BMIE Market 77619
Jefferson County, Texas · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 16,976 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±39 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 6,131 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±400 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 16,147 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 7,041 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $73,710 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±10,238 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 38.9 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $1,286 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±152 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $163,600 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±7,637 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 5.4 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 22 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 77619 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 8.1 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | +15.8% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +37.5% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +69.2% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +46.7% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 22 (range 19–25) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.3 per year, r² 0.28) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 70 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 68 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 68 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 75 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 77619. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.3 restaurants per year, r² 0.28, confidence Low.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. Texas and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,534, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 70 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 68.1 | 68 | 40% | +27.2 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 68.0 | 68 | 35% | +23.8 |
| Market Momentum Score | 74.5 | 75 | 25% | +18.6 |
Consumer Market Score: 68 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 16,976 | 79 | 40% | +31.4 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 73,710 | 53 | 40% | +21.2 |
| Households (ACS) | 6,131 | 77 | 20% | +15.5 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 68 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 37.5 | 76 | 35% | +26.6 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 13.0 | 60 | 25% | +15.1 |
| Population (ACS) | 16,976 | 79 | 20% | +15.7 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 73,710 | 53 | 20% | +10.6 |
Market Momentum Score: 75 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | 15.8 | 74 | 50% | +36.9 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 37.5 | 76 | 30% | +22.8 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 69.2 | 74 | 20% | +14.9 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (48)
By cuisine
American 13 · Dessert 8 · Bakery 7 · Coffee 5 · Burgers 4 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 4 · Seafood 4 · BBQ 3 · Mexican 3 · Sandwiches 3 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 2 · Chicken / wings 2 · Chinese 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · Pizza 2 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 2 · Steakhouse 2 · Asian 1 · Italian 1 · Latin American (other) 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 21 · Quick service 13 · Dessert 10 · Bakery 7 · Café 5 · Casual dining 4 · Coffee shop 4 · Bar 2 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Other 2 · Buffet 1 · Delivery-focused 1 · Food truck 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A.g.e. Bbq & Steakhouse, Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 4700 Twin City Hwy | open | |
| Baytown Seafood | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood · Cajun, Creole, Southern | 4830 Twin City Hwy | open |
| Chick-fil-A Chick-fil-A | Quick service | Chicken / wings · American | 5100 W Parkway St | open |
| Colichia's Italian Village | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Italian · American | 5601 E Parkway St | open |
| Dairy Queen Dairy Queen | Quick service · Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 6250 39th St 6250 39th St | open |
| Domino's Domino's Pizza | Delivery-focused · Quick service | Pizza | 4101 Main Ave | open |
| Donut Hole | Bakery · Dessert | Dessert · Bakery | 3324 Pure Atlantic Rd | open |
| Donut Shop | Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert | Dessert · Bakery | 5100 Twin City Hwy | open |
| Doxie Coffee | Coffee shop · Café | Coffee | 4233 Lincoln Ave | open |
| DQ Grill & Chill DQ Grill & Chill | Quick service | 6250 39th St | open | |
| Dulcería Casique | Dessert | Dessert | 3048 Main Ave | open |
| Famous Buffet | Buffet · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | American | 5080 Twin City Hwy | open |
| Fast Freddy's Barbeque | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ · Burgers · American | 3380 Pure Atlantic Rd | open |
| Groves Cafe and Coffee Bar | Other | Sandwiches | 6039 39th St | open |
| Icy Donuts | Bakery · Dessert | Dessert · Bakery | 3855 Main Ave | open |
| KICK HOT Chick’n | Quick service | 4850 Twin City Hwy | open | |
| Krave Energy | Café · Coffee shop | Coffee | 6159 39th St | open |
