex Catrina Fresh Mex	Food truck	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	Tulsa County, 2315 Charles Page Blvd	open
China 8	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	2315 W Edison St	open
Crystal Skull Too	Bar		3820 W Edison St	open
Daylight Donuts	Bakery · Dessert · Café	Dessert · Coffee · Bakery	560 N 28th W Ave	open
Domino's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	2315 W Edison St	open
La Patrona Mexican Food Truck	Food truck	Mexican · Latin American (other)	3306 Charles Page Blvd	open
Lot-A-Burger	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers · American	2807 Charles Page Blvd	open
Made Market	Casual dining · Café · Bar	Coffee	616 W 7th St	open
Mazzio’s Pizza & Wings	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	2305 W Edison St	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	229 N Gilcrease Museum Rd	open
Retro Bar & Grill	Casual dining · Bar	American	765 W 13th St S	open
Sabor de mi Honduras CATERING	Food truck · Catering	Latin American (other)	3306 Charles Page Blvd	open
Sandite Billiards & Grill	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		7822 Parkway Xing	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	523 N. Gilcrease Museum Road	open
Ted's Hamburgers	Quick service	Burgers · American	2900 W Edison St	open
The Restaurant at Gilcrease	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	1400 N Gilcrease Museum Rd	open
Thunder Bar & Grill	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		951 West 36th St N	open
Tim Burton	Coffee shop	Coffee	3202 N Wild Mountain Rd	open
Tulsa Urban Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		717 S Houston Ave Ste 100	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	13	12	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1995	12	11	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1996	14	12	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1997	16	15	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1998	16	15	7	7	1	—	NAICS1997
1999	18	17	8	6	3	—	NAICS1997
2000	18	17	8	6	3	—	NAICS1997
2001	16	14	8	4	2	1	NAICS1997
2002	19	17	9	6	2	1	NAICS1997
2003	16	14	8	4	2	1	NAICS2002
2004	17	15	8	5	2	1	NAICS2002
2005	14	13	7	4	2	—	NAICS2002
2006	14	13	7	4	2	—	NAICS2002
2007	15	12	4	6	2	—	NAICS2002
2008	11	10	3	5	2	—	NAICS2007
2009	11	9	3	4	2	—	NAICS2007
2010	10	9	4	4	1	—	NAICS2007
2011	9	7	2	4	1	1	NAICS2007
2012	9	8	2	5	1	—	NAICS2012
2013	10	9	2	5	2	—	NAICS2012
2014	8	7	2	4	1	—	NAICS2012
2015	9	7	2	4	1	—	NAICS2012
2016	9	8	2	5	1	—	NAICS2012
2017	11	9	3	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	10	8	—	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	11	9	—	7	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	9	7	—	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	9	7	—	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	10	9	—	7	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	10	8	—	5	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 74127. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
74103	3.1 mi	46	2023
74106	3.7 mi	11	2023
74119	3.8 mi	13	2023
74107	4.1 mi	28	2023
74120	4.2 mi	66	2023
74126	4.7 mi	5	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.