BMIE Market 77563

Galveston County, Texas · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	9,955 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±568 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	4,052 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±311 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	9,103 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	4,421 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$75,806 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±11,629 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	39.5 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±6 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,370 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±89 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$220,700 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±26,428 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	44.2 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	7 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 77563
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	6.6 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+16.7% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-12.5% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+16.7% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+250.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	7 (range 5–9) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, 0.0 per year, r² 0.03) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	57 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	65 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	52 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	51 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 77563. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, 0.0 restaurants per year, r² 0.03, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Texas and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,534, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 57 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	65.1	65	40%	+26.0
Restaurant Opportunity Score	52.4	52	35%	+18.3
Market Momentum Score	51.1	51	25%	+12.8

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 65 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	9,955	71	40%	+28.3
Median household income (ACS)	75,806	56	40%	+22.6
Households (ACS)	4,052	71	20%	+14.2

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 52 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-12.5	17	35%	+5.9
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	7.0	84	25%	+21.1
Population (ACS)	9,955	71	20%	+14.1
Median household income (ACS)	75,806	56	20%	+11.3

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 51 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	16.7	75	50%	+37.3
10-year restaurant growth	-12.5	17	30%	+5.1
20-year restaurant growth	16.7	44	20%	+8.7

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (35)

By cuisine

Mexican 6 · BBQ 4 · American 3 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 3 · Dessert 2 · Latin American (other) 2 · Sandwiches 2 · Breakfast 1 · British / Irish pub food 1 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Italian 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Pizza 1 · Seafood 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 20 · Bar 11 · Casual dining 5 · Quick service 5 · Dessert 3 · Bakery 1 · Catering 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Baja Cantina	Casual dining · Bar	Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Mexican	3145 Highway 6	open
Bayou Bistro and Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Italian	3111 Hwy 6	open
Chiquis Juicy Crawfish	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	4533 Pelican St	open
Daddy's lil Girl	Restaurant (service type not stated)		6804 Backstrom St	open
Daiquiris On 6	Bar		9741 Hwy 6	open
Dickey's Barbecue Pit	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Sandwiches	1715 S Main St	open
Dixie Queen Donuts	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert	Dessert	8307 Hwy 6	open
El Cantaro Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · British / Irish pub food	8735 Hwy 6	open
El Halcon	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	5903 Hwy 6	open
El Sombrero Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Mexican · Latin American (other)	9302 TX-6	open
Jack in the Box	Quick service		7728 Highway 6	open
JJ'S Diamonds	Bar		6022 N Martin Luther King Ave	open
Krispy Krunchy Chicken	Quick service		7425 Highway 6	open
Kyleigh's Detroit Style Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	3139 Highway 6	open
La Frontera Number 2 Hitchcock La Frontera #2	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Mexican · Latin American (other)	7806 Hwy 6	open
Larry's Louisiana Rib's & More	Catering	BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern	8735 Highway 6	open
Louis' Bait Camp & Restaurant	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	3510 Highway 6	open
Mary's Sweet Shoppe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast	3139 Highway 6	open
Mi Molcasalsa Taco Shop	Restaurant (service type not stated)		8735 Highway 6	open
Moe's Place	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		3810 Highway 6	open
Mr Calvin	Bar · Casual dining		6022 N Martin Luther King Ave	open
Notorious Ice	Dessert · Juice, smoothie, tea	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Juice / smoothies	840 Marlin St	open
Palms	Bar		4728 Hwy 6	open
Pipeliners Hideout	Bar		7326 N Railroad Ave	open
Prestige Bar	Bar		3510 Highway 6	open
Rico’s Tacos El Primo	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	7127 Hwy 6	open
Simplee Smokin	Restaurant (service type not stated)		8735 Highway 6 Ste B	open
Smokin' Z's BBQ & Kraft Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · American	3115 Hwy 6	open
Sonic Drive-In	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)		7017 FM 2004 Rd	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	6731 Main Street	open
Taztee Treatz Sweet Shop & Deli	Dessert	Dessert	8111 Highway 6	open
The BBQ Island	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	7414 Burns St	open
The Brown Bomber Bar & Grill	Casual dining · Bar		633 Warsaw St	open
The Hitchcock Post	Casual dining · Bar		5606 FM 2004 RD	open
Ocean Grill Restaurants Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		3111 Neptune Dr # 6	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	3	2	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1995	3	3	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	6	4	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1997	8	6	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1998	8	4	2	2	—	3	NAICS1997
1999	6	3	2	1	—	2	NAICS1997
2000	5	3	2	1	—	1	NAICS1997
2001	7	6	4	2	—	1	NAICS1997
2002	7	6	5	1	—	—	NAICS1997
2003	7	6	5	1	—	—	NAICS2002
2004	8	7	6	1	—	—	NAICS2002
2005	8	7	5	2	—	—	NAICS2002
2006	8	6	4	2	—	1	NAICS2002
2007	8	6	4	2	—	1	NAICS2002
2008	9	7	4	3	—	1	NAICS2007
2009	8	6	4	2	—	1	NAICS2007
2010	8	6	4	2	—	1	NAICS2007
2011	9	6	4	2	—	1	NAICS2007
2012	11	7	5	2	—	2	NAICS2012
2013	9	8	6	2	—	—	NAICS2012
2014	7	6	4	2	—	—	NAICS2012
2015	8	7	4	3	—	—	NAICS2012
2016	9	8	4	4	—	—	NAICS2012
2017	8	7	4	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	8	6	3	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	8	6	—	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	10	7	4	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	10	7	3	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	10	7	4	3	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	10	7	—	4	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 77563. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
77510	4.7 mi	16	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.