BMIE Market 76210

Denton County, Texas · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	47,610 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,777 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	17,082 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±632 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	39,556 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	14,079 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$113,980 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±6,183 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	38.8 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,910 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±128 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$376,000 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±9,554 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	16.1 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	64 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 76210
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	6.8 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+28.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+64.1% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+300.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+966.7% DERIVED: 2000 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	74 (range 70–78) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +2.4 per year, r² 0.93) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	88 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	93 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	82 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	87 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 76210. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +2.4 restaurants per year, r² 0.93, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Texas and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,534, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 88 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	93.0	93	40%	+37.2
Restaurant Opportunity Score	82.0	82	35%	+28.7
Market Momentum Score	86.5	87	25%	+21.6

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 93 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	47,610	96	40%	+38.6
Median household income (ACS)	113,980	88	40%	+35.3
Households (ACS)	17,082	96	20%	+19.1

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 82 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	64.1	87	35%	+30.4
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	13.4	59	25%	+14.7
Population (ACS)	47,610	96	20%	+19.3
Median household income (ACS)	113,980	88	20%	+17.6

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 87 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	28	82	50%	+41.2
10-year restaurant growth	64.1	87	30%	+26.1
20-year restaurant growth	300	97	20%	+19.3

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (112)

By cuisine

American 24 · Coffee 16 · Mexican 13 · Dessert 10 · Pizza 10 · Bakery 8 · Chicken / wings 6 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 6 · Breakfast 5 · Burgers 5 · Japanese 5 · Sushi 5 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 4 · Italian 4 · Latin American (other) 4 · Asian 3 · BBQ 3 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 3 · Sandwiches 3 · Tea / bubble tea 3 · Chinese 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · Steakhouse 2 · British / Irish pub food 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Indian 1 · Korean 1 · Seafood 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 53 · Quick service 27 · Bar 20 · Café 12 · Dessert 12 · Bakery 10 · Casual dining 9 · Coffee shop 9 · Juice, smoothie, tea 5 · Brewery / taproom 2 · Delivery-focused 2 · Catering 1 · Specialty food shop 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
4S Barbque	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · American	309 Sanders Rd	open
Aliboba Cafe Sushi and Grill	Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Tea / bubble tea · Coffee	5017 Teasley Ln	open
Arby's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	8111 S I-35 E	open
Avera' Southside Patio Bar and Grill	Casual dining · Bar		3200 Hidden Springs Dr	open
Best Day Ever Cookies	Bakery · Catering	Bakery		open
Beth Marie's Old Fashioned Ice Cream Beth Marie's Old Fashioned Ice Cream & Soda Fountain	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	2900 Wind River Ln	open
BJ's Restaurant & Brewhouse BJ's Restaurant & Brewhouse	Casual dining · Brewery / taproom · Bar	American	3250 I-35E	open
Blue Ginger Japanese Bistro	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	2900 Wind River Ln	open
Bone Daddy's	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	3258 S I-35 E	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	8001 S Interstate 35 E	open
Catahoula's Louisiana Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cajun, Creole, Southern	3258 S Interstate 35 E 35	open
Chick-fil-A	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)		4481 Fm 2181	open
Chicken Express Chicken Express	Quick service	Chicken / wings · Cajun, Creole, Southern	2550 Hickory Creek Rd	open
