BMIE Market 77541

Brazoria County, Texas · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	16,996 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±948 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	6,298 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±431 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	17,412 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	8,443 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$66,507 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±6,090 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	35.9 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,185 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±137 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$169,600 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±13,558 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	141.7 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	25 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 77541
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	13.2 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+4.2% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-7.4% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+19.1% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+31.6% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	22 (range 19–24) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.3 per year, r² 0.49) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	52 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	64 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	44 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	45 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 77541. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.3 restaurants per year, r² 0.49, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Texas and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,534, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 52 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	63.5	64	40%	+25.4
Restaurant Opportunity Score	44.4	44	35%	+15.5
Market Momentum Score	45.2	45	25%	+11.3

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 64 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	16,996	79	40%	+31.5
Median household income (ACS)	66,507	41	40%	+16.6
Households (ACS)	6,298	78	20%	+15.5

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 44 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-7.4	20	35%	+6.9
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	14.7	54	25%	+13.4
Population (ACS)	16,996	79	20%	+15.7
Median household income (ACS)	66,507	41	20%	+8.3

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 45 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	4.2	61	50%	+30.3
10-year restaurant growth	-7.4	20	30%	+5.9
20-year restaurant growth	19.1	45	20%	+9.0

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (120)

By cuisine

Mexican 24 · American 22 · Seafood 12 · Pizza 7 · Burgers 6 · Coffee 6 · Latin American (other) 6 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 6 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 5 · BBQ 4 · Dessert 4 · Chicken / wings 3 · Bakery 2 · Chinese 2 · Sandwiches 2 · Asian 1 · Breakfast 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Indian 1 · Italian 1 · Steakhouse 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 75 · Bar 33 · Casual dining 24 · Quick service 17 · Dessert 5 · Food truck 5 · Buffet 4 · Delivery-focused 4 · Bakery 3 · Café 3 · Coffee shop 3 · Other 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
A R's Cafe	Café	Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Mexican · Coffee	616 N Gulf Blvd	open
Arlene's Soul Food & BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cajun, Creole, Southern · BBQ	231 W 2nd St	open
Baci’s Mexican Restaurant	Buffet · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	218 S Gulf Blvd	open
Baytown Seafood Freeport Baytown Seafood Freeport	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · American	1202 N Gulf Blvd	open
Beach Bums Bar Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		18 Fort Velasco Dr	open
Beach Front Deck Bar and Grill	Casual dining · Bar	American	750 Bluewater Hwy	open
Beachside BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	Nesmith Pl &, County Rd 257	open
Bella Roma Express	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	303B S Brazosport Blvd	open
Billy's Donuts	Bakery · Dessert · Café	Dessert · Coffee · Bakery	1614 N Brazosport Blvd	open
Bingo Surf Shop And Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · American	10 Surf Dr	open
Brazos Blends & Brew	Coffee shop	Coffee	1421 N Brazosport Blvd	open
Captain Kens at Bridge Harbor	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	411 Sailfish Ln	open
Captain Mark's Seafood	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	603 W 2nd St	open
Cedar Shack BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	8126 Highway 36	open
Chill Spot Sno Cones, Fruit Cups and More	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	1022 N Avenue G	open
