BMIE Market 77651
Jefferson County, Texas · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 13,664 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±49 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 5,469 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±415 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 13,043 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 5,569 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $81,637 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±10,388 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 41.1 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $1,095 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±110 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $253,200 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±19,245 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 11.0 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 25 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 77651 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 9.2 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | +56.3% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +66.7% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +66.7% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +150.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 31 (range 26–36) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +1.3 per year, r² 0.78) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 74 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 71 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 69 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 87 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 77651. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +1.3 restaurants per year, r² 0.78, confidence High.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. Texas and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,534, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 74 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 70.9 | 71 | 40% | +28.4 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 68.9 | 69 | 35% | +24.1 |
| Market Momentum Score | 86.9 | 87 | 25% | +21.7 |
Consumer Market Score: 71 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 13,664 | 75 | 40% | +30.1 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 81,637 | 64 | 40% | +25.7 |
| Households (ACS) | 5,469 | 76 | 20% | +15.1 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 69 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 66.7 | 87 | 35% | +30.6 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 18.3 | 42 | 25% | +10.5 |
| Population (ACS) | 13,664 | 75 | 20% | +15.0 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 81,637 | 64 | 20% | +12.9 |
Market Momentum Score: 87 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | 56.3 | 92 | 50% | +46.0 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 66.7 | 87 | 30% | +26.2 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 66.7 | 73 | 20% | +14.7 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (55)
By cuisine
American 11 · Dessert 8 · Coffee 6 · Mexican 6 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 5 · Bakery 4 · Pizza 4 · BBQ 3 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 3 · Sandwiches 3 · Asian 2 · Burgers 2 · Chicken / wings 2 · Healthy / salads / bowls 2 · Italian 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · Seafood 2 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 2 · Breakfast 1 · Caribbean 1 · Chinese 1 · Spanish / tapas 1 · Steakhouse 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1 · Vietnamese 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 30 · Dessert 11 · Bar 8 · Quick service 6 · Café 5 · Bakery 4 · Casual dining 4 · Coffee shop 3 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Buffet 1 · Food truck 1 · Other 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Cajun Pigs Mobile Catering | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1201 Nall St | open | |
| Apa Pool League Of Southeast Texas | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 2313 Nederland Ave | open | |
| Avenue Axe Sports Bar | Bar | 1126 Port Neches Ave | open | |
| Billy Joe's Bar-B-Q | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American | 2029 Magnolia Ave | open |
| Blimpie America's Sub Shop | Other | Sandwiches | 2501 Magnolia Ave | open |
| Chicken Express | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 2615 Nall St | open |
| Chocolate Kingdom Delight | Dessert | 1702 Port Neches Ave | open | |
| Classic BBQ Company | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ · Sandwiches | 1107 Port Neches Ave | open |
| Covfefe Cafe | Coffee shop | Coffee | 3120 Saba Ln | open |
| Dairy Queen Dairy Queen | Quick service · Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 854 Magnolia Ave 854 Magnolia Ave | open |
| Daylight Donuts Daylight Donuts of Portales | Bakery · Dessert | Dessert · Bakery | 1601 Magnolia Ave | open |
| Debbie's Delights | Bakery · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | 2209 7th St | open |
| DQ Grill & Chill DQ Grill & Chill | Quick service | 854 Magnolia Ave | open | |
| Fabled Grounds Book Cafe | Café · Coffee shop | Coffee | 2926 Nall St | open |
| Gather: Paleo Café & Market | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee · Healthy / salads / bowls | 1811 Magnolia Ave | open |
| Gilbert Pond, Pub & Washer Pit | Bar | 410 2nd St | open | |
| Green Door | Bar | 402 E Port Neches Ave | open | |
| Jack in the Box | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Burgers | 706 Magnolia Ave | open |
