BMIE Market 77306

Montgomery County, Texas · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	18,086 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2,427 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	5,631 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±722 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	11,931 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	4,061 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$76,257 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±10,123 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	32.3 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,137 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±314 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$174,100 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±40,055 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	41.1 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	7 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 77306
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	5.0 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+40.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+40.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+250.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+600.0% DERIVED: 1996 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	8 (range 5–10) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.2 per year, r² 0.32) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	77 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	70 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	78 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	86 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 77306. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.2 restaurants per year, r² 0.32, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Texas and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,534, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 77 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	69.9	70	40%	+28.0
Restaurant Opportunity Score	78.2	78	35%	+27.4
Market Momentum Score	86.0	86	25%	+21.5

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 70 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	18,086	80	40%	+31.9
Median household income (ACS)	76,257	57	40%	+22.8
Households (ACS)	5,631	76	20%	+15.2

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 78 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	40	77	35%	+27.0
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	3.9	95	25%	+23.8
Population (ACS)	18,086	80	20%	+15.9
Median household income (ACS)	76,257	57	20%	+11.4

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 86 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	40	87	50%	+43.7
10-year restaurant growth	40	77	30%	+23.1
20-year restaurant growth	250	95	20%	+19.1

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (65)

By cuisine

Mexican 11 · Dessert 8 · Pizza 6 · American 5 · Seafood 5 · Bakery 4 · BBQ 4 · Latin American (other) 4 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 4 · Burgers 3 · Coffee 3 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 3 · Breakfast 2 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 2 · Asian 1 · Caribbean 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Italian 1 · Sandwiches 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 36 · Quick service 13 · Dessert 11 · Food truck 11 · Bakery 7 · Bar 5 · Café 3 · Casual dining 1 · Coffee shop 1 · Delivery-focused 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Antojitos Las Jarochas	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	498 Crockett Martin Rd	open
Arbol de la Vida Cafe	Café · Food truck	Coffee	12952 Highway 105 E	open
Bigga's BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Caribbean · Cajun, Creole, Southern	17693 TX-105	open
Birria , micheladas y mariscos el dicho	Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated)		17187 TX-105	open
Chunkys grub hut	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	498 Crockett Martin Rd	open
Church's Texas Chicken Church's Chicken	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	16145 FM 1485	open
Conroe’s Sweet Spot	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Food truck · Dessert	Dessert	498 Crockett Martin Rd	open
Country Scrambled cafe 3 Country Scrambled Cafe 3	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast · Coffee	14625 FM 1485	open
Cut and shoot seafood	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	17560 TX-105	open
Del Campo Roasted Corn	Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated)		498 Crockett Martin Rd	open
Dem Boys Seafood	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood		open
Dolly Madison Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	11691 Highway 105 E	open
Domino's Pizza Domino's	Quick service		17150 Tx 105	open
Donut Express	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert	16145 FM 1485 Rd	open
El Barquito Seafood & Tex-Mex	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Seafood	13207 TX-105	open
El Barquito Seafood & Tex-mex	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	13207 HWY 105 E.	open
