BMIE Market 76058

Johnson County, Texas · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	22,276 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,555 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	7,534 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±490 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	17,123 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	6,276 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$71,328 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±11,874 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	36.5 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,385 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±114 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$275,900 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±28,809 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	51.9 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	19 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 76058
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	9.3 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+26.7% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+58.3% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+111.1% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+111.1% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	24 (range 22–27) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.9 per year, r² 0.87) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	75 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	69 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	76 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	84 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 76058. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.9 restaurants per year, r² 0.87, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Texas and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,534, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 75 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	69.1	69	40%	+27.6
Restaurant Opportunity Score	76.0	76	35%	+26.6
Market Momentum Score	83.7	84	25%	+20.9

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 69 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	22,276	83	40%	+33.3
Median household income (ACS)	71,328	49	40%	+19.7
Households (ACS)	7,534	80	20%	+16.1

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 76 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	58.3	86	35%	+30.0
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	8.5	78	25%	+19.5
Population (ACS)	22,276	83	20%	+16.6
Median household income (ACS)	71,328	49	20%	+9.8

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 84 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	26.7	82	50%	+40.9
10-year restaurant growth	58.3	86	30%	+25.7
20-year restaurant growth	111.1	85	20%	+17.1

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (50)

By cuisine

American 9 · Mexican 9 · Coffee 5 · Dessert 4 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 4 · Pizza 4 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 4 · Bakery 3 · Breakfast 3 · Latin American (other) 3 · Sandwiches 3 · BBQ 1 · Burgers 1 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Italian 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Noodles / ramen / pho 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 26 · Quick service 12 · Dessert 8 · Bar 7 · Bakery 5 · Café 5 · Casual dining 5 · Coffee shop 2 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Delivery-focused 1 · Fast casual 1 · Food truck 1 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Abf Services, Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1401 S Broadway St Ste 103	open
Alta G. Williams	Restaurant (service type not stated)		3942 Thomas Acres Rd	open
Becky's Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Coffee	301 E 12th St A	open
Carnitas Los 3 Hermanos	Food truck	Mexican · Latin American (other)	4516 Blackburn Ave	open
Chicken Express Chicken Express	Quick service	Chicken / wings · American	319 N Broadway St	open
Cicis Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	443 B S. Broadway	open
D's Country Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee · American	115 Conveyor Dr	open
Dairy Queen Dairy Queen	Quick service · Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · American	109 N Broadway St 109 N Broadway St	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Quick service · Delivery-focused	Pizza	313 Broadway Street Ste 5	open
Don Melquias	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · American	200 N Broadway St	open
DQ Grill & Chill DQ Grill & Chill	Quick service		109 N Broadway St	open
Dreamland Play Cafe	Café · Coffee shop	Coffee	520 N Broadway St	open
FasTaco FasTaco - Burleson	Quick service	Mexican	311 S Broadway St	open
Good Morning Donuts	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert · Bakery	504 S Broadway St	open
Hickory Tree Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		101 N Main St Ste A	open
Huddle House	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast · American	319 N Broadway St	open
Joshua Donuts	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert	313 S Broadway St	open
Joshua SnoBalls	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Ice cream / frozen desserts	309 E 12th St	open
Jovannys Cakery	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert		open
K&s Bar-b-q	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	336 N Broadway St	open
Kathy's Private Club	Bar		3475 SW Wilshire Blvd	open
La Mesa Mesquite Grill	Casual dining · Bar	Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Mexican	203 N Main St	open
Las Alazanas Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	317 N Broadway St	open
LEOS BAR AND BILLIARDS	Bar		2008 Conveyor Dr	open
McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)		952 S Broadway St	open
Napoli's Pasta & Pizza &pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	525 S Broadway St #3130	open
Ninas Mangonadas	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Latin American (other) · American	3500 County Rd 913	open
Ohrld Express Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		525 S Broadway St	open
Panda Express	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)		1054 S Broadway St	open
Rocking JA Ranch	Dessert · Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies · Ice cream / frozen desserts	5710 Thousand Oaks Dr	open
Sonic Drive In Sonic Drive-In	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	315 N. Broadway	open
Star Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	115 N Main St	open
Starbucks Coffee Company Starbucks	Coffee shop · Café · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	1036 S Broadway St	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	508 S. Broadway (Hwy 174)	open
SUBWAY	Other	Sandwiches		open
Sweet B Donut Shop	Bakery · Quick service · Dessert	Dessert	103 Conveyor Dr	open
Ta1	Dessert	Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Ice cream / frozen desserts	301 E 12th St	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	113 S Broadway St.	open
Tacote Joshua	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	107 S Broadway St	open
The Branded Phénix Bar & Grill	Casual dining · Bar		205 N Main St Ste A	open
The Brickhouse Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	107 N Main St	open
The Burrito Loco	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	3303 SW Wilshire Blvd	open
The Hickory Tree Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	Breakfast · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	101 N Main St Ste a	open
The Intermission Wine Bar	Bar		10365 Singleton Rd	open
The Owl's Nest Cafe	Café · Fast casual	Coffee · Sandwiches · Healthy / salads / bowls	101 N Main St Unit B	open
Tortilleria Tepito	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	443 S Broadway St Ste a-2	open
UniverseTea of Joshua	Juice, smoothie, tea	Tea / bubble tea · Noodles / ramen / pho	100 N Main St	open
Whataburger	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	1044 South Broadway Street	open
Wooden Spoon	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast	2008 Conveyor Dr	open
Burger King	Restaurant (service type not stated)		997 Joshua Station St	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	9	9	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	6	6	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	6	6	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	8	8	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	8	8	3	5	—	—	NAICS1997
1999	7	7	2	5	—	—	NAICS1997
2000	8	8	3	5	—	—	NAICS1997
2001	10	10	3	6	1	—	NAICS1997
2002	8	8	1	6	1	—	NAICS1997
2003	10	9	2	6	1	—	NAICS2002
2004	11	10	1	8	1	—	NAICS2002
2005	11	10	—	9	1	—	NAICS2002
2006	14	14	1	12	1	—	NAICS2002
2007	15	15	1	12	2	—	NAICS2002
2008	16	16	4	9	3	—	NAICS2007
2009	16	15	3	9	3	1	NAICS2007
2010	17	16	3	9	4	1	NAICS2007
2011	15	14	2	9	3	1	NAICS2007
2012	14	13	1	9	3	1	NAICS2012
2013	13	12	2	7	3	1	NAICS2012
2014	13	12	2	8	2	1	NAICS2012
2015	14	13	3	8	2	1	NAICS2012
2016	12	11	3	7	1	1	NAICS2012
2017	14	13	4	8	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	16	15	4	10	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	16	15	4	10	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	19	18	4	13	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	21	19	5	13	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	22	19	5	13	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	21	19	4	13	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 76058. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.