BMIE Market 78234
Bexar County, Texas · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 7,149 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±508 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 1,035 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±126 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 7,126 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 924 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $100,662 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±21,360 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 21.2 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $2,223 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±51 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | Data source not yet connected |
| Land area | 5.1 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 5 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 78234 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 2.8 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | +25.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +25.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +400.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +0.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 7 (range 5–8) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.2 per year, r² 0.38) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 74 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 69 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 74 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 80 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 78234. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.2 restaurants per year, r² 0.38, confidence Low.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. Texas and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,534, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 74 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 68.9 | 69 | 40% | +27.6 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 74.1 | 74 | 35% | +25.9 |
| Market Momentum Score | 80.2 | 80 | 25% | +20.0 |
Consumer Market Score: 69 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 7,149 | 66 | 40% | +26.3 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 100,662 | 81 | 40% | +32.5 |
| Households (ACS) | 1,035 | 50 | 20% | +10.0 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 74 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 25 | 67 | 35% | +23.6 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 7.0 | 84 | 25% | +21.1 |
| Population (ACS) | 7,149 | 66 | 20% | +13.2 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 100,662 | 81 | 20% | +16.3 |
Market Momentum Score: 80 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | 25 | 81 | 50% | +40.4 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 25 | 67 | 30% | +20.2 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 400 | 98 | 20% | +19.6 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (27)
By cuisine
American 7 · Sandwiches 7 · Coffee 6 · Burgers 3 · Chicken / wings 3 · Bakery 2 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 2 · Pizza 2 · BBQ 1 · Italian 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Mexican 1 · Seafood 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 13 · Quick service 11 · Café 5 · Coffee shop 4 · Bakery 2 · Bar 2 · Delivery-focused 2 · Food truck 1 · Specialty food shop 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1 · Other 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BAMC Coffee | Coffee shop · Café | Coffee · Italian | 3600 George C Beach Ave | open |
| Blimpie | Quick service | Aafes Ft. Sam Houston, Bldg 2420, 2503 Funston Rd. | open | |
| Blimpie | Other | Sandwiches | 4130 Stanley Rd | open |
| Burger King Burger King | Quick service | Chicken / wings · Burgers · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American | 2449 Winfield Scott Rd | open |
| Burger King Burger King | Quick service | Burgers · American | 3600 George C Beach Ave | open |
| Camp House BBQ | Food truck | BBQ · American | 7th St | open |
| Charleys Philly Steaks Charleys Philly Steaks | Quick service | Sandwiches | 2500 Funston Rd | open |
| Coffee Bound | Coffee shop · Café | Coffee | 3145 Garden Ave Ste 1278 | open |
| Domino's Pizza Domino's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Delivery-focused | Pizza | 2490 7th St | open |
| Domino's Pizza Domino's Pizza | Delivery-focused · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 2766 Harney Bldg 2735, Ste 2735 | open |
| Einstein Bros. Bagels | Bakery | Bakery | 3100 Schofield Rd Ste 1179 | open |
| Einstein Bros. Bagels Einstein Bros. Bagels | Bakery · Café | Bakery · Coffee | 2405 Gun Shed Rd | open |
| Foulois House Fort Sam Houston | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) | open | ||
| Jimmy John's Jimmy John's | Quick service · Specialty food shop | Sandwiches | 2766 Harney Path | open |
| Keremsen Group Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 2503 Funston Rd Bldg 2420 | open | |
| Lytle Hall | Bar | 2340 Stanley Rd | open | |
| New Orleans Soulfood & Cajun | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood · Cajun, Creole, Southern | Commissary st | open |
| Qdoba Mexican Eats | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 2503 Funston Rd | open |
| Sbarro Sbarro | Quick service | 2500 Funston Rd | open | |
| Starbucks | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop · Quick service | Sandwiches · Coffee · American | 3841 Scotts Rd | open |
| Starbucks Coffee Company Starbucks | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop · Café | Coffee · Chicken / wings | 2500 Funston Rd | open |
| Subway Burger King | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Sandwiches · Burgers · American | 3390 William Hardie Road | open |
| Subway Charleys Cheesesteaks | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches · American | 2503 Funston Rd, Bldg 2420 | open |
| Subway | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 2405 Gun Shed | open |
| Tropical Smoothie Cafe Tropical Smoothie Cafe | Juice, smoothie, tea · Quick service · Café | Juice / smoothies · Coffee | 3551 Roger Brooke Dr | open |
| Weir Capital Iii Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 2766 Harney Path PMB 2 | open | |
| Wing Zone Wing Zone | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings · American | 3390 William Hardee Rd | open |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 5 | 5 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 5 | 5 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 5 | 5 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 5 | 5 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 3 | 3 | — | 2 | — | — | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 3 | 3 | — | 2 | — | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 3 | 3 | — | 2 | — | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 2 | 2 | — | 2 | — | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 1 | 1 | — | 1 | — | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 1 | 1 | — | 1 | — | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 1 | 1 | — | 1 | — | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 1 | 1 | — | 1 | — | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 2 | 1 | — | 1 | — | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 3 | 1 | — | 1 | — | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 4 | 1 | — | 1 | — | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 3 | 1 | — | 1 | — | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 4 | 2 | — | 1 | — | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 4 | 2 | — | 1 | — | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 8 | 5 | — | 2 | 2 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 7 | 4 | — | 2 | 2 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 7 | 4 | — | 2 | 2 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 6 | 4 | — | 2 | 2 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 6 | 4 | — | 2 | 2 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 7 | 5 | — | 3 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 6 | 4 | — | — | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 5 | 3 | — | — | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 8 | 6 | — | 4 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 7 | 6 | — | 4 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 8 | 6 | — | 4 | — | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 7 | 5 | — | 3 | — | — | NAICS2022 |