BMIE Market 78636

Blanco County, Texas · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	4,134 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±455 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	1,771 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±230 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	3,749 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	2,019 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$72,663 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±23,682 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	54.1 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,123 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±232 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$532,600 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±74,817 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	353.3 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	16 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 78636
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	16.0 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+45.5% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+100.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+128.6% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+220.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	19 (range 17–20) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.7 per year, r² 0.91) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	65 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	55 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	57 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	89 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 78636. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.7 restaurants per year, r² 0.91, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Texas and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,534, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 65 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	55.3	55	40%	+22.1
Restaurant Opportunity Score	57.4	57	35%	+20.1
Market Momentum Score	89.3	89	25%	+22.3

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 55 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	4,134	57	40%	+22.9
Median household income (ACS)	72,663	51	40%	+20.5
Households (ACS)	1,771	59	20%	+11.8

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 57 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	100	92	35%	+32.2
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	38.7	14	25%	+3.5
Population (ACS)	4,134	57	20%	+11.5
Median household income (ACS)	72,663	51	20%	+10.3

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 89 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	45.5	89	50%	+44.3
10-year restaurant growth	100	92	30%	+27.6
20-year restaurant growth	128.6	87	20%	+17.4

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (77)

By cuisine

American 8 · BBQ 6 · Coffee 5 · Bakery 4 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 4 · Mexican 4 · Pizza 4 · Burgers 3 · Chicken / wings 3 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 3 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Breakfast 1 · Dessert 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Italian 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Sandwiches 1 · Vegan 1