Chicken Express Chicken Express	Quick service	Chicken / wings · American	3801 FM-2181	open
Chipotle Mexican Grill Chipotle Mexican Grill	Quick service	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	8201 S Interstate 35 E	open
Chuy's Chuy's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Mexican · Latin American (other)	3300 Wind River Ln	open
Combs' Coffee	Coffee shop · Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Coffee · Tea / bubble tea	1402 N Corinth St	open
Dandy Donuts Dandy Donuts & Deli	Bakery · Dessert · Café	Dessert · Coffee · Bakery	3969 Teasley Ln #600	open
Dickey's Barbecue Pit	Restaurant (service type not stated)		3721 S Interstate 35 E	open
Dive Hospitality Group Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		3350 Unicorn Lake Blvd	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Quick service · Delivery-focused	Pizza	4940 Teasley Lane	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Delivery-focused · Quick service	Pizza	1701 N. Corinth St	open
Domino's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1043 Hickory Creek Rd	open
Donohue Den	Bar · Quick service		1234 street	open
Einstein Bros. Bagels Einstein Bros. Bagels	Bakery	Bakery · Breakfast	4500 Teasley Lane	open
Emerald Bakery Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		3101 Unicorn Lake Blvd	open
Freddy's Frozen Custard & Steakburgers	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	3812 Teasley Lane	open
Fuzzy's Taco Shop	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	2412 S Interstate 35 E	open
Good Morning Donuts	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert	5017 Teasley Ln	open
Great American Grill	Bar	American	3110 Colorado Blvd	open
Holey Donuts	Bakery · Dessert · Café	Dessert · Coffee · Bakery	5050 Teasley Ln #112	open
IHOP	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast	I 35E Buc ees Blvd.	open
It's-A-Burger	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	3220 Teasley Ln, Ste 112	open
Jack in the Box	Quick service		7900 S Interstate 35 E	open
Jonesy's Cookie Company	Bakery	Bakery	2700 Parkview Dr	open
KFC KFC	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Chicken / wings	4471 FM 2181	open
La Fondita authentic Mexican restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Latin American (other)	3969 Teasley Ln Ste 1300	open
Lago de Wade Smokehouse & Cantina	Casual dining · Bar	Mexican	1406 Apache Trl	open
Lakeside Craft Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)		3350 Unicorn Lake Blvd	open
Liberation Coffee Co.	Coffee shop	Coffee	3961 Fm 2181 Ste A	open
LongHorn Steakhouse LongHorn Steakhouse	Casual dining · Bar	Steakhouse · American	2900 S I-35E	open
Marco's Pizza Marco's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	3220 Teasley Ln, Ste 108	open
Maria's Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	7650 I-35E	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	5016 Teasley Ln	open
Mi Tata Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	5017 Teasley Ln	open
Mike's Bakery	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	4251 FM2181 Apt 216	open
Mixxed Daiquiri Express	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · BBQ	4145 S Interstate 35 E Ste 105	open
Mochinut Denton TX	Dessert	Dessert	3220 Teasley Ln Ste 118	open
Muggle Shakes of Denton	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	5017 Teasley Ln	open
Mullins' Irish Pub, Pool and Gym	Bar	British / Irish pub food	Monte Carlo Ln	open
Mustang Yacht Club	Casual dining · Bar		3512 Mustang Dr	open
Napolis Italian Restaurant in Denton, Tx	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Italian · American	3969 Teasley Ln	open
Nubz Bar	Bar		8008 Montecito Dr	open
NV Cupcakes	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert	4271 Farm-to-Market 2181	open
Oldwest Cafe Of Denton	Casual dining	American · Breakfast	2420 S Interstate 35 E	open
Olive Garden Olive Garden	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	2809 S Interstate 35 E	open
On The Border Mexican Grill & Cantina On The Border Northern California	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Mexican · Latin American (other)	2829 S I-35E	open
Panda Express Panda Express México	Quick service	Chinese · Asian	8131 S I-35E	open
Papa John's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	8171 S Interstate 35 E	open
Papa Murphy's Take 'N' Bake Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	5017 Teasley Ln Ste 135	open
Pi Squared Pizza Tavern	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	3200 S I-35, 3200 S I-35	open
Pizza Capri's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	3200 I-35E Ste 1150	open
Pizza Hut Pizza Hut	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Pizza	5017 Teasley Lane Denton	open
Pizza Hut Pizza Hut	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	7650 I-35 E Denton	open
Pizza Hut Express Pizza Hut	Quick service		2825 Wind River Lane	open
Pop's Kitchen	Quick service	American	3724 Lake Country Dr	open
Popeyes Louisiana Kitchen Popeyes Louisiana Kitchen	Quick service	Chicken / wings · Cajun, Creole, Southern	8151 S Interstate 35 E	open
Pourhouse Sports Grill	Bar		3350 Unicorn Lake Blvd	open
