BMIE Market 77531

Brazoria County, Texas · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	16,406 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±566 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	6,577 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±536 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	15,639 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	6,394 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$73,240 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±13,706 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	32.2 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,178 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±95 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$260,800 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±23,644 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	11.7 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	35 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 77531
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	15.4 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+12.9% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+45.8% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+75.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+6.1% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	38 (range 33–42) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.9 per year, r² 0.67) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	68 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	68 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	62 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	74 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 77531. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.9 restaurants per year, r² 0.67, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Texas and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,534, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 68 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	67.8	68	40%	+27.1
Restaurant Opportunity Score	62.3	62	35%	+21.8
Market Momentum Score	74.4	74	25%	+18.6

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 68 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	16,406	78	40%	+31.2
Median household income (ACS)	73,240	52	40%	+20.9
Households (ACS)	6,577	78	20%	+15.7

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 62 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	45.8	79	35%	+27.7
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	21.3	34	25%	+8.5
Population (ACS)	16,406	78	20%	+15.6
Median household income (ACS)	73,240	52	20%	+10.4

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 74 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	12.9	71	50%	+35.5
10-year restaurant growth	45.8	79	30%	+23.8
20-year restaurant growth	75	76	20%	+15.2

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (87)

By cuisine

Mexican 22 · American 11 · Dessert 11 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 11 · Bakery 9 · Burgers 8 · Coffee 8 · Pizza 7 · BBQ 6 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 5 · Latin American (other) 5 · Seafood 4 · Breakfast 3 · Italian 3 · Asian 2 · Chicken / wings 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · Sandwiches 2 · Steakhouse 2 · Chinese 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Hot dogs 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1 · Vietnamese 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 56 · Quick service 17 · Dessert 13 · Bakery 9 · Coffee shop 6 · Bar 5 · Café 4 · Casual dining 4 · Food truck 3 · Juice, smoothie, tea 3 · Buffet 1 · Delivery-focused 1 · Specialty food shop 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
1 Taco Mas	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	620 Brazosport Blvd N	open
2 Brother's Flamin Crawfish	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · Cajun, Creole, Southern	216 Lexington Ave	open
3rd Coast Pizza Co	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	4400 Brazosport Blvd N	open
Allstar Pizza and More	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	804 Brazospark Dr	open
Bahama Buck's - Clute	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Dessert	806 N Dixie Dr Ste A	open
Bella Roma	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1229 TX-332	open
Beltz Sweet Temptations	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	139 Brazosport Blvd N	open
Blimpie	Quick service		1014 S Lazy Ln	open
Brian's Bar-B-Q	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	151 Commerce St	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	1401 State Hwy 332, Space A	open
Burger King	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	1401 Highway 332 Spc A	open
Catrachilandia	Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Latin American (other)	101 N Highway 288B	open
Center Court Pizza & Brew	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	810 Dixie Dr	open
Center Court Pizza & Brew Center Court Pizza & Brew - Friendswood	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	810 Dixie Dr	open
D-Best Chamoy	Dessert		528 W Plantation Dr	open
DJ's Barbecue	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	906 W Plantation Dr	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Quick service · Delivery-focused	Pizza	301 Brazosport Blvd N	open
Donut Haven	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert	Dessert · Bakery	716 W Plantation Dr #106	open
El Potrillo Tex Mex Food	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Mexican · Latin American (other)	649 S Dixie Dr	open
El Toro Mexican Restaurant - Clute El Toro	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Mexican	120 Commerce St	open
Food City Grocery and Diner	Casual dining	American	113 Brazosport Blvd N	open
Front Row Hideaway	Bar		813 W Plantation Dr	open
Gaspachos El Charro	Juice, smoothie, tea · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert	Juice / smoothies · Dessert	1402 Brazosport Blvd N	open
Go Nutrition	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Healthy / salads / bowls	815 Dixie Dr	open
Hartz Chicken Buffet Hartz Chicken Buffet	Buffet	American · Cajun, Creole, Southern	105 N Brazosport Blvd	open
Hwy 332 & Dixie Whataburger	Quick service		1405 HIGHWAY 332	open
Ice cream shop rainbow	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	601 S Main St	open
Jack in the Box	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Sandwiches · Burgers	1041 W Plantation Dr	open
Jovy's Homemade Tamales	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	528 W Plantation Dr	open
Julia's Doughnuts & Coffee	Bakery · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Coffee · Bakery	223 E Main St Ste C	open
