BMIE Market 77445
Waller County, Texas · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 16,142 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,230 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 4,922 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±454 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 11,977 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 4,989 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $65,909 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±10,741 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 31.4 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $1,171 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±291 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $270,400 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±27,005 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 185.8 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 22 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 77445 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 13.4 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | +37.5% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +37.5% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +37.5% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +144.4% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 27 (range 24–31) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.8 per year, r² 0.69) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 67 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 62 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 65 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 78 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 77445. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.8 restaurants per year, r² 0.69, confidence Medium.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. Texas and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,534, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 67 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 62.1 | 62 | 40% | +24.8 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 64.7 | 65 | 35% | +22.6 |
| Market Momentum Score | 77.6 | 78 | 25% | +19.4 |
Consumer Market Score: 62 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 16,142 | 78 | 40% | +31.1 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 65,909 | 40 | 40% | +16.1 |
| Households (ACS) | 4,922 | 74 | 20% | +14.8 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 65 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 37.5 | 76 | 35% | +26.6 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 13.6 | 58 | 25% | +14.5 |
| Population (ACS) | 16,142 | 78 | 20% | +15.6 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 65,909 | 40 | 20% | +8.1 |
Market Momentum Score: 78 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | 37.5 | 87 | 50% | +43.4 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 37.5 | 76 | 30% | +22.8 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 37.5 | 57 | 20% | +11.4 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (78)
By cuisine
American 14 · Mexican 14 · Coffee 12 · Dessert 8 · Pizza 6 · BBQ 5 · Latin American (other) 5 · Bakery 4 · Burgers 4 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 4 · Breakfast 3 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 3 · Chicken / wings 3 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 3 · Juice / smoothies 3 · Seafood 3 · Asian 2 · Sandwiches 2 · Chinese 1 · Halal / kosher 1 · Italian 1 · Japanese 1 · Steakhouse 1 · Sushi 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 42 · Quick service 19 · Bar 12 · Dessert 10 · Café 9 · Casual dining 9 · Bakery 7 · Coffee shop 5 · Juice, smoothie, tea 4 · Food truck 3 · Catering 1 · Delivery-focused 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12:4 Bakery & Coffee | Coffee shop | Coffee | 1346 Wilkins St | open |
| 290 Pizza King | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Pizza | 905 Austin St | open |
| 440 Sports and Grill | Bar · Casual dining | 440 Business, Hwy 290 E | open | |
| A&M Grill Halal Restaurant | Casual dining · Bar | Halal / kosher | 736 University Dr | open |
| Aaj International Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 246 Cottonwood | open | |
| Alameda Meat Market | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 825 Austin St | open |
| Alma animada 2.0 | Bar · Quick service | American | open | |
| Arcelia Mexican Taqueria | Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 535 10th St | open |
| Ayala's Cafe | Café | Mexican · Latin American (other) · Coffee | 905 13th St | open |
| Barra Brava 290 Sports & Grill | Bar · Casual dining | Burgers | 825 Austin St Ste 813 | open |
| Big Madre Tacos Y Tortas - Chevron | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 24880 Highway 6 | open |
| Bluebonnet Herb Farm | Café | Coffee | 2105 13th St | open |
| Braggs Blues Club | Bar | Ole 290 | open | |
| Breakfast Paradise | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Breakfast · American | 1118 Austin St | open |
| Brubaker's Barbecue & Burgers | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ | University Dr. | open |
| Checkers | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | 418 University Dr | open | |
| Checkers | Quick service | 33515 Hwy 290 | open | |
| Citizens Coffee and Wine Cafe | Café · Bar | Coffee · Cajun, Creole, Southern | 841 12th St | open |
| Classic Events, Llc | Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Coffee · American | 615 Business Highway 290 N | open |
| Cliff Hangers Country Cafe | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 29241 Highway 6 | open | |
| Coyote Moon Bar & Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 425 FM 1488 Rd | open | |
| Crashcakes.co | Bakery | Bakery | 100 University Dr | open |
| Dairy Queen Dairy Queen | Dessert · Quick service | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 442 10th St 442 10th St | open |
| Denny's | Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Breakfast · Coffee · American | 100 Cottonwood | open |
| Dickey's Barbecue Pit Dickey's Barbecue Pit National | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ · American | 29442 Hwy 6 | open |
| Domino's Domino's Pizza | Delivery-focused · Quick service | Pizza | 817 Austin St | open |
| DQ Grill & Chill DQ Grill & Chill | Quick service | 442 10th St | open | |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Dessert · Bakery | Coffee · Dessert | 100 University Dr | open |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Coffee shop · Quick service · Dessert · Bakery | Coffee · Dessert | 2000 FM 1488 | open |
| El Corral De Hempstead | Bar | 48061 US-290 BUS | open | |
| El Llanito Mexican Taqueria Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1945 FM 1488 Rd | open | |