Q's Tropical Paradise	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	5021 Teasley Ln	open
Red Lobster Red Lobster	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · American	2801 S I-35E	open
Rising Sun Cafe	Café	Coffee · Breakfast · American	3101 Unicorn Lake Blvd	open
Rodeo Goat Rodeo Goat Burger	Bar	Burgers · American	3258 S Interstate 35	open
Scooter's Coffee Scooter's Coffee	Coffee shop	Coffee	3471 State School Rd	open
Scooter's Coffee	Coffee shop	Coffee	3471 FM 2499	open
Seven Mile Cafe Seven Mile Cafe	Café	Coffee · Breakfast · American	2123 Sadau Ct	open
Shogun Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi	3606 S Interstate 35 E #100	open
Sidewalk Cafe Sidewalk Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee · American	2900 Wind River Ln	open
Simple Simon’s Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	6828 S Interstate 35 E Ste 160	open
Smoothie King Smoothie King	Juice, smoothie, tea · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Juice / smoothies · Healthy / salads / bowls	5050 Teasley Road Suite 114	open
Sonic Drive-In Sonic Drive-In	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	2910 State School Road	open
Sonny Donut	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert · Bakery	4271 FM 2181	open
Starbucks	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee	4910 Teasley Ln	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Coffee shop · Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Coffee · Juice / smoothies	3190 S I-35E	open
Starbucks Coffee Company Starbucks	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	5021 Teasley Ln	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	3969 Teasley Lane Suite 1000	open
Superstar Entertainment	Bar		2005 Birch Ln	open
Sushi Go - Corinth	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Korean	6828 S Interstate 35	open
Sushibachi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi	3220 Teasley Ln Ste 112	open
Sweetwaters Coffee & Tea Sweetwaters Coffee & Tea RedStone	Coffee shop · Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Coffee · Tea / bubble tea	3220 Teasley Ln	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	Suite 100 5050 Teasley Lane	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	2124 Sadau Ct	open
Taqueria Monterrey Taqueria Monterrey	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	3305 S Mayhill Rd #113	open
Taste Of Japan, Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2900 Wind River Ln Ste 142	open
Teasley Dutch Bros. Coffee	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	3824 Teasley Lane	open
Temple Tandoor & Bar	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Indian	7650 S Interstate 35 #108	open
Texas Roadhouse Texas Roadhouse	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse · American	2817 S I-35E	open
The Dive	Bar		3350 Unicorn Lake Blvd	open
The LakeHaus	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	3350 Unicorn Lake Blvd	open
The Original Joey O's	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches · American	4271 FM2181 #308	open
Unicorn Diner	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	2900 Wind River Ln #132	open
Unicorn Donuts and Cafe	Bakery · Dessert · Café	Dessert · Coffee · Bakery	2900 Wind River Ln #146	open
Wen Den	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2516 Lillian Miller Pkwy Ste 100	open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service	Burgers · American	4900 Teasley Ln	open
Wendy's	Quick service		8100 S Interstate 35 E	open
Wild Eight Brewing Co.	Brewery / taproom · Bar		3301 Mustang Dr	open
Win Hing	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	5017 Teasley Ln Ste 163	open
Wing Daddy's Sauce House Wing Daddy's Sauce House	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	6828 S Interstate 35 Suite 100	open
Wing Town	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	4271 FM2181	open
Wingstop Wingstop	Quick service	Chicken / wings · American	3961 FM 2181 Suite B	open
ZENSHI Handcrafted Sushi Zenshi Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	4351 FM2181	open
Cafe Du Luxe	Coffee shop	Coffee	3101 Unicorn Lake Blvd	closed
Lake Cities Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Coffee	4451 FM2181	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
2000	6	6	1	5	—	—	NAICS1997
2001	7	7	—	7	—	—	NAICS1997
2002	13	13	4	7	2	—	NAICS1997
2003	16	16	4	9	2	—	NAICS2002
2004	21	20	7	10	2	—	NAICS2002
2005	22	21	9	8	4	—	NAICS2002
2006	22	20	8	8	4	—	NAICS2002
2007	21	17	6	8	3	1	NAICS2002
2008	19	17	6	8	3	1	NAICS2007
2009	25	23	9	9	5	1	NAICS2007
2010	28	27	12	10	5	—	NAICS2007
2011	33	32	16	11	5	—	NAICS2007
2012	42	40	15	16	9	—	NAICS2012
2013	41	39	15	15	9	—	NAICS2012
2014	45	42	20	14	8	—	NAICS2012
2015	44	42	20	16	6	—	NAICS2012
2016	43	41	18	16	7	—	NAICS2012
2017	49	47	21	18	8	—	NAICS2017
2018	52	50	24	18	8	—	NAICS2017
2019	58	55	25	19	11	—	NAICS2017
2020	59	56	24	18	14	—	NAICS2017
2021	58	55	22	20	13	—	NAICS2017
2022	59	57	24	21	12	—	NAICS2022
2023	69	64	30	22	12	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 76210. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
76205	3.5 mi	82	2023
76208	4.7 mi	11	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.