BMIE Market 77302

Montgomery County, Texas · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	21,546 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,838 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	7,487 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±538 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	18,118 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	6,545 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$84,673 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±13,966 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	37.5 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,284 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±145 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$266,200 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±32,592 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	52.9 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	4 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 77302
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	3.3 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+33.3% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-20.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+33.3% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+33.3% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	5 (range 3–7) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.1 per year, r² 0.07) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	66 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	76 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	60 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	57 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 77302. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.1 restaurants per year, r² 0.07, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Texas and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,534, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 66 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	76.2	76	40%	+30.5
Restaurant Opportunity Score	59.7	60	35%	+20.9
Market Momentum Score	57.5	57	25%	+14.4

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 76 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	21,546	83	40%	+33.1
Median household income (ACS)	84,673	68	40%	+27.1
Households (ACS)	7,487	80	20%	+16.1

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 60 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-20	14	35%	+4.8
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	1.9	99	25%	+24.8
Population (ACS)	21,546	83	20%	+16.5
Median household income (ACS)	84,673	68	20%	+13.5

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 57 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	33.3	85	50%	+42.5
10-year restaurant growth	-20	14	30%	+4.1
20-year restaurant growth	33.3	54	20%	+10.9

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (29)

By cuisine

American 5 · Coffee 4 · Mexican 4 · Bakery 3 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 2 · Chicken / wings 2 · Dessert 2 · Pizza 2 · Sandwiches 2 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Seafood 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 18 · Food truck 4 · Bakery 3 · Coffee shop 3 · Dessert 3 · Quick service 3 · Café 2 · Bar 1 · Casual dining 1 · Delivery-focused 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Affordable Gifts & Vapes	Bar		13775 FM 1314 Rd	open
Charleys Cheesesteaks and Wings Charleys Cheesesteaks	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches · American	19175 FM1314	open
Charleys Philly Steaks Charleys Philly Steaks	Quick service	Sandwiches	19175 FM1314	open
Commissional Coffee	Coffee shop	Coffee	16961 FM 1314 Rd	open
Gorditas Marypaz	Food truck		16820 Pickering Rd	open
Kajun Eatz	Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cajun, Creole, Southern	316 madeley st	open
Krispy Krunchy Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	12411 Fm 1314 Road	open
Krispy Krunchy Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	18460 Texas 242	open
La Chispita panaderia y pasteleria	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Bakery	14756 Granger Pines Way	open
LifeBridge Concessions	Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated)		13401 Wigginsville Rd	open
Palate Café	Restaurant (service type not stated)		17590 Artavia Pkwy Bldg C	open
Panthers Nutrition Club	Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Juice / smoothies · Healthy / salads / bowls · Coffee	15917 FM 3083	open
Pizza Hut Pizza Hut	Quick service · Delivery-focused	Pizza	16985 FM1314	open
Rc's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	16881 FM 1314 Rd	open
Refresqueria Huetamo	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Mexican · American	14945 Old Houston Rd	open
Shipley Donuts Shipley Do-Nuts	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert · Bakery	16980 FM 3083 Rd	open
Taqueria Bonanza	Quick service · Food truck	Mexican	14644 FM-1485 Conroe, TX 77306	open
Taquería de Rancho	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	18092 FM1314	open
Taqueria Los chulos	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	17048 FM1314	open
Taqueria rocha	Restaurant (service type not stated)		18285 Old Houston Rd	open
Taqueria rocha	Restaurant (service type not stated)		FM-3083, Conroe, TX 77302, United States	open
Texas Crawfish Company	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · American	17506 FM1314	open
Texas Grind Coffee Co.	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	18083 FM1314	open
The Crawfish Patio	Restaurant (service type not stated)		17506 FM 1314 Rd	open
The Whistle Stop Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	11133 Interstate 45 S	open
Tiny Tundra Snowcones	Dessert		18978 FM1314	open
Top Bakery Donut Cafe	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert · Bakery	18861 FM1314	open
Uncle Tony's Hamburgers	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	16881 FM 1314 Rd	open
Vogue Bubble Tea & Coffee Bar Conroe	Coffee shop	Coffee	11133 Interstate 45 S Ste 240	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	3	3	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	3	3	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	3	3	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	4	4	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	4	4	1	3	—	—	NAICS1997
1999	5	3	1	2	—	1	NAICS1997
2000	3	3	1	1	1	—	NAICS1997
2001	3	3	1	1	1	—	NAICS1997
2002	3	3	1	2	—	—	NAICS1997
2003	3	3	1	2	—	—	NAICS2002
2004	3	3	1	2	—	—	NAICS2002
2005	4	4	1	3	—	—	NAICS2002
2006	5	5	1	3	1	—	NAICS2002
2007	3	3	1	2	—	—	NAICS2002
2008	3	3	1	2	—	—	NAICS2007
2009	3	3	1	2	—	—	NAICS2007
2010	6	6	3	3	—	—	NAICS2007
2011	5	5	2	3	—	—	NAICS2007
2012	3	3	2	1	—	—	NAICS2012
2013	5	5	2	3	—	—	NAICS2012
2014	3	3	1	2	—	—	NAICS2012
2015	3	2	1	1	—	—	NAICS2012
2016	3	3	2	1	—	—	NAICS2012
2017	3	3	—	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	3	3	—	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	3	3	—	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	3	3	—	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	5	5	—	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	4	4	—	3	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	4	4	—	—	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 77302. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
77306	4.8 mi	7	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.