BMIE Market 77627

Jefferson County, Texas · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	22,357 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±737 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	9,152 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±403 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	21,454 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	9,460 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$78,001 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±5,579 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	37.1 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,329 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±221 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$208,700 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±12,522 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	13.2 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	51 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 77627
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	14.0 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+27.5% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+50.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+82.1% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+75.9% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	56 (range 53–60) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +1.5 per year, r² 0.89) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	73 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	74 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	65 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	81 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 77627. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +1.5 restaurants per year, r² 0.89, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Texas and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,534, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 73 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	73.8	74	40%	+29.5
Restaurant Opportunity Score	64.9	65	35%	+22.7
Market Momentum Score	81.3	81	25%	+20.3

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 74 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	22,357	83	40%	+33.3
Median household income (ACS)	78,001	59	40%	+23.7
Households (ACS)	9,152	84	20%	+16.8

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 65 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	50	82	35%	+28.8
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	22.8	31	25%	+7.7
Population (ACS)	22,357	83	20%	+16.7
Median household income (ACS)	78,001	59	20%	+11.9

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 81 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	27.5	82	50%	+41.1
10-year restaurant growth	50	82	30%	+24.7
20-year restaurant growth	82.1	78	20%	+15.5

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (113)

By cuisine

American 18 · Dessert 16 · Bakery 15 · Mexican 12 · Coffee 10 · Sandwiches 9 · Burgers 8 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 8 · Asian 7 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 7 · Chicken / wings 7 · Seafood 7 · BBQ 6 · Pizza 6 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 5 · Juice / smoothies 3 · Latin American (other) 3 · Vietnamese 3 · Breakfast 2 · Chinese 2 · Healthy / salads / bowls 2 · Tea / bubble tea 2 · Brazilian 1 · Hot dogs 1 · Indian 1 · Italian 1 · Japanese 1 · Steakhouse 1 · Sushi 1 · Thai 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 50 · Quick service 26 · Dessert 20 · Bakery 15 · Bar 12 · Café 10 · Casual dining 9 · Coffee shop 5 · Specialty food shop 4 · Juice, smoothie, tea 4 · Other 3 · Catering 2 · Delivery-focused 2 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Buffet 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
A Pizza My Heart	Restaurant (service type not stated)		112 N 11th St	open
BECJ SnoBiz	Dessert	Dessert	1553 Nederland Ave	open
BLUE IGUANAS Taco Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Mexican · American	3720 Avenue E	open
Bobby's Homestyle Cooking	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Cajun, Creole, Southern	2750 Nederland Ave	open
Brick Oven Pizza - Nederland	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	2500 Nederland Ave Ste A	open
Buckstin Brewing Company Nederland	Brewery / taproom · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar		1211 Boston Ave	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	3619 Nederland Ave	open
Butchers Korner	Specialty food shop	BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern	1155 Boston Ave	open
Cali Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Vietnamese · Asian	1513 S Highway 69	open
Carmela's Mexican Restaurant Carmela’s Mexican Restaurant of Mid-County	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Mexican · Latin American (other)	1203 US-69	open
Champagne's Specialty Cakes And Bakery	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	812 S Twin City Hwy	open
Checkers Checkers	Quick service		1132 Nederland Avenue	open
ChemTreat	Restaurant (service type not stated)		4200 N Twin City Hwy	open
Church's Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	930 Nederland Ave	open
