BMIE Market 78256

Bexar County, Texas · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	13,453 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,807 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	6,038 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±424 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	6,855 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	3,147 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$74,977 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±9,840 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	29.8 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,600 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±148 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$579,300 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±58,814 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	8.0 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	29 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 78256
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	26.3 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+45.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+625.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+2,800.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	38 (range 33–44) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +1.1 per year, r² 0.70) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	65 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	67 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	62 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	64 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 78256. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +1.1 restaurants per year, r² 0.70, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Texas and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,534, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 65 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	67.4	67	40%	+27.0
Restaurant Opportunity Score	62	62	35%	+21.7
Market Momentum Score	64.4	64	25%	+16.1

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 67 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	13,453	75	40%	+30.0
Median household income (ACS)	74,977	55	40%	+22.0
Households (ACS)	6,038	77	20%	+15.4

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 62 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	45	79	35%	+27.6
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	21.6	33	25%	+8.4
Population (ACS)	13,453	75	20%	+15.0
Median household income (ACS)	74,977	55	20%	+11.0

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 64 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	0	42	50%	+20.9
10-year restaurant growth	45	79	30%	+23.7
20-year restaurant growth	625	99	20%	+19.8

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (80)

By cuisine

American 17 · Coffee 13 · Bakery 8 · Italian 7 · Juice / smoothies 6 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 4 · Mexican 4 · Steakhouse 4 · Asian 3 · Pizza 3 · Burgers 2 · Dessert 2 · European 2 · Healthy / salads / bowls 2 · Hot dogs 2 · Japanese 2 · Sandwiches 2 · Seafood 2 · BBQ 1 · Brazilian 1 · Breakfast 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Chinese 1 · French 1 · Hawaiian / Pacific 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Spanish / tapas 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1 · Vegetarian 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 47 · Bar 21 · Casual dining 14 · Café 12 · Quick service 9 · Bakery 8 · Dessert 7 · Juice, smoothie, tea 7 · Coffee shop 5 · Food truck 1 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
3 Rd Lounge	Bar		15622 Chase Hill Blvd	open
Al Taco	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	17803 La Cantera Terrace #1101	open
Amorino Gelato - San Antonio La Cantera Amorino España	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Italian	15900 La Cantera Pkwy	open
Auntie Anne's Auntie Anne's	Bakery · Quick service · Café	Bakery · Coffee	15900 La Cantera Pkwy Suite 6698	open
Bar Louie Bar Louie	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar · Casual dining		15900 La Cantera Pkwy	open
Bovinos Brazilian Steakhouse And Seafood	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Brazilian	15900 La Cantera Pkwy Ste 11200	open
BRIO Tuscan Grille La Cantera	Restaurant (service type not stated)		15900 La Cantera Pkwy	open
BurgerFi	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers · Hot dogs	15900 La Cantera Pkwy Ste 19160	open
