BMIE Market 78225
Bexar County, Texas · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 13,104 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,635 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 5,019 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±623 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 13,025 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 4,736 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $46,955 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±14,195 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 38.5 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $1,166 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±125 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $119,600 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±9,887 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 1.9 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 15 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 78225 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 17.7 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | -16.7% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | -21.1% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | -21.1% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +36.4% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 12 (range 11–14) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.5 per year, r² 0.81) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 37 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 49 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 38 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 14 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 78225. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.5 restaurants per year, r² 0.81, confidence High.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. Texas and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,534, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 37 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 49.3 | 49 | 40% | +19.7 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 38.5 | 38 | 35% | +13.5 |
| Market Momentum Score | 13.9 | 14 | 25% | +3.5 |
Consumer Market Score: 49 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 13,104 | 75 | 40% | +29.8 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 46,955 | 12 | 40% | +4.6 |
| Households (ACS) | 5,019 | 74 | 20% | +14.9 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 38 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | -21.1 | 13 | 35% | +4.6 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 11.5 | 67 | 25% | +16.7 |
| Population (ACS) | 13,104 | 75 | 20% | +14.9 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 46,955 | 12 | 20% | +2.3 |
Market Momentum Score: 14 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | -16.7 | 15 | 50% | +7.3 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | -21.1 | 13 | 30% | +3.9 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | -21.1 | 13 | 20% | +2.6 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (61)
By cuisine
Mexican 20 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 7 · American 6 · Latin American (other) 6 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 5 · Bakery 4 · BBQ 4 · Dessert 4 · Seafood 4 · Burgers 3 · Chicken / wings 3 · Pizza 3 · Asian 2 · Coffee 2 · Sandwiches 2 · Breakfast 1 · British / Irish pub food 1 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · Italian 1 · Japanese 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Middle Eastern 1 · Sushi 1 · Vegan 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 42 · Quick service 12 · Dessert 8 · Bar 6 · Bakery 4 · Food truck 3 · Café 2 · Casual dining 1 · Specialty food shop 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alamo Pizza & Wings | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 3938 S Zarzamora St | open |
| Am International Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1911 Nogalitos | open | |
| Avila Food Equipment Company | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 114 Surrey Ave | open | |
| BBQ Done Wright | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ · Asian | 2432 Nogalitos St | open |
| Bill Miller Bar-B-Q Bill Miller Bar-B-Q | Quick service | BBQ · American | 3514 S Zarzamora St | open |
| Blissful Burgers | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Vegan | 3950 S Zarzamora St | open |
| C & E Ice House | Dessert · Bar · Quick service · Specialty food shop | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Sandwiches | 3509 S Zarzamora St | open |
| Cafe San Luis | Café | Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Mexican · Coffee | 3103 S Zarzamora St | open |
| Church's Chicken | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 2525 Nogalitos | open |
| Clean Lounge | Bar | 2614 Nogalitos St | open | |
| Dairy Queen Dairy Queen | Quick service · Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 3301 Nogalitos St | open |
| Dejavu Sport’s Bar & Grill | Bar | 2432 Nogalitos St | open | |
| DQ Grill & Chill DQ Grill & Chill | Quick service | 3301 Nogalitos | open | |
| El Itacate Tacos | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 2501 Nogalitos St | open |
| El Puesto La Tejanita | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Latin American (other) · Coffee | 901 Division Ave | open |
| El Torito | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 3103 S Zarzamora St | open |
| Felipe Tarot | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 3303 Nogalitos St | open | |
| Flores Icecream & More | Dessert · Juice, smoothie, tea | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Pizza · Juice / smoothies | 2138 Nogalitos St | open |
| Fred's Fish Fry | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood · British / Irish pub food | 1920 Nogalitos St | open |
| Gyro's Drive Inn | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American · Seafood · Burgers | 2401 Nogalitos St | open |
| Jack in the Box | Quick service | 3706 S Zarzamora St | open | |
| KFC | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 2525 Nogalitos | open |
| La Cabaña Mexican Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Mexican | 603 Hearne Ave | open |