Corkran's Coffee	Café · Coffee shop	Coffee	1308 S 27th St	open
Cozy Crumb	Bakery	Bakery	803 S 6th St	open
Crumbl - Mid County	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bakery	Dessert · Bakery	1605 S Highway 69	open
Dairy Queen Dairy Queen	Quick service · Dessert	Burgers · Ice cream / frozen desserts	123 N 14th St	open
Daviss Donuts & Deli	Specialty food shop · Quick service · Dessert · Bakery	Sandwiches · Dessert · Bakery	1706 Highway 365	open
De Leon's Deli	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Sandwiches · Mexican	3327 N Twin City Hwy	open
Dickey's Barbecue Pit Dickey's Barbecue Pit National	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings · BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	1629 S Hwy 69	open
Dnj's Snobiz	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	1553 Nederland Ave	open
Doc's Yardhouse Nederland	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	1039 Nederland Ave	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Quick service · Delivery-focused	Pizza	1404 Nederland Ave	open
Donut Hole Spurlock Rd	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert · Breakfast · Bakery	3103 Spurlock Rd	open
Donut Palace	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert · Bakery	1536 Nederland Ave	open
DQ Grill & Chill DQ Grill & Chill	Quick service		123 N 14th St	open
El Refu Seafood	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Mexican	1039 Nederland Ave	open
Embers Club	Bar		3519 N Twin City Hwy	open
Fast Freddys	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	3113 Nederland Ave	open
For the Love of Foods	Delivery-focused · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Healthy / salads / bowls	2505 Nederland Ave	open
Golden Croissant	Bakery · Café	Bakery · Sandwiches · Coffee	2904 FM 365	open
Golden Dragon	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	3503 Nederland Ave	open
Grand Buffet	Buffet	Asian · Sushi · Japanese	2250 FM 365	open
GW Gyro & Wings	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches · Chicken / wings	1113 N Twin City Hwy	open
Hamburger Depot Hamburger Depot	Quick service	Burgers · American	1920 Nederland Ave	open
Happy Donuts	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert · Bakery	3123 Nederland Ave	open
Happy Donuts Happy Donuts	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert · Bakery	3328 N Twin City Hwy	open
Hey Grill Hey	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · American	920 S 27th St	open
Homemade Southern Treats	Bakery	Bakery		open
Irene's Lounge	Bar		147 N Twin City Hwy	open
Jason's Deli Port Arthur, TX: Central Mall Jason's Deli	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	3260 HIGHWAY 365	open
Jingo - Nederland	Restaurant (service type not stated)		903 Nederland Ave	open
Juanita's Country Kitchen	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	3113 Nederland Ave	open
Kimball's Creamery	Dessert	Dessert	110 S Twin City Hwy	open
Krispy Krunchy Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	2521 N Twin City Hwy	open
Kung Fu Tea Kung Fu Tea	Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Tea / bubble tea · Coffee	2828 FM 365	open
La Salsitas Express	Quick service		110 S Twin City Hwy	open
La Suprema Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Latin American (other)	3106 FM 365	open
Lab Chemical Supply	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2565 N Twin City Hwy Ste C	open
Lady Aggie D Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		3620 Nederland Ave	open
Legendairy Gelato • Cafe	Dessert · Café	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert · Coffee	1166 Boston Ave	open
Little Caesars Pizza Little Caesars	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1029 Nederland Ave	open
Los Bandidos	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	1344 Boston Ave	open
Louisiana Donuts & Pastries	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	3624 FM 365	open
Luke's Icehouse	Bar		1039 Nederland Ave	open
Mali Thai Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai · Asian	1027 Nederland Ave	open
Mama Kim's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Vietnamese · Asian	209 S Memorial Fwy	open
Margarette's Tamale Stand	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	2307 N Twin City Hwy	open
Maria's Diner	Casual dining	Mexican · Breakfast · American	1203 S Hwy 69	open
Mazzio's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	3028 Highway 365	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	3728 Nederland	open
Nederland Ave - Nederland Whataburger	Quick service		3535 Nederland Ave	open
Nederland Crawfish Stop	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	3220 Nederland Ave	open
Novrozsky's Hamburgers Novrozsky's Hamburgers, Etc.	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers · American	3016 FM 365	open
Nutrition With Attitude	Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies	3312 Highway 365	open
Papa Johns Papa John's Pizza	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	3004 highway 365	open
Pho-09 Vietnamese Cuisine	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Vietnamese · Asian	3324 Nederland Ave	open
Popeyes Popeyes Louisiana Kitchen	Quick service	Chicken / wings · Cajun, Creole, Southern	1804 Highway 365	open