Capital One Cafe Capital One Café	Café	Coffee	15900 La Cantera Pkwy Ste 6560 Ste 6560	open
Carlo's Bakery Carlo's Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	15900 La Cantera Pkwy	open
Charley's Grilled Subs	Other	Sandwiches	15900 La Cantera Pkwy Ste 12060	open
Chick-fil-A Chick-fil-A	Quick service	Chicken / wings · Sandwiches	15900 La Cantera Pkwy	open
Columbus Club Bar	Bar		6909 Camp Bullis Rd	open
Cool Beans Café	Coffee shop	Coffee	17803 La Cantera Ter Ste 8123	open
Dolo Gelato Coffee and Pastries	Café · Coffee shop · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	23127 W I-10 #201	open
Elite Cigar Lounge	Bar		7023 Stonewall Hill	open
Fish City Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	15900 La Cantera Pkwy Ste 19160	open
Food Explorers Sa Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		15900 La Cantera Pkwy Ste 26140	open
Francesca's at Sunset	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Juice, smoothie, tea · Casual dining · Café	Juice / smoothies · Coffee · American	16641 La Cantera Pkwy	open
Frost Plaza	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1 Spurs Way	open
George's Keep	Bar		17803 La Cantera Terrace	open
Godiva Chocolatier	Dessert	Dessert	15900 La Cantera Pkwy	open
Great American Cookies	Bakery	Bakery	15900 LA Cantera Pkwy Ste 8880	open
Grille 254	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	16641 La Cantera Pkwy	open
Grimaldi's Pizzeria Grimaldi's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	15900 La Cantera Pkwy Ste 25180	open
Haywire Haywire Restaurants	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	American	15900 La Cantera Pkwy	open
Hello Kitty CafeTruck	Food truck · Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Coffee · Juice / smoothies	15900 La Cantera Pkwy	open
J. Alexander's J. Alexander’s	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	American	17422 Fiesta Texas Dr Unit 1300	open
Jamba	Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies	15900 La Cantera Pkwy Ste 5518	open
Juicer Heroes	Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies	17101 La Cantera Pkwy	open
Kahala Coffee Traders Kahala Coffee Traders	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service		15710 Chase Hill Blvd	open
Kokee Tea - La Cantera	Juice, smoothie, tea	Tea / bubble tea	15900 La Cantera Pkwy Ste 7721	open
Kona Grill Kona Grill	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	15900 La Cantera Pkwy	open
Krispy Krunchy Chicken Krispy Krunchy Chicken	Quick service		15698 Chase Hill Blvd	open
La Margarita	Bar		Six Flags Fiesta Texas, 17000 Ih-10 W	open
La Panaderia Bakery Cafe La Panadería Bakery Café	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Bakery · Coffee	17030 Fiesta Texas Dr Ste 105	open
La Tarte Gourmet Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	6215 Via la Cantera	open
Le Macaron French Pastries	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	15900 La Cantera Pkwy Ste 2315	open
Little Kidz Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee · Hot dogs	Six Flags Fiesta Texas, 17000 Ih-10 W	open
Lolli and Pops	Dessert		15900 La Cantera Pkwy	open
Luciano True Italian Passion	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	15900 La Cantera Parkway, San Antonio, TX 78256	open
Luciano Ristorante Italiano - La Cantera	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Pizza · Italian · American	15900 La Cantera Pkwy	open
Marble Slab Creamery	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Ice cream / frozen desserts	15900 La cantera Pkwy Ste 8800	open
Mariposa	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	15900 La Cantera Pkwy	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	7257 N Loop 1604	open
Mercato Cafe	Café · Coffee shop	Coffee	18603 La Cantera Terrace	open
Nothing Bundt Cakes	Restaurant (service type not stated)		17038 Fiesta Texas Dr Ste 110	open
OrangeCup	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	15900 LA Cantera Pkwy	open
P.F. Chang's P.F. Chang's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	15900 La Cantera Pkwy	open
P.F. Chang's P.F. Chang's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian	15900 LaCantera Pkwy. Bldg. #1, Suite 1100, Bldg. #1, Suite 11	open
Palenque Grill Palenque Grill	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Mexican	15900 La Cantera Pkwy	open
Perry's Steakhouse & Grille Perry's Steakhouse & Grille	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Steakhouse · American	15900 La Cantera Pkwy	open
