BMIE Market 77707
Jefferson County, Texas · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 18,323 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,745 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 6,679 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±453 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 17,080 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 6,865 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $69,756 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±8,546 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 35.6 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $1,355 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±140 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $174,000 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±11,117 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 14.2 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 37 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 77707 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 14.6 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | +12.1% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +23.3% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +48.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +85.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 40 (range 37–42) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.7 per year, r² 0.84) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 63 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 66 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 58 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 67 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 77707. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.7 restaurants per year, r² 0.84, confidence High.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. Texas and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,534, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 63 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 66.3 | 66 | 40% | +26.5 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 57.5 | 58 | 35% | +20.1 |
| Market Momentum Score | 67.2 | 67 | 25% | +16.8 |
Consumer Market Score: 66 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 18,323 | 80 | 40% | +32.0 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 69,756 | 47 | 40% | +18.6 |
| Households (ACS) | 6,679 | 79 | 20% | +15.7 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 58 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 23.3 | 66 | 35% | +23.0 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 20.2 | 37 | 25% | +9.2 |
| Population (ACS) | 18,323 | 80 | 20% | +16.0 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 69,756 | 47 | 20% | +9.3 |
Market Momentum Score: 67 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | 12.1 | 70 | 50% | +35.0 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 23.3 | 66 | 30% | +19.8 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 48 | 62 | 20% | +12.4 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (66)
By cuisine
American 12 · Sandwiches 7 · Dessert 6 · Mexican 5 · Burgers 4 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 4 · Latin American (other) 4 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 4 · Steakhouse 4 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 3 · Seafood 3 · Bakery 2 · Breakfast 2 · Chicken / wings 2 · Coffee 2 · Italian 2 · Japanese 2 · Sushi 2 · Asian 1 · Vietnamese 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 39 · Quick service 20 · Bar 12 · Casual dining 10 · Dessert 8 · Bakery 2 · Coffee shop 2 · Buffet 1 · Café 1 · Food truck 1 · Other 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 De Mayo 10 De Mayo Mexican Restaurant Bar & Grill Lumberton TX | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Latin American (other) | 8350 College St | open |
| Blimpie | Quick service | 5610 College St | open | |
| Blue Bell Creameries Blue Bell Ice Cream | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 1185 Wooten Rd | open |
| Carrabba's Italian Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1550 Isla Ave, I-10 South | open | |
| Carrabba's Italian Grill Carrabba's Italian Grill | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | Italian | 1550 I-10 S | open |
| Casa Tapatia Mexican Restaurant & Bar | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Latin American (other) | 145 I-10 Frontage Rd | open |
| Chicken Express | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 4760 College St | open |
| Chili's Grill & Bar | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 110 IH 10 S. | open | |
| Cigar Club | Bar | 5760 Walden Rd | open | |
| Dairy Queen Dairy Queen | Quick service · Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 3995 Phelan Blvd 3995 Phelan Blvd | open |
| Dairy Queen | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 7864 College St | open |
| Dowlen & Calder Whataburger | Quick service | 140 S Dowlen Rd | open | |
| DQ Grill & Chill DQ Grill & Chill | Quick service | 3995 Phelan Blvd | open | |
| Earl’s Sports Bar | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) | 7050 College St | open | |
| Floyds Seafood Floyds Seafood Webster | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood · Cajun, Creole, Southern | 2290 Interstate 10 S | open |
| Frankie's Italian Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Italian · American | 105 I-10 W | open |
| Golden Corral Buffet & Grill Golden Corral Buffet & Grill | Buffet · Casual dining · Bar | American | 2190 I-10 | open |
| Gorditas Shell | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 5595 College St | open | |
| Great American Cookies Great American Cookies | Quick service | 5670 Walden Rd | open | |
| Grounded Cafe | Coffee shop | Coffee | 420 S Major Dr | open |
| Guadalajara Mexican Express | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 4580 College St | open | |
| Happy Donuts | Bakery · Quick service · Dessert | Dessert · Bakery | 5780 Walden Rd | open |
| Hooters | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Sandwiches | 850 Interstate 10 S | open |
| It's Just Wings | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 110 IH 10 S. | open |
| Jack In The Box Jack in the Box | Quick service | Burgers · American | 5601 College St | open |
| K Asian Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Asian | 5540 College St | open |