| La Joya Durango 1 | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 2819 S Zarzamora St | open |
| La Nogalitos Tacos To Go 3 | Quick service | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 2203 Nogalitos St | open |
| La Tapatia Bakery | Bakery | Bakery | 3602 S Zarzamora St | open |
| Las Palomas Mexican Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 3950 S Zarzamora St | open |
| Los diablitos Elotes Mexicanos | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Mexican · American | 1828 Nogalitos St | open |
| Los Locos Paleteria | Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Latin American (other) | 3014 S Zarzamora St | open |
| Mancha’s BBQ | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American · Cajun, Creole, Southern · BBQ | 934 Ripford St | open |
| Maple Waffles | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Breakfast · American | 1501 W Theo Ave | open |
| Mariachi's Little Jalisco | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 2138 Nogalitos St Suite B | open |
| Mariscos El Paisa | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood | 3110 S Zarzamora St | open |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 3033 Nogalitos | open |
| Mi Mexico Restaurant Jalisco Style Number 2 | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 3110 S Zarzamora St | open |
| Micheladas El Morro SERVICAR | Quick service · Bar | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 3619 S Zarzamora St | open |
| Mini Taquitos y Gorditas Balderas | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 1175 Recio St | open |
| Olga's Sport Bar | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | 1619 W Malone Ave | open | |
| Oscar's Taco House | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 705 Barrett Pl | open |
| Pedazo Cake House | Bakery · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | 811 Division Ave | open |
| Pizza Patrón Pizza Patrón | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 3116 Nogalitos St | open |
| Pollos Asados Gatica | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Chicken / wings | 3119 Nogalitos St | open |
| Q Hibachi Express | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi · Asian | 2920 Nogalitos St | open |
| Ramirez Barbacoa | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ · Mexican | S Zarzamora St | open |
| Reyna De La Cocina | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 2602 Nogalitos St | open |
| Robert Cuellar Hall | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Middle Eastern | 1027 W Theo Ave | open |
| Rubio's Taqueria | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Latin American (other) | 764 Division Ave | open |
| Sebastian's Snack Shack | Dessert · Bakery | Dessert · Bakery | 2614 Nogalitos St | open |
| Sherry's Texan | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American · Seafood | 1444 Division Ave | open |
| Sonic Drive In Sonic Drive-In | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 4623 I-35 S | open |
| Subway Subway | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 1911 Nogalitos St | open |
| SUPER Funnel CAKES | Bakery · Food truck · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | 2138 Nogalitos St | open |
| Taco Nando | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 2820 Nogalitos | open |
| Tacos El Centenario | Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated) | 3119 Nogalitos St | open | |
| Tacos Nando | Food truck | 3509 S Zarzamora St | open | |
| Tacos y Tortas La Chula | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 3307 S Zarzamora St | open |
| Tila's Tacos | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 3407 Nogalitos | open |
| Victoria Factory Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 737 Division Ave | open |
| Wera’s tacos | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 2619 Nogalitos St | open |
| Zip 2 Five | Bar | 2432 Nogalitos St | open | |
| Hamner's Mexican Food Products Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 2015 Nogalitos | closed |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 12 | 11 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 13 | 12 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 16 | 14 | — | — | — | 2 | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 17 | 16 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 18 | 17 | 7 | 7 | — | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 20 | 20 | 8 | 9 | 1 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 19 | 19 | 9 | 8 | 1 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 16 | 16 | 6 | 8 | 1 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 14 | 14 | 5 | 8 | — | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 20 | 19 | 7 | 11 | — | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 16 | 16 | 6 | 9 | — | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 19 | 19 | 7 | 11 | — | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 17 | 16 | 4 | 12 | — | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 17 | 16 | 5 | 11 | — | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 20 | 19 | 6 | 13 | — | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 23 | 20 | 7 | 13 | — | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 27 | 23 | 9 | 14 | — | 3 | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 24 | 22 | 8 | 14 | — | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 23 | 21 | 5 | 16 | — | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 21 | 19 | 3 | 16 | — | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 22 | 20 | 4 | 16 | — | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 20 | 19 | 6 | 13 | — | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 22 | 20 | 7 | 13 | — | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 18 | 17 | 5 | 12 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 19 | 18 | 5 | 13 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 17 | 17 | 5 | 12 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 16 | 16 | 4 | 12 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 18 | 17 | 5 | 12 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 17 | 15 | 3 | 12 | — | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 17 | 15 | 3 | 12 | — | — | NAICS2022 |