By type

Winery / distillery / taproom 33 · Restaurant (service type not stated) 26 · Bar 24 · Quick service 7 · Food truck 5 · Bakery 4 · Dessert 4 · Brewery / taproom 3 · Café 3 · Casual dining 3 · Coffee shop 3 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
12 Fires Winery and Vineyard	Winery / distillery / taproom		12 Twelve Fires Rd	open
290 Brew House	Bar	American		open
290 Locale Winery & Pizzeria	Winery / distillery / taproom	Pizza · Italian	103 N Nugent Ave	open
290 Wine Castle	Winery / distillery / taproom		101 Durango Rd	open
Alex Anthony Vineyards	Winery / distillery / taproom		213 N Nugent Ave	open
Bryans On 290	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	300 E Main St	open
Carter Creek Winery Resort & Spa	Winery / distillery / taproom		4064 W US Highway 290	open
Champs Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Chicken / wings	7678 E US 290	open
Champs Chicken Hangar 54 Pizza	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Chicken / wings	7678 E US Highway 290	open
Charleston Taylor	Winery / distillery / taproom · Brewery / taproom · Casual dining · Bar	Pizza	6212 W US Highway 290	open
Covington Cellars - Texas Tasting Room and Estate Vineyard Covington Cellars	Winery / distillery / taproom		8262 E US Highway 290	open
Crowson Wines	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		105 N Avenue Q	open
Dairy Queen Dairy Queen	Quick service · Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Burgers	202 US-281	open
Dallys Down Under Saloon	Bar		9097 E US Highway 290	open
DQ Grill & Chill DQ Grill & Chill	Quick service		Hwy 281 S	open
East Main Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cajun, Creole, Southern	209 E Main St	open
El Agave	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	111 US-290	open
El Charro Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Latin American (other)	502 US-281	open
El Rey # 2	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	7678 US-290	open
Elisa Christopher Wines	Winery / distillery / taproom		1851 RR-2721	open
Farmhouse Vineyards Marketplace & Tipsy Trailer	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		402 E Main St	open
Fat Boy Burgers	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers · American	104 US-281	open
Freedom Cellars	Bar		8638 E US Highway 290	open
Hahne Estates Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom		104 E. Pecan St.	open
Hill Country Cupboard	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Breakfast	101 S US-281	open
Hill Country Ice Cream	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	209 E Main St	open
Hill Country Wine Tours	Winery / distillery / taproom		BOX 830	open
Home Town Donuts	Bakery · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Coffee · Bakery	113 US-281	open
Hot Mess Pizza & Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)		108 W Main St	open
Hungry Belly Burger lounge	Bar · Quick service	Burgers	2364 Crestview Terrace	open
Hye Top Vineyards	Winery / distillery / taproom		444 Bobcat Trl	open
Instant BBQ lounge	Bar · Quick service	BBQ	497 Crestview Terrace	open
Jax Hill Country Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Cajun, Creole, Southern	602 US-281	open
Jen’s short cakes n more	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert · Bakery	Bakery	108 W Main St	open
Jmacks	Food truck		8947 FM-2766	open
Johnson City Limits	Bar			open
Krispy Krunchy Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	502 W Main St	open
La Chaparrita’s Antojitos food trailer	Food truck	Mexican	108 W Main St	open
Lady Bird Lane Cafe	Café	Coffee	101 S Lady Bird Ln	open
Laredo Taco Company	Restaurant (service type not stated)		521 North US Hwy 281	open
Le Chocolat	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		104 N Nugent Ave	open
Lewis Wines	Winery / distillery / taproom · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		3209 W US-290	open
Longhorn Hills Vineyard and Winery	Bar · Winery / distillery / taproom		555 Klappenbach Rd	open
Lost Draw	Winery / distillery / taproom		1686 US-290	open
Nice N Easy	Bar		106 N Nugent Ave	open
Old 290 Brewery	Brewery / taproom	American · BBQ	4064 W US-290	open
Pebble Rock Cellars	Winery / distillery / taproom		506 US-281	open
Pecan Street Brewing	Brewery / taproom · Casual dining · Bar		Avenue, 106 E Pecan Dr	open
Pedernales Falls Trading Post	Bar		8947 Ranch to Market Rd 2766	open
Persnickety Gardens	Bakery	Bakery		open
Pig Pen BBQ Johnson City	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	300 W Main St	open
Portree Cellars	Winery / distillery / taproom		668 Ranch to Market Rd 1320	open
Proof & Cooper BBQ and American	Bar	BBQ · American	209 E Main St	open
Ron Yates	Winery / distillery / taproom · Restaurant (service type not stated)		6676 US-290	open
Ronnies BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	211 S US Highway 281	open
Saguaro Cafe’	Café · Juice, smoothie, tea · Bar	Coffee · Juice / smoothies	8947 FM-2766	open
Sandy Road Vineyards	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		383 Vineyard Row	open
Seed of Life	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Healthy / salads / bowls · Vegan	7505 US-290	open
Siboney Cellars	Winery / distillery / taproom		3427 W US-290	open
Silver Dollar Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		8264 E US Highway 290	open
Stay with Farmhouse Vineyards	Winery / distillery / taproom		507 E Pecan Dr	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	405 Hwy 281 S Ste 102	open
Taquiera Gonzalez	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Food truck		817hwy 281-290,	open
Tatum Cellars	Winery / distillery / taproom		109 N Nugent Ave	open
Terra Trails Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom		602 US-281 S	open
Texas Hill Country Wineries	Winery / distillery / taproom		PO box 1480	open
Texas Hills Vineyard	Winery / distillery / taproom		878 Ranch Rd # 2766	open
Texas Hills Vineyard	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		878 Ranch to Market Rd 2766	open
The Jittery Biscuit	Bakery · Food truck · Coffee shop	Bakery · Coffee	204 E Pecan Dr	open
Tottie's	Bar		105 US-281	open
Untamed Wine Estates	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		202 Ranch Road 1320	open
Vinovium	Winery / distillery / taproom · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		102 N Ave G	open
West Henly Boil Shack	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern	7792 E US-290	open
West Main Streatery	Food truck · Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	108 W Main St	open
Westcave Cellars Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		683 Ranch Road 1320	open
Westcave Cellars Winery & Brewery	Winery / distillery / taproom		683 Ranch to Market Rd 1320	open
Wildfire BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)		102 S Avenue G	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	5	5	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	5	4	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1996	5	5	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	5	5	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	6	6	4	2	—	—	NAICS1997
1999	7	6	2	4	—	1	NAICS1997
2000	6	6	3	3	—	—	NAICS1997
2001	3	3	2	1	—	—	NAICS1997
2002	7	7	5	1	1	—	NAICS1997
2003	7	7	5	2	—	—	NAICS2002
2004	6	6	4	2	—	—	NAICS2002
2005	9	9	6	2	1	—	NAICS2002
2006	9	9	7	2	—	—	NAICS2002
2007	9	7	5	2	—	1	NAICS2002
2008	8	7	5	2	—	1	NAICS2007
2009	8	7	4	3	—	1	NAICS2007
2010	7	6	4	2	—	1	NAICS2007
2011	7	6	3	3	—	1	NAICS2007
2012	10	9	5	4	—	1	NAICS2012
2013	9	8	5	3	—	1	NAICS2012
2014	11	9	6	3	—	1	NAICS2012
2015	13	10	7	3	—	2	NAICS2012
2016	13	11	7	4	—	2	NAICS2012
2017	14	12	6	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	13	11	6	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	15	13	8	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	14	12	7	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	15	13	7	3	3	—	NAICS2017
2022	17	15	9	3	3	—	NAICS2022
2023	20	16	10	4	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 78636. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.