| Kafé Kerry | Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop | Coffee | 184 Rosine St | open |
| Kyoto Japanese Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi | 3851 Phelan Blvd | open |
| La Isla | Food truck | Sandwiches | 5050 College St | open |
| Lily's Seafood Bar And Grill | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | Seafood | 7817 College St | open |
| Lupe Tortilla Lupe Tortilla | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Mexican · Latin American (other) | 2050 I-10 S | open |
| Marble Slab Creamery Marble Slab Creamery | Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 5670 Walden Rd #214 | open |
| Marisela's Tamales | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Latin American (other) | 5760 Walden Rd | open |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 910 S Major Dr | open |
| Outback Steakhouse Outback Steakhouse | Casual dining · Bar | Steakhouse · American | 2060 S I-10 W | open |
| Park Place Lounge | Bar | 3950 I-10 | open | |
| Phat Boi’s street food | Quick service | Vietnamese | 5480 College St | open |
| Pizza Hut Express Pizza Hut | Quick service | 3795 Interstate 10 South | open | |
| Pupuseria y Antojitos Lili | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | American | 3915 Phelan Blvd | open |
| Red's Icehouse | Casual dining · Bar | Seafood | 7665 College St | open |
| Republic Chicken | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Cajun, Creole, Southern | 1990 Interstate 10 Access Rd | open |
| Rita’s of 5535 Calder Ave-Beaumont TX Rita's Italian Ice | Dessert · Bar | Dessert | open | |
| Saltgrass Steak House Saltgrass Steak House | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Steakhouse · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American | 325 I-10 | open |
| Sipnsip Daiquiris | Bar | 5010 College St | open | |
| SnoBiz | Dessert | Dessert | 5945 College St | open |
| Songwriters Cafe | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1555 23rd St | open | |
| Sonic Drive In Sonic Drive-In | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 425 N. 23Rd Street | open |
| Sonic Drive-In | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 5850 Walden Rd | open |
| Sonic Drive-In Sonic Drive-In | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 8320 College St | open |
| Subway | Other | Sandwiches | 9495 College St | open |
| Subway Subway | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 320 N 23rd St | open |
| Subway Subway | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 2210 HWY I 10 South Corner of Washington & I 10 | open |
| Subway Subway | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Sandwiches · American | 6120 College Street Suite A | open |
| Subway Subway | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 5780 Walden Road Suite 100 | open |
| Taqueria Lupita"" | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 6060 College St | open |
| Texas Star Bar & Grill | Casual dining · Bar | Steakhouse | 4201 S Major Dr | open |
| The Donut Palace The Donut Palace San Diego TX | Bakery · Dessert | Dessert · Bakery | 5745 College St | open |
| The Fire Place | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1310 IH-10 S Ste 213A | open | |
| Tokyo Japanese Steakhouse and Sushi Bar Tokyo Japanese Steak House & Sushi Bar | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi · Steakhouse | 1970 Interstate 10 Access Rd | open |
| Tw Odom Management Services, Ltd | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 175 S Dowlen Rd | open | |
| Waffle House Waffle House | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Breakfast · American | 175 Dowlen Rd | open |
| Waffle House | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Breakfast · American | 3987 College St | open |
| Wendy's Grooming | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | 474 Yorktown Ln | open | |
| Whataburger Whataburger | Quick service | Burgers · American | 140 S Dowlen Rd | open |
| G T Pizza Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 625 Langham Rd | closed |
| Subway | Other | Sandwiches | 8391 College St | closed |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 25 | 20 | — | — | — | 5 | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 25 | 21 | — | — | — | 4 | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 26 | 23 | — | — | — | 3 | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 29 | 24 | — | — | — | 5 | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 32 | 23 | 10 | 11 | 1 | 9 | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 31 | 24 | 9 | 14 | 1 | 7 | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 31 | 26 | 10 | 15 | 1 | 5 | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 32 | 25 | 12 | 13 | — | 7 | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 32 | 26 | 11 | 15 | — | 6 | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 31 | 25 | 9 | 14 | 1 | 6 | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 33 | 25 | 9 | 13 | 2 | 7 | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 34 | 27 | 11 | 13 | 2 | 7 | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 32 | 26 | 12 | 11 | 2 | 6 | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 27 | 24 | 11 | 12 | 1 | 3 | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 27 | 24 | 12 | 10 | 1 | 3 | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 27 | 24 | 11 | 11 | 1 | 3 | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 28 | 25 | 13 | 10 | 1 | 3 | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 30 | 26 | 12 | 11 | 2 | 4 | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 33 | 28 | 14 | 11 | 2 | 4 | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 31 | 30 | 16 | 13 | 1 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 30 | 30 | 16 | 13 | 1 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 32 | 31 | 16 | 14 | 1 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 32 | 30 | 16 | 13 | 1 | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 33 | 31 | 16 | 14 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 34 | 33 | 16 | 16 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 38 | 36 | 17 | 16 | 3 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 36 | 34 | 17 | 15 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 39 | 35 | 16 | 16 | 3 | 3 | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 40 | 35 | 16 | 16 | 3 | 4 | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 41 | 37 | 15 | 17 | 5 | 3 | NAICS2022 |