Popeyes Louisiana Kitchen Popeyes Louisiana Kitchen	Quick service	Chicken / wings · Cajun, Creole, Southern	2621 U.S. 69 Access Rd	open
Raising Cane's Raising Cane's Chicken Fingers	Quick service	Chicken / wings · American	3324 Hwy 365	open
Rao's Bakery Rao's Bakery Calder	Coffee shop · Bakery · Café	Bakery · Coffee	3504 FM 365	open
Romeros Grill & Catering	Casual dining · Catering · Bar	American	112 N 11th St	open
Sartin's Seafood	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	3520 Nederland Ave	open
Sky banquet	Bar		200 N Memorial Fwy	open
SkyBar Lounge	Bar		200 N Memorial Fwy	open
Smoothie King Smoothie King	Juice, smoothie, tea · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Juice / smoothies · Healthy / salads / bowls	1033 Nederland Ave	open
Sno Cone Factory	Dessert	Dessert	175-311 N 27th St	open
Sombrero Mexican Grill	Casual dining · Bar	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	2095 U.S. 69 Access Rd	open
Sonic Drive In Sonic Drive-In	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	American	2205 Nederland Ave	open
Sorella's	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		1217 Boston Ave	open
Spoon it Frozen Yogurt	Dessert	Dessert · Ice cream / frozen desserts	1495 S Highway 69	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Quick service · Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Pizza · Coffee	3610 Highway 365	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	2521 N Twin City Hwy	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	1807 Nederland Ave	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	2357 Highway 69 N	open
Sun Wok Chinese Cafe	Café	Chinese · Coffee · Asian	1624 Nederland Ave	open
Sunny's Donut	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert · Bakery	1148 Nederland Ave	open
Sweetie's Cake Ball Shoppe	Bakery	Bakery	Avenue B	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	2816 Hwy 365	open
Taco Rey Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	1505 Nederland Ave	open
Tammy's Bar	Bar		103 8th Ave	open
The Bloom 827	Bakery · Dessert · Café	Bakery · Dessert · Coffee	912 N Twin City Hwy	open
The Boston Bean	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee · Sandwiches	1140 Boston Ave	open
The Cotton Candy Tree	Dessert		304 N 35th St	open
The Golden Cup	Coffee shop · Quick service · Café	Coffee	2423 Nederland Ave	open
The PourHouse	Bar · Casual dining		1198 Louise Dr	open
The Schooner Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · Steakhouse · American	1507 US-69	open
The Tamale King	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Mexican · American	2495 N Twin City Hwy	open
The Yogurt Bar TX	Other · Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	202 N 27th St	open
Touch Of Cajun Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · Cajun, Creole, Southern · BBQ	1147 Boston Ave	open
Touch Of Cajun live crawfish & Catering	Catering	Seafood · Cajun, Creole, Southern	2899 N Twin City Hwy	open
Triple G Smokehouse	Specialty food shop	BBQ	224 Boston Ave	open
Tuscany's	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Casual dining	Italian · American	3600 FM-365	open
TwinCity Seafood	Quick service	Seafood		open
Twirls & Swirls	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Dessert	215 12th St	open
Venya’s kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Indian · American	916 S 27th St	open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service	Burgers · American	2912 Peek Rd	open
Whataburger Whataburger	Quick service	Burgers · American	3535 Nederland Ave	open
Wienerschnitzel Wienerschnitzel	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Hot dogs	3620 Nederland Ave	open
Xtreme Nutrition	Juice, smoothie, tea	Tea / bubble tea · Juice / smoothies · Brazilian	2115 Nederland Ave	open
Happy Donuts	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert	3620 Highway 365	closed
San Juanita Mexican Restaurant 2	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	110 S Twin City Hwy	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	32	29	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1995	29	27	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1996	30	27	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1997	32	29	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1998	33	28	8	16	4	4	NAICS1997
1999	36	31	9	16	6	5	NAICS1997
2000	34	29	9	16	4	5	NAICS1997
2001	35	31	10	17	4	4	NAICS1997
2002	34	31	9	17	5	2	NAICS1997
2003	30	28	11	16	—	2	NAICS2002
2004	26	24	12	12	—	2	NAICS2002
2005	32	28	11	17	—	4	NAICS2002
2006	34	31	12	18	1	3	NAICS2002
2007	35	31	10	19	2	4	NAICS2002
2008	32	28	11	16	1	3	NAICS2007
2009	31	29	10	17	2	2	NAICS2007
2010	33	30	12	16	2	2	NAICS2007
2011	35	33	12	19	1	2	NAICS2007
2012	39	36	8	21	6	2	NAICS2012
2013	37	34	8	19	6	2	NAICS2012
2014	36	33	8	19	5	2	NAICS2012
2015	42	38	12	19	6	2	NAICS2012
2016	46	41	14	19	7	3	NAICS2012
2017	45	41	14	22	5	3	NAICS2017
2018	43	40	13	21	6	3	NAICS2017
2019	47	44	15	22	7	3	NAICS2017
2020	49	44	13	23	8	5	NAICS2017
2021	49	43	12	22	9	5	NAICS2017
2022	52	47	14	23	10	5	NAICS2022
2023	56	51	16	23	12	4	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 77627. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
77651	3.6 mi	25	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.