BMIE Market 78255

Bexar County, Texas · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	17,379 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,694 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	6,106 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±522 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	10,826 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	4,098 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$157,428 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±21,607 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	40.6 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,815 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±151 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$531,400 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±38,572 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	17.9 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	14 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 78255
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	9.2 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+55.6% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+55.6% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+366.7% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+1,300.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	13 (range 9–16) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.2 per year, r² 0.17) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	87 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	86 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	85 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	91 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 78255. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.2 restaurants per year, r² 0.17, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Texas and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,534, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 87 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	85.8	86	40%	+34.3
Restaurant Opportunity Score	85.0	85	35%	+29.8
Market Momentum Score	91.1	91	25%	+22.8

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 86 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	17,379	79	40%	+31.6
Median household income (ACS)	157,428	97	40%	+38.7
Households (ACS)	6,106	77	20%	+15.5

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 85 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	55.6	85	35%	+29.8
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	8.1	80	25%	+20.0
Population (ACS)	17,379	79	20%	+15.8
Median household income (ACS)	157,428	97	20%	+19.4

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 91 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	55.6	92	50%	+46.0
10-year restaurant growth	55.6	85	30%	+25.6
20-year restaurant growth	366.7	98	20%	+19.5

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (28)

By cuisine

American 5 · BBQ 4 · Coffee 4 · Mexican 3 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 2 · Latin American (other) 2 · Spanish / tapas 2 · Bakery 1 · Dessert 1 · Halal / kosher 1 · Hawaiian / Pacific 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Japanese 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Sushi 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1 · Thai 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 15 · Bar 6 · Food truck 6 · Café 4 · Casual dining 4 · Coffee shop 2 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Bakery 1 · Dessert 1 · Quick service 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Akki's Cupcakery & Tea	Restaurant (service type not stated)		16131 Salto Del Agua	open
Bill Miller Bar-B-Q	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	25135 Interstate 10 W	open
Caliente Grill	Food truck		24188 Boerne Stage Rd	open
Eleanor 1909 Authentic Philly Cheesesteaks	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies · American	24188 Boerne Stage Rd	open
Fugusushi SA	Food truck	Japanese · Sushi	24188 Boerne Stage Rd	open
Garcia Barbecue	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	21880 Babcock Rd	open
Golden Lotus Thai Food	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai	24188 Boerne Stage Rd	open
Hills & Dales Ice House	Bar		15403 White Fawn Dr	open
Koifin Poke	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Hawaiian / Pacific · Healthy / salads / bowls	7211 Green Glen Dr	open
Kung Fu Tea Kung Fu Tea	Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Tea / bubble tea · Coffee	7211 Green Glen Dr	open
La Hacienda Scenic Loop	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	25615 Boerne Stage Rd	open
Las Tres Camelias Food Truck	Food truck	Latin American (other) · Mexican	24195 Boerne Stage Rd	open
Monky's	Restaurant (service type not stated)		24188 Boerne Stage Rd	open
Pork U	Food truck		24188 Boerne Stage Rd	open
Red Smitty’s Soul Supper	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cajun, Creole, Southern · Latin American (other)	24188 Boerne Stage Rd	open
Right Hand Coffee	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	15503 Babcock Rd	open
Scooped Cookie Dough Bar	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Dessert · Coffee	7211 Green Glen Dr Ste 102	open
Southern Hospitality BBQ of Texas	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	25692 Boerne Stage Rd	open
Tables & Taps	Casual dining · Bar	Spanish / tapas	19338 Babcock Rd	open
Taqueria Aguascalientes	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Mexican	15409 White Fawn Dr	open
The Art of Donut	Bakery	Bakery	24188 Boerne Stage Rd	open
The Divide	Bar		21880 Babcock Rd	open
The New York Grill Express	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	24188 Boerne Stage Rd	open
The Point Park And Eats	Food truck · Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	24188 Boerne Stage Rd	open
Uncle Danny's Backyard BBQ	Casual dining · Bar	BBQ · American	24188 Boerne Stage Rd	open
Uno’s Mex-Bachi Truck	Food truck		15403 White Fawn Dr	open
Vino Grotta	Bar	Spanish / tapas	19338 Babcock Rd	open
Yummy Kosher Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Halal / kosher · American	Oak Grove Dr	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	1	1	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	1	1	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	2	2	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	2	2	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	3	3	2	1	—	—	NAICS1997
1999	3	3	2	1	—	—	NAICS1997
2000	3	3	2	1	—	—	NAICS1997
2001	2	2	2	—	—	—	NAICS1997
2002	2	2	1	1	—	—	NAICS1997
2003	4	3	1	2	—	1	NAICS2002
2004	3	2	1	1	—	1	NAICS2002
2005	6	4	3	1	—	2	NAICS2002
2006	5	4	3	1	—	1	NAICS2002
2007	8	7	4	3	—	1	NAICS2002
2008	11	9	5	4	—	1	NAICS2007
2009	12	9	3	5	1	2	NAICS2007
2010	12	10	3	7	—	1	NAICS2007
2011	12	10	2	8	—	1	NAICS2007
2012	12	10	4	6	—	1	NAICS2012
2013	13	9	3	6	—	2	NAICS2012
2014	14	11	5	6	—	2	NAICS2012
2015	16	13	6	7	—	2	NAICS2012
2016	12	9	4	5	—	2	NAICS2012
2017	12	9	5	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	13	9	4	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	14	11	4	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	14	11	3	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	18	12	4	6	—	3	NAICS2017
2022	19	10	—	6	—	3	NAICS2022
2023	24	14	3	7	4	4	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 78255. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
78256	3.0 mi	29	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.