BMIE Market 77510

Galveston County, Texas · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	14,155 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,288 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	5,441 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±573 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	13,731 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	5,478 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$102,651 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±9,523 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	44.2 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,267 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±159 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$333,100 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±22,970 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	30.4 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	16 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 77510
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	10.2 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-11.1% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+33.3% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+100.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	16 (range 13–20) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.2 per year, r² 0.15) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	60 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	78 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	61 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	30 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 77510. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.2 restaurants per year, r² 0.15, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Texas and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,534, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 60 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	78.4	78	40%	+31.4
Restaurant Opportunity Score	60.7	61	35%	+21.3
Market Momentum Score	30.3	30	25%	+7.6

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 78 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	14,155	76	40%	+30.3
Median household income (ACS)	102,651	83	40%	+33.0
Households (ACS)	5,441	76	20%	+15.1

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 61 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	0	35	35%	+12.3
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	11.3	67	25%	+16.8
Population (ACS)	14,155	76	20%	+15.1
Median household income (ACS)	102,651	83	20%	+16.5

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 30 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-11.1	18	50%	+8.9
10-year restaurant growth	0	35	30%	+10.5
20-year restaurant growth	33.3	54	20%	+10.9

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (63)

By cuisine

Coffee 7 · Dessert 7 · American 6 · Mexican 6 · Pizza 6 · Bakery 5 · BBQ 3 · Burgers 3 · Latin American (other) 3 · Sandwiches 3 · Seafood 3 · Breakfast 2 · Chicken / wings 2 · Asian 1 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · Chinese 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Italian 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Middle Eastern 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 26 · Bar 19 · Quick service 12 · Casual dining 9 · Dessert 7 · Bakery 6 · Café 5 · Coffee shop 4 · Food truck 2 · Specialty food shop 2 · Delivery-focused 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
A's Taqueria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	13405 Highway 6	open
Alta Loma Cafe	Café	Coffee	11948 Highway 6	open
Armadilleaux Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · BBQ	13230 FM1764	open
Big Horn BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Middle Eastern	12611 FM 1764 Rd	open
Bleu Willow Market	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	10820 FM 2004 Rd	open
Blue's Bar & Grill	Casual dining · Bar	American	11948 Hwy 6	open
Church's Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	13530 Texas 6	open
Cowboy Coffee	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee · Breakfast	3723 b FM 646 Rd	open
Daryl's Place	Bar · Casual dining		3330 Avenue A	open
Dillon Donuts	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert · Breakfast · Bakery	10527 FM 1764 Rd	open
Domino's Pizza Domino's Pizza	Quick service · Delivery-focused	Pizza	12600 FM1764	open
Donuts Store Santa Fe	Bakery · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Coffee · Bakery		open
Driftwood BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	BBQ	3805 FM 646 Rd	open
El Valle Mexican Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Coffee	11942 Hwy 6	open
Faust Bar and Grill	Casual dining · Bar			open
Fish Place	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Seafood · American	12240 Hwy 6	open
Freedom Bar & Grill	Casual dining · Bar		Lamar lane	open