China Dragon	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	325 S Brazosport Blvd	open
Church's Texas Chicken Church's Chicken	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	1001 N. Brazosport Boulevard	open
Club Parlay	Bar		127 W 2nd St	open
Couch Potato Eats Food Delivery	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	1111 W 2nd St	open
Creek Side Bar	Bar · Casual dining		2614 Miller Rd A	open
Culture Coffee	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee	1306 CR-257	open
Culture Coffee Tx	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee	323 Ocean Ave	open
Dede & Keke’s	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	3215 FM523	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Quick service · Delivery-focused	Pizza	2105 Fm 523	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Delivery-focused · Quick service	Pizza	305 N Gulf Blvd	open
dona tere	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	2005 N Brazosport Blvd	open
Downtown Tacos	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	2024 N Brazosport Blvd	open
Drini Italian Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)		325 S Brazosport Blvd	open
Freeport Icehouse	Bar		1504 N Avenue I	open
Freeport Seafood & Bait	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2214 FM 523 Rd	open
General Wok	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	1721 N Brazosport Blvd	open
J J's Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cajun, Creole, Southern	1100 N Brazosport Blvd	open
Jack in the Box	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Sandwiches · Burgers	2101 N Brazosport Blvd	open
Jetty Shack	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		412 Parkview Rd	open
Kiki's Tiki Cantina	Casual dining · Bar		113 W Broad St	open
Kitty's Purple Cow	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	323 Ocean Ave	open
Krispy Krunchy Chicken	Buffet · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Chicken / wings	2616 Fm 523	open
Krispy Krunchy Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	1607 Highway 332	open
La Caza Azul	Bar · Food truck · Casual dining		307 S Gulf Blvd	open
La Islita Bar And Grill	Bar		1504 N Avenue I	open
La Muchacha Alegre Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	2225 FM523	open
La Sirenita Seafood N Grill	Casual dining · Bar	Seafood · Mexican	4014 E TX-332	open
La Taqueria de Surfside	Quick service	Mexican	403 E Highway 332	open
Laredo Taco Company	Restaurant (service type not stated)		902 N. Brazosport Blvd.	open
Lisa's Burger Shoppe	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	2225 FM 523 Rd	open
Little Caesars Pizza Little Caesars	Quick service	Pizza · Italian	1822 N Brazosport Blvd	open
Lupita's Tacos	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	406 N Gulf Blvd	open
Mama C	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	212 W Park Ave	open
Maria Bonita's	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Mexican · American	325 S Brazosport Blvd	open
Maria's Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	317 S Avenue A	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	923 N Brazosport Blvd	open
Mi Pueblito Traditional Mexican Food	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	321 N Gulf Blvd	open
Mi Ranchito Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	2522 FM523	open
Michelle's Cajun Food Truck	Food truck · Delivery-focused			open
Michelle's Cajun Shack	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cajun, Creole, Southern	321 N Gulf Blvd	open
Minute Market Indian Food	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Delivery-focused	Indian	1702 N Brazosport Blvd	open
Mist Lounge Freeport	Bar		1100 N Brazosport Blvd	open
Nethery's Dew Drop Inn	Bar		211 Redfish Dr	open
NL Deposito Bar & Grill	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		1504 N Avenue I	open
Norie's	Buffet · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	324 S Avenue D	open
On the River Restaurant & Catering	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · American	919 W 2nd St	open
Outrigger's Bar & Grill	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		75 Oak St	open
Oyster Creek Ice House	Bar · Quick service	Steakhouse	2315 FM 523 Rd	open
Paradise Donuts	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert	2214 FM 523 Rd	open
Pier 30	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	American	1601 TX-332	open
Pinkey's Daquiri's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		307 Gulf Park Rd	open
Pinky's Daiquiris	Bar		307 S Gulf Blvd	open
Pizza Hut	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	702 N Brazosport Blvd	open
Pizza Pro	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	6422 Stephen F Austin Rd	open
Port Cafe	Casual dining	American · Breakfast	831 W 2nd St	open
Pour Decisions	Bar		523 W 2nd St	open
Ram's BBQ & Catering Service	Quick service		6818 TX 332	open
red top	Restaurant (service type not stated)		327 S Brazosport Blvd	open
Rhythm & Brews	Bar · Casual dining		322 Windward Way	open