| Joe's Italian Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian · Pizza | 2839 Nall St | open |
| Kajun Tails | Food truck | American | 1107 Port Neches Ave | open |
| Krispy Krunchy Chicken | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 702 Ridgewood Dr | open |
| La Fiesta Mexican Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 2337 Nederland Ave | open |
| La Fiesta Mexican Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 2337 Nederland Ave | open |
| La Reyna De Michoacán | Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Mexican | 1417 Magnolia Ave | open |
| La Salsitas Express | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 706 Magnolia Ave | open |
| La Torcia Brick Oven Pizza - Port Neches La Torcia Brick Oven Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 2701 Nall St | open |
| Las Rosa's Mexican Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 1021 Magnolia Ave | open |
| Meridian Wine Bar | Bar | Spanish / tapas | 1228 Port Neches Ave | open |
| Mike's Old Fashioned Soda Fountain | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert · American | 1302 Port Neches Ave | open |
| My Tribe Nutrition | Juice, smoothie, tea | Juice / smoothies · Tea / bubble tea | 2102 Magnolia Ave | open |
| Neches Brewing Company | Brewery / taproom | 1108 Port Neches Ave | open | |
| Neches River Wheelhouse | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar | American | 720 Lee Ave | open |
| Pho Neches | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Vietnamese · Asian | 2370 Nall St | open |
| Pizza Inn Pizza Inn | Buffet · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 1501 Magnolia Ave | open |
| Pizza Pro | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 2825 Nall St | open |
| Pour Neches | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | American | 820 Lee Ave | open |
| Redbird BBQ | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American | 1104 Port Neches Ave | open |
| Riverside Tavern | Bar | 234 Grigsby Ave | open | |
| Sazón Dulce Authentic Puerto Rican Cuisine | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Caribbean | 2825 Nall St Suite 19B | open |
| Sea Ranch Cafe | Café | Seafood · Coffee · American | 1305 Magnolia Ave | open |
| Shipley Do-Nuts Shipley Do-Nuts | Bakery · Dessert | Dessert · Bakery | 2370 Nall St Ste. G | open |
| Snow Cone Factory | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | open | |
| Sonic Drive In Sonic Drive-In | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 772 Magnolia | open |
| Subway Subway | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 2222 Nall St | open |
| Sugar Momma Confections | Bakery · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | 2825 Nall St Ste 18A | open |
| Talked About Sweets | Dessert | Breakfast · Dessert | 2337 Nederland Ave | open |
| The Avenue Coffee & Cafe | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 1226 Port Neches Ave | open |
| The Eagles Port Neches | Bar | open | ||
| The Feed Store | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | American · Cajun, Creole, Southern | 301 Grigsby Ave | open |
| The Magnolia Diner | Casual dining · Café | American · Coffee | 2401 Port Neches Ave | open |
| The Pompano | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Steakhouse · Seafood · American | 330 Twin City Hwy | open |
| The Rad Rooster LLC | Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert | Juice / smoothies · Ice cream / frozen desserts | 1107 Port Neches Ave | open |
| True Prep Company | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Healthy / salads / bowls | 2848 Nall St Ste A | open |
| Wheel House Restaurant Port Neches | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | open | |
| Wok D'Lite | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 1201 Magnolia Ave | open |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 13 | 10 | — | — | — | 3 | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 9 | 8 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 7 | 7 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 10 | 10 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 9 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 12 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 15 | 15 | 6 | 8 | 1 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 13 | 13 | 7 | 6 | — | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 12 | 12 | 6 | 6 | — | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 12 | 12 | 6 | 6 | — | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 14 | 13 | 6 | 7 | — | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 12 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 13 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 12 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 1 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 13 | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 15 | 15 | 7 | 8 | — | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 15 | 15 | 6 | 9 | — | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 13 | 13 | 6 | 7 | — | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 14 | 14 | 6 | 7 | 1 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 13 | 13 | 6 | 6 | 1 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 13 | 13 | 6 | 6 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 16 | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 19 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 18 | 17 | 6 | 8 | 3 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 23 | 23 | 9 | 11 | 3 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 25 | 25 | 11 | 10 | 4 | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 26 | 25 | 12 | 9 | 4 | — | NAICS2022 |