Piatti Restaurant - San Antonio, Eilan Piatti	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Italian · Pizza · American	17803 La Cantera Ter	open
Planet Smoothie Planet Smoothie	Quick service		15710 Chase Hill Blvd	open
Pokeworks	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Hawaiian / Pacific · Healthy / salads / bowls	15900 La Cantera Pkwy Ste 26180	open
Pressed Juicery Pressed Juicery	Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies · Healthy / salads / bowls	15900 La Cantera Pkwy	open
Roca & Martillo	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Italian · American	1 Spurs Wy	open
Ruth's Chris Steak House Ruth's Chris Steak House	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Steakhouse · Seafood · American	17803 La Cantera Ter Ste 8110	open
Signature Restaurant Signature Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · European	16401 La Cantera Pkwy	open
SILO Terrace Oyster Bar Silo Elevated Cuisine	Bar	Seafood · American	Access Road, 22211 I-10	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	15900 La Cantera Pkwy Bldg 3 (The Shop, S At Lacantera)	open
Sustenio	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse	18603 La Cantera Ter	open
Sweet Paris Creperie & Cafe Sweet Paris	Café	Breakfast · French · Coffee	15900 La Cantera Pkwy	open
Taco Cabana	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	15606 Chase Hill Blvd	open
Tapville - Drink While You Shop - The Shops At La Cantera	Bar		15900 La Cantera Pkwy	open
The Baked Bear	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Dessert	15900 La Cantera Pkwy Ste 26140	open
The Capital Grille The Capital Grille	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse · American	17446 Fiesta Texas Dr	open
The Palmer Grille	Restaurant (service type not stated)		16641 La Cantera Pkwy	open
Thirty Grind Coffee Bar	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	17803 La Cantera Terrace	open
Tiny Cantina Tiny Cantina	Bar		15900 La Cantera Pkwy	open
Tommy Bahama Marlin Bar	Bar		15900 La Cantera Pkwy # 25105	open
Toro Kitchen + Bar Toro Kitchen + Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Spanish / tapas · European	15900 La Cantera Pkwy	open
Trattoria dall'Oste	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American · Italian	16102 Old Fredericksburg Rd	open
Tropical Smoothie Cafe Tropical Smoothie Cafe	Juice, smoothie, tea · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Juice / smoothies · Coffee	17038 Fiesta Texas Dr	open
Uni'Ko Japanese House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Asian	17803 La Cantera Terrace #1104	open
Wetzel's Pretzels Wetzel's Pretzels	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Bakery	15900 La Cantera Pkwy Spc #5524	open
Whiskey Cake Kitchen & Bar Whiskey Cake Kitchen & Bar - Plano	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	American	15900 La Cantera Pkwy Ste 21200	open
Yard House Yard House	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	Vegetarian · American	15900 La Cantera Pkwy	open
Yozora Japanese Kissa Restaurant	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese	22211 I-10 Access Rd	open
Z'Tejas	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	15900 LA Cantera Pkwy Ste 25100	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	2	1	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1996	1	—	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1997	1	—	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1998	1	—	—	—	—	1	NAICS1997
1999	2	1	—	1	—	1	NAICS1997
2000	2	1	—	1	—	1	NAICS1997
2001	3	2	—	1	1	1	NAICS1997
2002	6	4	2	2	—	1	NAICS1997
2003	7	4	—	4	—	1	NAICS2002
2004	4	2	—	2	—	1	NAICS2002
2005	8	6	2	3	1	1	NAICS2002
2006	11	9	2	5	2	1	NAICS2002
2007	13	11	4	5	2	1	NAICS2002
2008	17	15	6	6	3	1	NAICS2007
2009	23	21	8	7	6	1	NAICS2007
2010	20	18	8	6	4	1	NAICS2007
2011	17	14	7	3	4	1	NAICS2007
2012	24	21	8	10	3	1	NAICS2012
2013	23	20	11	6	3	1	NAICS2012
2014	26	23	10	7	6	1	NAICS2012
2015	28	22	10	7	5	3	NAICS2012
2016	32	26	14	7	5	3	NAICS2012
2017	33	28	15	5	8	—	NAICS2017
2018	32	29	15	6	8	—	NAICS2017
2019	36	32	15	6	11	—	NAICS2017
2020	35	32	14	7	11	—	NAICS2017
2021	36	34	17	5	12	—	NAICS2017
2022	34	30	16	4	10	—	NAICS2022
2023	33	29	14	4	11	3	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 78256. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
78255	3.0 mi	14	2023
78257	3.2 mi	74	2023
78249	3.9 mi	128	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.