BMIE Market 76310

Archer County, Texas · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	19,029 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,237 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	7,826 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±480 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	17,989 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	7,747 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$82,183 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±6,623 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	38.4 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,036 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±107 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$224,600 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±14,176 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	170.3 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	11 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 76310
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	8.9 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-8.3% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-15.4% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+22.2% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+266.7% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	7 (range 4–9) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.5 per year, r² 0.65) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	56 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	74 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	57 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	24 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 76310. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.5 restaurants per year, r² 0.65, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Texas and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,534, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 56 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	74.4	74	40%	+29.8
Restaurant Opportunity Score	56.8	57	35%	+19.9
Market Momentum Score	24.1	24	25%	+6.0

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 74 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	19,029	81	40%	+32.2
Median household income (ACS)	82,183	65	40%	+25.9
Households (ACS)	7,826	81	20%	+16.2

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 57 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-15.4	16	35%	+5.5
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	5.8	89	25%	+22.2
Population (ACS)	19,029	81	20%	+16.1
Median household income (ACS)	82,183	65	20%	+13.0

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 24 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-8.3	20	50%	+10.0
10-year restaurant growth	-15.4	16	30%	+4.7
20-year restaurant growth	22.2	47	20%	+9.4

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (25)

By cuisine

Dessert 3 · Mexican 3 · American 2 · Asian 2 · Chinese 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Pizza 2 · Sandwiches 2 · Bakery 1 · Coffee 1 · Greek 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Spanish / tapas 1 · Vietnamese 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 19 · Quick service 4 · Bar 3 · Dessert 3 · Casual dining 2 · Bakery 1 · Café 1 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Asian Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	3701 Fairway Blvd	open
Bam's Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee	4006 US Highway 281	open
Braum's Ice Cream & Dairy Store Braums	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	4711 Southwest Pkwy	open
Chicka D's	Restaurant (service type not stated)		3921 Fairway Blvd	open
Eagles Lodge	Bar			open
El Nortenos 2	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Spanish / tapas	4701 Southwest Pkwy	open
Fields Spice Co.	Restaurant (service type not stated)		392 T Bone Rd	open
It'll Do Cantina and Patio	Casual dining · Bar		5309 Pepper Bush	open
Jordan Craft BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)		7503 Seymour Hwy, Wichita Falls, TX 76310	open
Laredo Taco Company	Restaurant (service type not stated)		5376 Kell West Blvd	open
Nature's Half Acre	Restaurant (service type not stated)		4176 State Highway 79	open
New York Chef’s Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)		4701 Southwest Pkwy	open
Papa Murphy's Take 'N' Bake Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Sandwiches	3701 Fairway Blvd Ste 124	open
Polar Station	Restaurant (service type not stated)		7504 Seymour Hwy	open
RockStar Ice	Dessert · Quick service	Dessert · Ice cream / frozen desserts	3224 State Highway 79	open
Sonic Drive In Sonic Drive-In	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	4801 S.W. Parkway	open
Sonic Drive In Sonic Drive-In	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	5360 Kell Boulevard	open
Spring House Bottled Water	Restaurant (service type not stated)		7735 Seymour Hwy	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	4701 Southwest Pkwy Ste 14	open
Sweetooth Donuts	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert	Dessert · Bakery	4701 Southwest Pkwy	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	4600 Bel-Air Blvd	open
Taste of china	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian · Vietnamese · Chinese	4701 Southwest Pkwy	open
The Simple Greek	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Greek	3701 Fairway Blvd Ste 108	open
The Vitolo Family Bar & Grill and Carmine's Pizzeria	Casual dining · Bar	Pizza	5408 Blazing Star Ln	open
Walk In Tacos	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	6642 Kell W Blvd	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	3	3	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	3	3	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	3	3	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	4	4	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	5	5	2	3	—	—	NAICS1997
1999	6	5	2	3	—	—	NAICS1997
2000	7	6	1	4	1	—	NAICS1997
2001	9	8	2	4	1	—	NAICS1997
2002	9	7	3	2	1	—	NAICS1997
2003	11	9	3	3	3	—	NAICS2002
2004	10	8	3	3	2	—	NAICS2002
2005	11	9	4	3	2	—	NAICS2002
2006	10	9	2	4	3	—	NAICS2002
2007	12	10	2	5	3	1	NAICS2002
2008	16	13	4	5	4	2	NAICS2007
2009	19	16	6	7	3	2	NAICS2007
2010	17	16	7	6	3	1	NAICS2007
2011	15	14	5	5	4	1	NAICS2007
2012	12	11	3	5	3	1	NAICS2012
2013	14	13	3	6	4	1	NAICS2012
2014	17	16	3	7	6	1	NAICS2012
2015	14	13	1	6	6	1	NAICS2012
2016	15	14	—	7	7	1	NAICS2012
2017	14	12	—	6	6	—	NAICS2017
2018	14	12	—	7	5	—	NAICS2017
2019	14	11	—	7	4	—	NAICS2017
2020	12	9	—	6	3	—	NAICS2017
2021	12	10	—	6	3	—	NAICS2017
2022	13	10	—	7	3	—	NAICS2022
2023	14	11	—	8	3	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 76310. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
76308	3.5 mi	101	2023
76302	4.9 mi	14	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.