BMIE Market 76208

Denton County, Texas · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	30,025 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,830 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	9,572 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±490 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	19,782 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	7,594 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$88,967 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4,608 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	34.1 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,669 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±84 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$369,100 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±16,917 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	27.4 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	11 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 76208
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	4.0 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-8.3% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-15.4% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+450.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+1,000.0% DERIVED: 1997 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	11 (range 6–15) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.3 per year, r² 0.25) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	63 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	81 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	62 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	34 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 76208. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.3 restaurants per year, r² 0.25, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Texas and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,534, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 63 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	81.4	81	40%	+32.6
Restaurant Opportunity Score	61.7	62	35%	+21.6
Market Momentum Score	34.4	34	25%	+8.6

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 81 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	30,025	89	40%	+35.6
Median household income (ACS)	88,967	72	40%	+28.9
Households (ACS)	9,572	85	20%	+16.9

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 62 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-15.4	16	35%	+5.5
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	3.7	96	25%	+24.0
Population (ACS)	30,025	89	20%	+17.8
Median household income (ACS)	88,967	72	20%	+14.5

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 34 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-8.3	20	50%	+10.0
10-year restaurant growth	-15.4	16	30%	+4.7
20-year restaurant growth	450	98	20%	+19.7

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (27)

By cuisine

Bakery 5 · Coffee 3 · Sandwiches 3 · Dessert 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · Mexican 2 · American 1 · Asian 1 · BBQ 1 · Chinese 1 · Filipino 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Pizza 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 15 · Bakery 5 · Quick service 4 · Dessert 3 · Café 2 · Coffee shop 2 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Bar 1 · Catering 1 · Delivery-focused 1 · Other 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Angelina's Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Filipino	1400 Corinth Bnd	open
Becca’s Sweets	Bakery	Bakery	2601 S Mayhill Rd	open
Bella Maca	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1400 N Corinth St	open
Buckboard BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	4403 Buckboard Cir	open
Cafe Jo'lei	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1500 N Corinth St	open
Crave Nutrition	Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies	4251 FM2181 Ste 256	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Delivery-focused · Quick service	Pizza	3730 East Mc Kinney Street	open
Don Camillo Italian Cuisine	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1400 N Corinth St Ste 103	open
Flowers Baking Co. of Denton Flowers' discount Bakery Store	Bakery	Bakery	4210 Edwards Rd	open
LA Kandies	Dessert		3305 S Mayhill Rd #111	open
Loubel Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1400 N Corinth St Ste 111	open
Lucy's Bakery	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	3730 E McKinney St	open
May's Eats	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Catering	American	3400 Corinth Pkwy Ste. 112	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service		3981 N Loop 288	open
Miky's Donuts	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert · Bakery	1400 N Corinth St #107	open
Miner Health Solutions, Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1601 Brinker Rd Unit 105	open
Panera Bread Panera Bread	Bakery · Café	Bakery · Sandwiches · Coffee	1601 Brinker Rd	open
Rice Wok Express	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	3301 S Mayhill Rd	open
Sisters and Me Catering Services	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2441 Stockbridge Rd	open
Smoothie King Smoothie King	Juice, smoothie, tea · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Juice / smoothies · Healthy / salads / bowls	1601 Brinker Road Ste. 105	open
Starbucks	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee	1592 N Sr-288 Loop (Kroger-Denton #586, )	open
Starbucks Coffee Company Starbucks	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	1592 Loop 288	open
SUBWAY	Other	Sandwiches	3400 Corinth Pkwy #120	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	3305 Mayhill Rd Ste 107	open
Traveler's Cantina	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	1400 N Corinth St Ste 103	open
Wild Revival	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		3745 Mingo Rd #505	open
Wingstop Wingstop	Quick service		3730 E. McKinney St. Ste 106	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1997	1	1	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	1	1	—	1	—	—	NAICS1997
1999	1	1	—	1	—	—	NAICS1997
2000	1	1	—	—	1	—	NAICS1997
2002	2	—	—	—	—	—	NAICS1997
2003	3	2	1	—	1	—	NAICS2002
2004	6	5	2	1	2	—	NAICS2002
2005	7	5	3	1	1	—	NAICS2002
2006	5	5	2	1	2	—	NAICS2002
2007	4	3	2	1	—	—	NAICS2002
2008	7	5	3	—	2	—	NAICS2007
2009	9	7	4	1	2	—	NAICS2007
2010	10	8	5	1	2	—	NAICS2007
2011	14	13	4	4	2	—	NAICS2007
2012	14	11	7	3	1	—	NAICS2012
2013	13	13	7	5	1	—	NAICS2012
2014	15	15	9	5	1	—	NAICS2012
2015	19	17	9	7	1	—	NAICS2012
2016	15	13	6	6	1	—	NAICS2012
2017	14	12	6	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	14	12	5	7	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	15	14	6	8	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	18	16	7	9	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	17	13	6	7	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	12	9	3	5	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	13	11	4	6	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 76208. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
76209	3.5 mi	17	2023
76205	4.4 mi	82	2023
76210	4.7 mi	64	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.