BMIE Market 78052

Atascosa County, Texas · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	6,389 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±986 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	2,250 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±364 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	6,388 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	2,281 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$71,429 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±12,897 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	39.7 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±6 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,214 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±145 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$200,400 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±35,433 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	38.4 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	14 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 78052
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	15.7 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+75.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+100.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+75.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+250.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	14 (range 11–17) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.5 per year, r² 0.58) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	68 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	58 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	63 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	90 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 78052. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.5 restaurants per year, r² 0.58, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Texas and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,534, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 68 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	58	58	40%	+23.2
Restaurant Opportunity Score	63.1	63	35%	+22.1
Market Momentum Score	89.7	90	25%	+22.4

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 58 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	6,389	64	40%	+25.7
Median household income (ACS)	71,429	49	40%	+19.7
Households (ACS)	2,250	63	20%	+12.6

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 63 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	100	92	35%	+32.2
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	21.9	33	25%	+8.2
Population (ACS)	6,389	64	20%	+12.9
Median household income (ACS)	71,429	49	20%	+9.9

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 90 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	75	94	50%	+46.9
10-year restaurant growth	100	92	30%	+27.6
20-year restaurant growth	75	76	20%	+15.2

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (49)

By cuisine

Mexican 16 · American 14 · Coffee 5 · BBQ 4 · Latin American (other) 4 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 4 · Burgers 3 · Juice / smoothies 3 · Bakery 2 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 2 · Chicken / wings 2 · Dessert 2 · Pizza 2 · Sandwiches 2 · Breakfast 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Indian 1 · Seafood 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 32 · Quick service 11 · Café 4 · Casual dining 4 · Dessert 4 · Bar 3 · Juice, smoothie, tea 3 · Bakery 2 · Coffee shop 2 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
702 Tejas Sports Bar y Mas	Bar		15306 Main St	open
Baby Hueys Bar	Bar · Casual dining		15738 Main St	open
Bill Miller Bar-B-Q Bill Miller Bar-B-Q	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	19715 Interstate 35 Access Rd	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	19380 McDonald St	open
C & M Smokehouse	Restaurant (service type not stated)		13739 Old Frio City Rd	open
Church's Texas Chicken Church's Chicken	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	19353 McDonald Street	open
Dessert Deli	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bakery	Dessert · Bakery	18185 Interstate 35 Access Rd	open
Dos Primos Barbacoa	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other) · BBQ	15127 Main St	open
Dulce bakery	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Mexican · Dessert	3936 TX-132	open
Fiesta Snacks	Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert	Pizza · Juice / smoothies	15058 Main St	open
Flaming Bird By H-E-B	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	19337 McDonald Street	open
Hacienda Jalisciense	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	20075 Benton City Rd	open
Helados Mamá Choco	Dessert · Juice, smoothie, tea · Casual dining	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Juice / smoothies · American	15063 Main St	open
I35 - Lytle Whataburger	Quick service		19561 McDonald St	open
IHOP IHOP	Restaurant (service type not stated)		20204 Interstate 35	open
La Patrona Tacos	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Latin American (other)	3856 State Highway 132 N	open
Laredo Taco Company	Restaurant (service type not stated)		19525 Mcdonald St	open
Little Caesars Pizza Little Caesars	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	19585 Interstate 35 Access Rd Suite B	open
Los Arcos de Jalisco	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Mexican	19525 Interstate 35 S	open
Lucky Clover Coffee	Coffee shop	Coffee	14906 Lytle Somerset St	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · Sandwiches	14830 Lytle Sommerset Rd	open
Mo's Patio Grill	Café · Juice, smoothie, tea	Coffee · Juice / smoothies · American	5717 FM 3175	open
Naomi's Diner	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	15033 Main St #100	open
Olgitas_tacos	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Latin American (other) · Mexican	15063 Main St	open
Outlaw Seafood Bar and Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · American	15115 Main St	open
Pcs Bistro On Main	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	15056 Main St	open
Pirate Express Drive Thru	Restaurant (service type not stated)			open
Pirates Cove Cafe	Café	Coffee · Breakfast · American	15056 Main St	open
Pizza Hut Express Pizza Hut	Quick service		20204 Interstate 35	open
Roosters Icehouse	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		18545 Interstate 35 Access Rd	open
Sabor Norteno	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Mexican · Coffee	3884 TX-132	open
Sonic Drive In Sonic Drive-In	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	19350 Mc Donald Street	open
Stout's Coffee	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	14840 Main St	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	19450 FM 2790	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	19563IH 35 S	open
Taco jalisco	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Mexican	18477 Interstate 35 Access Rd	open
Taqueria Ibarra	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	17695 I-35	open
Taquería Jalisco	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	20204 Highway 35	open
Texas Style Cuisine	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · BBQ	15049 Main St	open
Tommy Joe's BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	15166 Main St	open
Topis Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	15063 Main St	open
Topis Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Indian · American	20075 I-35 S	open
True Texas Tacos	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	19561 S FM 2790 W	open
True Texas Tacos	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	19561 S Fm 2790 W	open
Viva Mexico	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	3936 State Highway 132 N	open
Whataburger Whataburger	Quick service	Burgers · American	19561 McDonald St	open
Wolfie's	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	5717 FM3175	open
Ytuarte Vineyard in Lytle, Texas	Winery / distillery / taproom		21750 Hoffman Rd	open
Railhead Cafe	Café	American · Coffee	15121 Main St	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	5	4	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1995	3	3	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	3	3	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	4	4	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	5	5	3	2	—	—	NAICS1997
1999	3	3	1	2	—	—	NAICS1997
2000	6	5	2	3	—	1	NAICS1997
2001	3	3	1	2	—	—	NAICS1997
2002	5	5	2	3	—	—	NAICS1997
2003	8	8	3	5	—	—	NAICS2002
2004	8	8	3	5	—	—	NAICS2002
2005	6	6	2	4	—	—	NAICS2002
2006	8	8	4	4	—	—	NAICS2002
2007	9	9	5	4	—	—	NAICS2002
2008	8	8	4	4	—	—	NAICS2007
2009	8	8	3	5	—	—	NAICS2007
2010	10	10	4	6	—	—	NAICS2007
2011	10	10	4	6	—	—	NAICS2007
2012	8	8	5	3	—	—	NAICS2012
2013	7	7	3	4	—	—	NAICS2012
2014	9	9	3	6	—	—	NAICS2012
2015	7	7	2	5	—	—	NAICS2012
2016	6	6	1	5	—	—	NAICS2012
2017	8	8	3	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	8	8	3	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	9	9	3	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	10	10	4	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	13	11	5	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	11	9	3	6	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	15	14	5	8	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 78052. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
78059	4.2 mi	3	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.