BMIE Market 77703
Jefferson County, Texas · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 11,004 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,287 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 4,206 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±419 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 15,006 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 6,369 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $31,803 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±7,696 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 32.0 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±7 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $992 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±77 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $87,600 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±19,924 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 8.7 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 7 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 77703 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 5.3 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | -12.5% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +0.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +0.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | -46.2% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 6 (range 4–8) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.1 per year, r² 0.07) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 41 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 44 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 49 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 25 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 77703. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.1 restaurants per year, r² 0.07, confidence Low.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. Texas and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,534, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 41 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 44.3 | 44 | 40% | +17.7 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 48.9 | 49 | 35% | +17.1 |
| Market Momentum Score | 24.5 | 25 | 25% | +6.1 |
Consumer Market Score: 44 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 11,004 | 72 | 40% | +28.9 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 31,803 | 3 | 40% | +1.1 |
| Households (ACS) | 4,206 | 72 | 20% | +14.4 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 49 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 0 | 35 | 35% | +12.3 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 6.4 | 87 | 25% | +21.7 |
| Population (ACS) | 11,004 | 72 | 20% | +14.4 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 31,803 | 3 | 20% | +0.5 |
Market Momentum Score: 25 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | -12.5 | 17 | 50% | +8.5 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 0 | 35 | 30% | +10.5 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 0 | 28 | 20% | +5.6 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (36)
By cuisine
Mexican 6 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 4 · Seafood 4 · American 3 · Chicken / wings 3 · Coffee 3 · Dessert 3 · BBQ 2 · Latin American (other) 2 · Asian 1 · Bakery 1 · Breakfast 1 · Indian 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Mediterranean 1 · Pizza 1 · Sandwiches 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 18 · Quick service 9 · Bar 5 · Dessert 5 · Casual dining 3 · Coffee shop 3 · Bakery 2 · Café 1 · Food truck 1 · Specialty food shop 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Basha | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mediterranean | 2578 Interstate 10 Frontage Rd. | open |
| Amazing Tacos | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 3380 Steelton St | open |
| B & B Wing and Barbeque Shack | Casual dining · Bar | BBQ · American | 3130 Concord Rd | open |
| Birdman SOUL FOOD Kitchen | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Cajun, Creole, Southern | 10/28/13 | open |
| Burger King | Quick service | 2440 I-10 Frontage Road | open | |
| Camo Coffee Co. | Coffee shop | Coffee | 2660 N 11th St | open |
| Carl's Jr. | Quick service | 3930 Eastex Fwy | open | |
| Charlie's Bar B Que & Catering | Coffee shop | BBQ · Coffee | 1610 I-10 | open |
| Church's Chicken | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 2999 Magnolia St | open |
| Crazy Cajun Beaumont | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood · Cajun, Creole, Southern | 2310 N 11th St | open |
| El Viejon | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert | 4699 Magnolia Ave | open | |
| Garcia's DELI BMT TX | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Mexican · Sandwiches | 1480 Interstate 10 E | open |
| Happy Donuts | Bakery · Dessert | Dessert · Bakery | 2916 E Lucas Dr | open |
| Happy Donuts Concord | Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert | Dessert · Juice / smoothies | 3290 Concord Rd | open |
| Jack in the Box | Quick service | 1550 Interstate 10 E | open | |
| Kajun Seafood and Wings | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood · Cajun, Creole, Southern | 2916 E Lucas Dr | open |
| KFC KFC | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 3930 Eastex Fwy | open |
| King Arthur's Pub | Bar | 4005 Magnolia St | open | |
| King Arthur's Pub | Bar | 2650 N 11th St | open | |
| Kuz Kool Treats | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Food truck | American | 3925 Magnolia St | open |
| Little Caesars Pizza Little Caesars | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 3290 Concord Rd SUITE A | open |
| Luna Night Club Beaumont | Bar | 2550 Interstate 10 E | open | |
| Mabel's | Dessert | Dessert · Mexican | 3495 Concord Rd | open |
| Mikee’s Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 4699 Magnolia St | open |
| Mr Po’boyz | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 2605 E Lucas Dr | open | |
| Red Lobster | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood | 2820 I-10 E | open |
| Santos tacos | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 3305 Concord Rd | open |
| Sharonda's Savory Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Cajun, Creole, Southern | 2540 I-10 | open |
| Star Bowling Bar & Grill | Casual dining · Bar | 4180 Pinkston Dr | open | |
| Swee-Tee's Books & Candy Shop | Dessert | Pearl | open | |
| Tacos El Primo | Quick service | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 3595 Concord Rd | open |
| The Monks Indian Bistro | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Indian · Asian | 2578 I-10 Frontage Rd | open |
| Triunfo Nutrition | Coffee shop · Café | Coffee | 3184 Concord Rd | open |
| Vo's Seafood & Wings | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood · Chicken / wings | 3480 Concord Rd | open |
| Waffle House | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Breakfast · American | 2760 Interstate 10 E | open |
| Atatat Enterprise Llc Dba Star Bowling | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 4180 Pinkston St # A | closed |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 17 | 13 | — | — | — | 4 | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 15 | 11 | — | — | — | 4 | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 17 | 11 | — | — | — | 6 | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 19 | 13 | — | — | — | 6 | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 14 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 13 | 9 | 7 | 2 | — | 4 | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 17 | 11 | 9 | 2 | — | 6 | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 15 | 9 | 7 | 2 | — | 6 | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 11 | 6 | 4 | 2 | — | 5 | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 11 | 7 | 5 | 2 | — | 4 | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 1 | — | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 1 | — | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 2 | — | 3 | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 13 | 9 | 5 | 4 | — | 4 | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 2 | — | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 8 | 7 | 3 | 4 | — | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 9 | 8 | 5 | 3 | — | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 9 | 8 | 5 | 3 | — | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 3 | — | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 3 | — | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 9 | 8 | 5 | 3 | — | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 2 | — | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 2 | — | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 8 | 6 | 4 | — | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 10 | 8 | 5 | — | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 10 | 8 | 5 | — | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 7 | 6 | 4 | — | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 3 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 11 | 8 | 5 | — | — | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 10 | 7 | 5 | — | — | — | NAICS2022 |