G-Maw's Sweets	Dessert	Dessert	13265 33rd St	open
Gig's	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		3723 FM 646 Rd N	open
Glaciers Sno-cones	Dessert · Food truck	Dessert	4115 FM 646 Rd N	open
Golden DoNut	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert	11950 Highway 6	open
Grammys Cottage Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	11403 28th St	open
Greedy's Food Truck	Food truck · Quick service		10648 FM-1764	open
Haak Vineyards & Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		6310 Avenue T	open
Hubcap Grill - Santa Fe	Casual dining · Bar	Burgers · American	12405 FM1764	open
Kat's Bbq	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	3805 FM 646 Rd N	open
La Frontera	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Latin American (other)	13210 Hwy 6	open
Little Caesars Pizza Little Caesars	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	13120 Hwy 6	open
Lorenzo's Pizza Lorenzo's Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	12995 Hwy 6	open
Marguerite's M-bar	Bar		3330 Avenue A	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	12400 Hwy 6	open
Mugshots Coffee Bar	Coffee shop · Café · Bar	Coffee	12494 Hwy 6	open
Pizza Hut Pizza Hut	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Pizza	12404 Hwy. 6 Galveston	open
Pook's Crawfish Hole	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · Cajun, Creole, Southern	4015 FM 646 Rd N	open
Poups Pub	Bar			open
Red Cap Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee · American	13419 Hwy 6	open
Roosters Orange Bar	Bar		6903 FM 646 Rd S	open
Shipley Do-Nuts Shipley Do-Nuts	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert · Bakery	13200 Hwy 6	open
Shipley's Do-Nut Shop	Bakery	Bakery	13113 Highway 6	open
Simple Simon's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	13203 Lynn Ln	open
Simplee Smokin LLC	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Casual dining	American	13204 Hwy 6	open
Snohut Snoballs	Dessert	Dessert · Ice cream / frozen desserts	13105 Hwy 6	open
Spankies Ice House	Bar		9002 FM 2004	open
Spicy Chicken Cafe	Quick service		4538 Avenue M	open
Starbucks	Coffee shop	Coffee	13530 Highway 6	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches		open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Specialty food shop	Sandwiches	12496 Hwy 6	open
Taco Bell	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings · Mexican	12240 Highway 6	open
Taqueria Flores	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	12995 Hwy 6	open
taqueria la victoria #2	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	12347 Hwy 6	open
The Bunker Cigar Lounge	Bar		12425 Hwy 6 #2	open
The Crown Reserve - Backyard Swim Up Bar and Grill	Casual dining · Bar			open
The Driftwood	Bar		12605 Hwy 6	open
The Dugout Beer and Wine Garden The Atlas Room	Bar		3805 FM 646 Rd N	open
The Libation Station	Restaurant (service type not stated)		13111 Highway 6	open
Triple Bar Estates, Santa Fe, Texas	Bar			open
True Health Nutrition	Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies	12425 Highway 6	open
VFW Post 5400	Bar		11230 Hwy 6	open
Village Pizza and Seafood Village Pizza and Seafood	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · Pizza	12407 Hwy 6	open
Warpath & Hwy 6 Whataburger	Quick service		4206 Warpath Avenue	open
Whataburger	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	4206 Warpath Avenue	open
Wong's Express	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	12333 Hwy 6	open
Senor Frog	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Latin American (other)	13210 Highway 6	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	9	8	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1995	9	8	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1996	10	8	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1997	19	16	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1998	18	14	6	8	—	4	NAICS1997
1999	17	14	6	8	—	3	NAICS1997
2000	21	17	7	10	—	4	NAICS1997
2001	20	16	7	9	—	4	NAICS1997
2002	16	11	4	7	—	4	NAICS1997
2003	15	12	6	5	1	3	NAICS2002
2004	16	14	5	8	1	2	NAICS2002
2005	16	14	5	8	1	2	NAICS2002
2006	16	14	4	9	1	2	NAICS2002
2007	17	15	4	11	—	2	NAICS2002
2008	17	15	4	11	—	2	NAICS2007
2009	16	14	4	10	—	2	NAICS2007
2010	16	14	5	8	1	2	NAICS2007
2011	15	13	4	8	1	2	NAICS2007
2012	22	18	6	10	2	3	NAICS2012
2013	18	16	4	10	2	2	NAICS2012
2014	22	19	5	12	2	3	NAICS2012
2015	21	19	5	12	2	2	NAICS2012
2016	22	20	5	13	2	2	NAICS2012
2017	23	21	6	12	3	—	NAICS2017
2018	21	18	5	11	—	3	NAICS2017
2019	22	20	6	11	3	—	NAICS2017
2020	20	18	4	12	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	18	17	3	12	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	17	16	—	12	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	17	16	—	12	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 77510. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
77517	3.1 mi	5	2023
77563	4.7 mi	7	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.