| El Rey Regio Snowcones | Dessert | Mexican · Ice cream / frozen desserts | 646 10th St | open |
| Elotes Bravos | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 827 Austin St | open |
| Erick's Mexican Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 735 10th St | open |
| First Class BBQ | Catering | BBQ · American | 745 US-290 BUS | open |
| Fruteria Y Refresqueria Arcelia | Dessert · Juice, smoothie, tea | Mexican · Juice / smoothies | 525 10th St | open |
| Garden Cafe | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 2105 13th St | open | |
| Granny's Homestyle Meals | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American · Cajun, Creole, Southern | 2112 4th St | open |
| Hangar 54 Pizza Hangar 54 Pizza | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 29442 Hwy 6 | open |
| Happy Island & Cold Treats LLC | Food truck | 22287 FM-1098 | open | |
| He's Cafe | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Asian · Sushi · Japanese · Chinese | 240 Austin St | open |
| Hempstead Chicken | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Chicken / wings · American | 235 US-290 BUS | open |
| Hempstead Seafood Restaurant & Stk | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood · Steakhouse · American | 246 Cottonwood | open |
| Hill Country BBQ | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American | 27004 Hwy 6 | open |
| Jack in the Box | Quick service | 1925 Fm 1488 Rd | open | |
| Joe’s Italian Grill | Casual dining · Bar | Italian · Pizza | 260 Cottonwood | open |
| King's Donuts | Bakery · Dessert · Café | Dessert · Coffee · Bakery | 350 Hwy 290 E | open |
| Krispy Krunchy Chicken | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 45620 US 290 Business | open |
| Las Fuentes Las Fuentes Somerville | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Latin American (other) | 601 10th St | open |
| Long John Silver's | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood | Hempstead, TX 77445 | open |
| MarketRitas | Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated) | 22295 FM 1098 Rd | open | |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 2100 FM 1488 | open |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 1005 Austin St | open |
| Neveria Fruty Mix | Dessert · Juice, smoothie, tea | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Juice / smoothies · Dessert | 815 Austin St | open |
| Papa Leo's | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ | 701 University Dr | open |
| Pizza Hut Pizza Hut | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 637 Hwy 290 Waller | open |
| Pizza Hut Pizza Hut | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 637 Hwy 290 | open |
| Pizza Hut Express Pizza Hut | Quick service | 36190 Owens Road | open | |
| Pollos Asados Rey Regio | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) · Chicken / wings | 646 10th St | open |
| PVAMU Dining Service | Restaurant (service type not stated) | FM 1098 Rd | open | |
| Sealand | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar | Seafood · Asian | 1925 13th St | open |
| ShugaFoots Dessert Boutique | Dessert · Bakery | Dessert · Bakery | 350 Hwy 290 E Ste 6 | open |
| Sips Daiquiris | Bar | 508 10th St | open | |
| Sips Daiquiris | Bar | 1925 13th St Ste C | open | |
| SJ’s Coffee & Things | Coffee shop · Juice, smoothie, tea · Café | Coffee · Juice / smoothies | 130 Echols St | open |
| Snowflake Donuts | Bakery · Dessert · Café | Dessert · Coffee · Bakery | 420 Austin St | open |
| Sonic Drive-In Sonic Drive-In | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 2045 FM 1488 | open |
| Starbucks Starbucks | Coffee shop · Juice, smoothie, tea · Café | Coffee · Tea / bubble tea | 421 University Dr | open |
| Subway Subway | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 102 Sandra Bland Pkwy | open |
| Subway Subway | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 2000 FM 1488 | open |
| Taco Bell Taco Bell | Quick service | Mexican | 2150 FM 1488 | open |
| Tacos el carnalito | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 146 Austin St | open |
| Taqueria La Chaparrita | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Mexican · American | 343 10th St | open |
| Taqueria Las Palmas | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 736 8th St | open |
| The Connect | Bakery · Dessert | Dessert | 113 Echols St | open |
| The fueling Station PV | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers · Breakfast | 708 University Dr | open |
| The Thirsty Parrot Bar & Grill | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | 13200 FM359 | open | |
| Buckin Austin's | Bar | 29241 Highway 6 | closed |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 9 | 9 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 7 | 7 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 8 | 8 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 13 | 13 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 13 | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 12 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 12 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 14 | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 13 | 13 | 5 | 8 | — | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 16 | 16 | 6 | 10 | — | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 14 | 14 | 5 | 9 | — | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 16 | 16 | 8 | 8 | — | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 18 | 18 | 10 | 8 | — | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 16 | 15 | 7 | 8 | — | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 16 | 14 | 8 | 6 | — | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 16 | 15 | 7 | 8 | — | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 17 | 16 | 7 | 9 | — | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 16 | 15 | 5 | 10 | — | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 16 | 14 | 4 | 9 | 1 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 18 | 16 | 6 | 9 | 1 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 20 | 18 | 7 | 10 | 1 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 19 | 17 | 8 | 8 | 1 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 19 | 16 | 6 | 10 | — | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 22 | 19 | 8 | 11 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 18 | 16 | 6 | 10 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 21 | 19 | 8 | 11 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 25 | 21 | 7 | 12 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 26 | 24 | 9 | 13 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 26 | 25 | 9 | 13 | 3 | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 23 | 22 | 9 | 11 | — | — | NAICS2022 |
Nearby markets (within 5 miles)
| ZCTA | Distance | Restaurants | Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| 77446 | 4.5 mi | 1 | 2016 |