BMIE Market 78208

Bexar County, Texas · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	3,861 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±574 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	1,777 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±326 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	3,736 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	1,581 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$26,595 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±6,768 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	36.0 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±6 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$951 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±147 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$146,600 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±45,323 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	1.0 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	13 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 78208
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	29.4 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+18.2% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+18.2% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+44.4% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+44.4% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	12 (range 10–15) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.2 per year, r² 0.20) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	44 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	35 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	37 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	69 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 78208. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.2 restaurants per year, r² 0.20, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Texas and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,534, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 44 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	34.9	35	40%	+14.0
Restaurant Opportunity Score	37.3	37	35%	+13.1
Market Momentum Score	68.5	69	25%	+17.1

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 35 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	3,861	56	40%	+22.5
Median household income (ACS)	26,595	1	40%	+0.6
Households (ACS)	1,777	59	20%	+11.8

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 37 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	18.2	62	35%	+21.5
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	33.7	17	25%	+4.2
Population (ACS)	3,861	56	20%	+11.3
Median household income (ACS)	26,595	1	20%	+0.3

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 69 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	18.2	76	50%	+38.0
10-year restaurant growth	18.2	62	30%	+18.5
20-year restaurant growth	44.4	61	20%	+12.1

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (39)

By cuisine

American 8 · Mexican 8 · Coffee 5 · Pizza 4 · BBQ 3 · Burgers 3 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 3 · Chicken / wings 2 · Latin American (other) 2 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 2 · Asian 1 · Bakery 1 · Breakfast 1 · Italian 1 · Korean 1 · Mediterranean 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 27 · Bar 8 · Café 5 · Quick service 5 · Casual dining 3 · Brewery / taproom 2 · Coffee shop 2 · Bakery 1 · Dessert 1 · Food truck 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Alebrije Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	1931 N New Braunfels Ave	open
Betty's Battalion	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		1524 E Grayson St.	open
Big Poppas Tacos	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Mexican	2118 N Panam Expy	open
Bill Miller Bar-B-Q Bill Miller Bar-B-Q	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	1720 N New Braunfels Ave	open
Breakaway Brewing Company	Brewery / taproom · Casual dining · Bar		1518 E Grayson St	open
Bubbles & Bourbon	Bar · Casual dining		1417 Austin St	open
Chas Market & Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Korean · BBQ	1431 N Pine St	open
Chicago Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1704 Interstate 35 Frontage Rd	open
Chicago Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1704 Interstate 35 Frontage Rd, 1704 Interstate 35 Fron	open
Drop Zone Cafe &bar	Casual dining · Café · Bar	Coffee	1804 E Carson St	open
El Chistoso Elotes	Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated)		800 Locke St	open
El Molino Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	1703 N Panam Expy	open
Folklores Coffee House	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	1943 N New Braunfels Ave	open
House Of Fish	Restaurant (service type not stated)		701 Seguin St	open
J.t.k. Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1431 N Pine St	open
KFC KFC	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	738 Seguin Street	open
Live a Little Eat a Little Restaurant	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Coffee	2118 I-35 Frontage Rd	open
Ma Harper's Creole Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cajun, Creole, Southern	1816 N New Braunfels Ave	open
Maeve	Bar		818 Austin St	open
Manguera SA	Bar		1606 N Pine St	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	2646 N Panamer Expry	open
Míra Matcha	Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Tea / bubble tea · Coffee	1931 N New Braunfels Ave	open
Nanny Dew Llc Dba The Lords Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)		118 Seguin St	open
Olgitas Molino	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	1603 N PanAm Expy	open
Pizza and Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Mediterranean	1103 Mason St	open
Sanchez Ice House II	Dessert · Bar		701 Seguin St	open
Simple Chinese	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian	1815 N New Braunfels Ave	open
Sonic Drive In Sonic Drive-In	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	American	2135 Ih35 North	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	2607 I 35 Frontage Rd	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	722 Seguin Street	open
Taco La Gardenia	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	1805 N Pine St	open
Tank's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Mexican · Italian	1917 N New Braunfels Ave	open
Taqueria Mi Chapala Jalisco	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	1808 N New Braunfels Ave	open
The Hot Box BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · American	1804 E Carson St	open
The Lords Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers · American	118 Seguin St	open
The Ridge at the Hill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Cajun, Creole, Southern	2119 I-35 Frontage Rd	open
Twin Sisters brewing	Brewery / taproom · Bar		1514 Ervin St	open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service	Burgers · American	742 Seguin St	open
Wing'z, Waffles & More	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings · Breakfast · American	1103 Mason St	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	10	9	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1995	10	9	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1996	10	9	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1997	10	9	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1998	9	9	3	5	—	—	NAICS1997
1999	11	10	3	7	—	1	NAICS1997
2000	10	10	3	7	—	—	NAICS1997
2001	11	11	3	8	—	—	NAICS1997
2002	8	8	3	5	—	—	NAICS1997
2003	9	9	4	5	—	—	NAICS2002
2004	8	8	3	5	—	—	NAICS2002
2005	10	10	3	7	—	—	NAICS2002
2006	11	11	4	7	—	—	NAICS2002
2007	10	10	5	5	—	—	NAICS2002
2008	10	10	4	6	—	—	NAICS2007
2009	11	11	5	6	—	—	NAICS2007
2010	11	11	6	5	—	—	NAICS2007
2011	11	11	6	5	—	—	NAICS2007
2012	13	11	6	5	—	—	NAICS2012
2013	13	11	6	5	—	—	NAICS2012
2014	12	10	5	5	—	—	NAICS2012
2015	9	8	3	5	—	—	NAICS2012
2016	11	10	4	6	—	—	NAICS2012
2017	10	9	—	7	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	12	11	5	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	11	10	3	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	12	11	3	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	13	12	4	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	11	9	—	5	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	14	13	3	7	3	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 78208. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
78202	0.8 mi	15	2023
78215	1.3 mi	37	2023
78203	1.7 mi	14	2023
78234	1.9 mi	5	2023
78205	2.0 mi	121	2023
78212	2.7 mi	106	2023
78210	3.1 mi	44	2023
78209	3.4 mi	163	2023
78204	3.7 mi	27	2023
78220	4.1 mi	19	2023
78207	4.3 mi	55	2023
78219	4.4 mi	27	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.