Kenjo's Barbecue Richwood	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	1230 Brazosport Blvd N	open
KFC	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	101 Dixie Dr	open
La Catrina Taqueria	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Mexican · American	2100 FM 2004	open
La Costa Family Tex-Mex & Seafood	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Mexican	921 Brazosport Blvd S	open
La Perrona	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	125 Brazosport Blvd N	open
Las Fresas Mexican Snacks	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	223 E Main St	open
Las Islitas	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	918 W Plantation Dr	open
Lighthouse Treats	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	1010 Mockingbird Ln	open
Little Caesars Pizza Little Caesars	Quick service	Pizza · Italian	1001 W Plantation Dr	open
Lonestar Barbeque	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · American	1740 Brazosport Blvd N	open
Long John Silver	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	707 Dixie Dr	open
Los Gallos Mexican GRILL	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	921 Brazosport Blvd S	open
Los Paisas	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	408 N Brazosport Blvd	open
Lupitas Taco House	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Mexican · Coffee	640 Dixie Dr	open
Martha's mexican food	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Food truck		2131 Highway 2004	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	1028 Dixie Dr	open
Moo Coffee and Ice Cream	Coffee shop · Dessert · Café	Coffee · Ice cream / frozen desserts	806 Dixie Dr	open
Ninna's Avenue	Restaurant (service type not stated)		612 W Plantation Dr	open
Oceanica Seafood and Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · Steakhouse	201 Brazosport Blvd N	open
Papa Dogz	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers · Hot dogs	707 Dixie Dr	open
Papa Juancho’s	Food truck		309 E Plantation Dr	open
Perea’s New Mexican Restaurant-Texas	Restaurant (service type not stated)			open
Phat Boyz	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	1003 Brazosport Blvd N	open
Popeyes Popeyes Louisiana Kitchen	Quick service	Cajun, Creole, Southern · Chicken / wings	1401B Highway 332	open
Red Top Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)		201 E Main St	open
Rhakb Investments Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		810 N Dixie Dr Ste M	open
Rise & Grind	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	840 W Plantation Dr	open
Rubb N Grubb	Casual dining · Bar	BBQ · Steakhouse	1223 TX-332	open
Saigon Pho	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Vietnamese · Asian	815 Dixie Dr	open
Sauce Street Grill	Quick service		101 Brazosport Blvd N	open
Seafood Hut	Restaurant (service type not stated)		103 W Plantation Dr Ste 1	open
Shipley Do-Nuts Shipley Do-Nuts	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert · Breakfast · Bakery	706 Dixie Dr	open
Shipley Do-Nuts Shipley Do-Nuts	Bakery · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Coffee · Bakery	620 Cooper Rd	open
Smoke ‘em Down BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	142 Hickory Dr	open
Sonic Drive In Sonic Drive-In	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	850 Dixie Drive	open
Sonic Drive In Sonic Drive-In	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	561 North Highway 288	open
Sonic Drive-In	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	850 Dixie Dr	open
Starbucks	Coffee shop	Coffee	101 Dixie Dr	open
Starbucks Coffee Company Starbucks	Coffee shop · Juice, smoothie, tea · Bakery	Coffee · Juice / smoothies · Bakery	800 Dixie Dr	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	1541 FM 2004	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	1025 Dixie Drive	open
Taco Bout It	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	Dixie Dr	open
Tacos a Vapor La Güera Regia en Clute	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	431 Cherry St	open
Taqueria El Jimador	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	116 E Plantation Dr	open
Taqueria General Teran Clute Tx	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Mexican		open
Taqueria Guadalajara	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	921 Brazosport Blvd S	open
Taqueria Los Gallos	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Mexican · Coffee	1231 N Brazosport Blvd	open
Taqueria tapatias	Bar	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	1130 W Highway 332	open
Taquero-Mucho	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	461 W Plantation Dr	open
Taste of Nations Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	647 Dixie Dr	open
Tea-Licious & Boba	Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert	Tea / bubble tea · Dessert	810 Dixie Dr	open
The Kolache Shop	Bakery	Bakery · Breakfast · American	120 Brazosport Blvd N	open
The Original Sugar Shack BC	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	1980 Highway 2004	open
The Picket Fence	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	815 Dixie Dr Ste 15	open
Toast To That	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast	1130 W Highway 332	open
Whataburger Whataburger	Quick service	Burgers · American	1405 HIGHWAY 332	open
Wings Over Texas Bar & Grill	Casual dining · Bar		605 W Plantation Dr	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	34	33	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1995	28	28	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	26	25	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1997	28	27	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1998	31	29	10	17	2	1	NAICS1997
1999	31	29	8	18	3	1	NAICS1997
2000	30	28	10	15	3	1	NAICS1997
2001	27	24	6	15	3	2	NAICS1997
2002	25	22	8	12	2	2	NAICS1997
2003	25	20	6	12	2	3	NAICS2002
2004	22	18	4	12	2	2	NAICS2002
2005	26	22	6	13	3	2	NAICS2002
2006	25	20	4	13	2	2	NAICS2002
2007	29	25	5	16	2	2	NAICS2002
2008	24	22	7	13	1	1	NAICS2007
2009	25	23	7	14	1	1	NAICS2007
2010	26	24	8	14	1	1	NAICS2007
2011	28	27	11	14	1	1	NAICS2007
2012	27	25	10	14	1	1	NAICS2012
2013	26	24	9	14	1	1	NAICS2012
2014	28	26	10	15	1	1	NAICS2012
2015	27	25	9	14	2	1	NAICS2012
2016	29	27	10	15	2	1	NAICS2012
2017	31	29	11	16	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	33	31	11	17	3	—	NAICS2017
2019	31	29	10	16	3	—	NAICS2017
2020	26	25	7	15	3	—	NAICS2017
2021	32	31	11	16	4	—	NAICS2017
2022	35	34	10	18	6	—	NAICS2022
2023	36	35	12	18	5	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 77531. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
77566	4.5 mi	76	2023
77541	4.9 mi	25	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.