Rikos Elotes	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Mexican · American	1502 N Brazosport Blvd	open
Rudy Roo's Seafood	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · Burgers	1515 N Brazosport Blvd	open
Sabre Farms Jones Creek	Restaurant (service type not stated)		127 Hagerman Rd	open
Salty Pelican Surfside Beach	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		403 E Highway 332	open
Seahorse Bar & Grill	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		310 Ocean Dr	open
Serrano's Mexican Food	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	1219 N Brazosport Blvd	open
Sharkies Bar & Grill	Casual dining · Bar	American · Seafood	10 Surf Dr	open
Shipley Do-Nuts Shipley Do-Nuts	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert · Bakery	806 N Brazosport Blvd	open
Sin-Tex Tacos & Mariscos	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Seafood · Mexican	321 N Gulf Blvd	open
Sista White's Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	503 S Gulf Blvd	open
Sit N Bull	Bar		100 N Gulf Blvd	open
Sno-Ball Fanatic	Dessert		111 Fort Velasco Dr	open
Sonic Drive In Sonic Drive-In	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	1605 Brazosport Boulevard	open
Subway Subway	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Other · Quick service	Sandwiches	323 S Brazosport Blvd	open
Surfin Rita Daiquiris To-Go	Bar		323 Ocean Ave	open
Sweet T's Diner	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	230 W 2nd St	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	1102 N. Brazosport Blvd	open
Taco Jalisco	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	6805 TX-36	open
Tacos Zayra	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	1515 N Avenue J	open
Talk About Good Restaurant & Catering	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	2105 N Brazosport Blvd	open
Taqueria Daisy	Restaurant (service type not stated)		723 N Brazosport Blvd	open
Taqueria Daisy	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	723 N Brazosport Blvd	open
Taqueria Guadalajara	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	218 S Gulf Blvd	open
Taqueria Samantha	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	1922 W 4th St	open
Texana Pepper	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	106 Cora Dr	open
Texas Rivers Distilling	Winery / distillery / taproom		202 S Gulf Blvd	open
The Bluewater Drift	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	Seafood	11511 Bluewater Hwy	open
The Bonfire Drift	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	BBQ	930 Bluewater Hwy	open
The Gravel Bar	Bar · Casual dining		525 County Rd 330	open
The Jetties	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	104 2nd St	open
The King's Court TX	Food truck	Burgers · American	528 N Gulf Blvd	open
The Picket Fence Two	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	2005 N Brazosport Blvd	open
The Red Snapper Inn	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · Cajun, Creole, Southern	402 Bluewater Hwy	open
The Well	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	135 Shark Ln	open
This Is It	Quick service		503 S Gulf Blvd	open
Throw A Munch LLC	Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated)		11511 Blue Water Hwy	open
Tito's Cousine	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Food truck		1624 N Brazosport Blvd	open
Tracy's Tavern	Bar		523 W 2nd St	open
Trico Shrimp Co wholesale	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	503 Spruce St	open
Turn of the Tide Cafe	Café · Buffet	Coffee · American	320 N Velasco Blvd	open
Twisters	Bar		23 S Gulf Blvd	open
Two Rivers Industrial	Quick service		919 W 2nd St	open
Under the Bridge	Bar		4923 County Road 227	open
Daniel's Corner	Restaurant (service type not stated)		321 N Gulf Blvd	closed
Porthole Inc	Bar		111 Fort Velasco Dr	closed
Roc’s American Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)		212 W Park St	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	25	19	—	—	—	6	SIC1987
1995	23	18	—	—	—	5	SIC1987
1996	23	18	—	—	—	5	SIC1987
1997	25	20	—	—	—	5	SIC1987
1998	26	21	9	11	1	4	NAICS1997
1999	26	22	10	11	1	2	NAICS1997
2000	20	17	8	8	1	1	NAICS1997
2001	21	18	9	8	1	1	NAICS1997
2002	26	21	9	11	1	4	NAICS1997
2003	25	21	11	10	—	3	NAICS2002
2004	24	20	11	9	—	3	NAICS2002
2005	21	19	10	8	1	1	NAICS2002
2006	23	21	11	9	1	1	NAICS2002
2007	28	24	13	10	1	3	NAICS2002
2008	28	23	12	9	2	4	NAICS2007
2009	23	19	9	9	1	3	NAICS2007
2010	26	23	11	11	1	2	NAICS2007
2011	28	22	10	11	1	5	NAICS2007
2012	24	21	10	10	1	2	NAICS2012
2013	31	27	15	10	2	3	NAICS2012
2014	28	25	13	10	2	2	NAICS2012
2015	30	26	13	10	3	3	NAICS2012
2016	32	27	15	9	3	3	NAICS2012
2017	30	24	12	9	3	4	NAICS2017
2018	31	24	11	10	3	5	NAICS2017
2019	28	24	12	9	3	—	NAICS2017
2020	27	23	12	9	—	3	NAICS2017
2021	28	23	11	10	—	3	NAICS2017
2022	29	23	12	9	—	4	NAICS2022
2023	30	25	12	10	3	3	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 77541. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
77531	4.9 mi	35	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.