El Caracol Panaderia / Bakery	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	16441 TX-105	open
Frias Deleite	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	16441 TX-105	open
Gigi's Snow To Go	Food truck		16067 FM-1485	open
Hole	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	American	14179 Tommy Smith Rd	open
Ice Paradise	Dessert		15900 FM 2090 Rd	open
Jack's BBQ Jack's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	17560 TX-105	open
Kolache Donut Express	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert	Dessert	16441 Old Hwy 105 E #102	open
Krazy Crawfish	Food truck		10265 Waukegan Rd	open
Krispy Krunchy Chicken Krispy Krunchy Chicken	Quick service		14580 Farm to Market 1485	open
la michoacana se me antojo	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Mexican	14420 TX-105	open
Lama Mediterranean Cuisine	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Mexican		open
Leija's Mexican Food Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	13120 TX-105	open
Little Caesars Little Caesars	Delivery-focused · Quick service	Pizza	15799 Highway 105 E	open
LUNA’S KITCHEN	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Food truck		498 Crockett Martin Rd	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · Breakfast	11000 E Davis	open
Micheladas y mariscos los compadres	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	13014 TX-105	open
Mrs V's Roadhouse	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers · American · BBQ	13985 Highway 105 E	open
Nics bbq pit stop	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · American	15091 FM 1485	open
Nilla Ice	Dessert	Dessert · Ice cream / frozen desserts	17639 TX-105	open
Pat's Donuts	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert	Dessert · Bakery	12021 Hwy 105 E	open
Pizza & Movies On The Go	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	14625 Fm 1485 Rd, Conroe, TX 77306	open
Pizza Hut Pizza Hut	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	16441 TX-105 ste 105	open
Pizza Hut Pizza Hut	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	14581 FM 1485 Rd	open
Pizza Hut Express Pizza Hut	Quick service		20175 Texas 242	open
Pizza Inn	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	16244 Highway 105 E	open
Rex Steakhouse	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	13089 Hwy	open
Roatan’s Flavor	Food truck		17183 TX-105	open
Sam's Roadhouse	Bar		12772 TX-105	open
Sandbaggers Pub	Bar		13027 Highway 105	open
Shipley Do-Nuts Shipley Do-Nuts	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert	14420 Hwy 105 E	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	14586 FM 1485 Ste C	open
Supreme Donuts	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert · Bakery	14586 FM 1485 Rd	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service		17693 TX-105	open
Tacos del Reino	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		722 Crockett Martin Rd	open
Tacos La Herradura	Food truck	Mexican	14480 Sandpiper Ln	open
Taqueria El Rey	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	14586 FM 1485 Ste A	open
TAQUERIA EL VAQUERO	Food truck	Mexican	16362 TX-105	open
Taqueria La Güerita	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	15902 FM 2090	open
Taqueria Los Amigos	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	650 Crockett Martin Rd	open
Taqueria Tejupilco	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	Crockett Martin Rd	open
Taqueria Tere's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	Kountry Kwik, 16244 Highway 105 E	open
Texas Brisket Barn	Restaurant (service type not stated)		10617 Boyd Rd	open
The Ugly Duck Coffee Co	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	14041 Hwy 105 E	open
The Waterhole	Bar	Burgers	11284 Coon Hollow Rd	open
Turbo Joe's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza		open
Wow It's Lao'd	Food truck	Asian	17693 TX-105	open
Dem Boys	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	16067 FM 1485 Rd	closed
The Creole Boot Catering Services	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cajun, Creole, Southern	12200 Highway 105 E	closed
Vertex Coffee	Coffee shop	Coffee	14520 FM 1485 Rd	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1996	1	1	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
2002	2	2	1	1	—	—	NAICS1997
2003	2	2	1	1	—	—	NAICS2002
2004	3	3	—	2	1	—	NAICS2002
2005	2	2	—	2	—	—	NAICS2002
2006	2	2	—	2	—	—	NAICS2002
2007	3	3	—	2	1	—	NAICS2002
2008	3	3	—	2	1	—	NAICS2007
2009	3	3	—	2	1	—	NAICS2007
2010	6	6	2	3	1	—	NAICS2007
2011	5	5	—	3	2	—	NAICS2007
2012	4	4	—	2	2	—	NAICS2012
2013	5	5	—	2	3	—	NAICS2012
2014	5	5	1	2	2	—	NAICS2012
2015	5	5	1	2	2	—	NAICS2012
2016	4	4	—	2	2	—	NAICS2012
2017	5	5	—	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	5	5	—	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	5	5	—	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	6	6	—	—	3	—	NAICS2017
2021	4	4	—	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	7	7	—	—	4	—	NAICS2022
2023	7	7	—	—	3	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 77306. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
77302	4.8 mi	4	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.