| Larry & Rita's Mexican Cajun Bar & Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 3701 Pure Atlantic Rd | open |
| Larry's Billiards Sports Bar & Lounge | Bar | 3701 Pure Atlantic Rd | open | |
| Maria's Diner | Casual dining | American · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Mexican | 3848 Main Ave | open |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 4500 Twin City Highway | open |
| Monceaux's | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood · Steakhouse · American | 3947 Main Ave | open |
| Nannie & Pawpaws Sno Biz | Dessert · Juice, smoothie, tea | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Juice / smoothies | 6050 39th St | open |
| New Wok | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese | 3855 Main Ave | open |
| P & J Seafood | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood | 3301 Pure Atlantic Rd | open |
| Papa Levi's Snowcones | Dessert · Juice, smoothie, tea | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Juice / smoothies | 3651 Main Ave | open |
| Pit Side BBQ | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Food truck | BBQ | 3445 Main Ave | open |
| Pizza Artista | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 3814 Main Ave Unit A | open |
| Popeyes Louisiana Kitchen Popeyes Louisiana Kitchen | Quick service | Chicken / wings · Cajun, Creole, Southern | 4850 Twin City Hwy | open |
| POPS BOIL N GEAUX | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | American · Seafood | 3814 Main Ave | open |
| Rbf Port Neches LLC | Other | Sandwiches | 6501 Hogaboom Rd | open |
| Sam's China Inn | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 4848 N Twin City Hwy | open |
| Shop Lincoln Ave • Groves Texas Business District | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 4321 Lincoln Ave | open |
| Silvia's Tacos | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 3303 Taft Ave | open |
| Sip N Sip | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | 5360 N Twin City Hwy | open | |
| Stacked Cake and Confection Co. | Bakery · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | 4318 Lincoln Ave | open |
| Starbucks Coffee Company Starbucks | Coffee shop · Café · Bakery | Coffee · Bakery | 3990 Twin City Hwy | open |
| Subway Subway | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 7201 32nd Street | open |
| Sundara Coffee House and Grill | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 4000 Lincoln Ave | open |
| Taco Bell Taco Bell | Quick service | Mexican | 4630 Twin City Hwy | open |
| The Courtyard | Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) | American · Coffee | 4321 Lincoln Ave | open |
| The Donut Palace | Bakery · Dessert | Dessert · Bakery | 4610 Main Ave | open |
| The Tasty Patio | Dessert | Dessert · Ice cream / frozen desserts | 6050 39th St | open |
| Tony's Barbecue and Steakhouse Tony's BBQ #1 Baytown | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ · Steakhouse · American | 4700 Twin City Hwy | open |
| Twin City Hwy Groves Whataburger | Quick service | 4800 Twin City Hwy | open | |
| Two Sweet | Bakery | Bakery | 3927 Russell St | open |
| Wendy's Wendy's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 4600 Twin City Highway | open |
| Whataburger Whataburger | Quick service | Burgers · American | 4800 Twin City Hwy | open |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 16 | 15 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 14 | 13 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 13 | 12 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 13 | 13 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 13 | 13 | 3 | 9 | 1 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 14 | 14 | 4 | 9 | 1 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 16 | 14 | 4 | 9 | 1 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 14 | 14 | 4 | 9 | 1 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 14 | 13 | 3 | 9 | 1 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 13 | 13 | 3 | 9 | 1 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 14 | 14 | 3 | 10 | 1 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 15 | 15 | 5 | 9 | 1 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 13 | 13 | 3 | 9 | 1 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 12 | 12 | 3 | 8 | 1 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 12 | 12 | 4 | 8 | — | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 13 | 13 | 4 | 8 | 1 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 14 | 13 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 16 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 2 | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 15 | 15 | 4 | 10 | 1 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 17 | 16 | 4 | 10 | 2 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 17 | 17 | 6 | 10 | 1 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 20 | 20 | 8 | 10 | 2 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 21 | 20 | 6 | 11 | 3 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 19 | 19 | 5 | 12 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 19 | 19 | 6 | 10 | 3 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 18 | 18 | 5 | 11 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 19 | 18 | 6 | 10 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 17 | 17 | 7 | 8 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 21 | 21 | 7 | 9 | 5 | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 22 | 22 | 9 | 9 | 4 | — | NAICS2022 |