BMIE Market 79849

El Paso County, Texas · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	14,409 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,213 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	3,975 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±325 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	13,208 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	3,574 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$44,831 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±7,816 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	30.2 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$919 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±97 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$109,800 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±12,882 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	13.6 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	5 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 79849
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	0.8 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+66.7% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+150.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+150.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+400.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	7 (range 5–10) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.4 per year, r² 0.76) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	69 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	48 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	75 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	93 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 79849. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.4 restaurants per year, r² 0.76, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Texas and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,534, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 69 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	48.4	48	40%	+19.4
Restaurant Opportunity Score	74.6	75	35%	+26.1
Market Momentum Score	92.9	93	25%	+23.2

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 48 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	14,409	76	40%	+30.4
Median household income (ACS)	44,831	10	40%	+3.8
Households (ACS)	3,975	71	20%	+14.2

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 75 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	150	95	35%	+33.4
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	3.5	96	25%	+24.1
Population (ACS)	14,409	76	20%	+15.2
Median household income (ACS)	44,831	10	20%	+1.9

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 93 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	66.7	93	50%	+46.5
10-year restaurant growth	150	95	30%	+28.6
20-year restaurant growth	150	89	20%	+17.8

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (35)

By cuisine

Mexican 10 · American 6 · Bakery 3 · Burgers 3 · Juice / smoothies 3 · Pizza 2 · Asian 1 · BBQ 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Chinese 1 · Coffee 1 · Dessert 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Italian 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Seafood 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 24 · Casual dining 7 · Quick service 7 · Bar 5 · Food truck 5 · Dessert 4 · Bakery 3 · Juice, smoothie, tea 3 · Café 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
A k churros and more	Food truck	American · Burgers	12520 Glorietta Rd	open
Ala Buuurguer (Alitas y Hamburguesas)	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	12496 Socorro Rd	open
Artisan Delights	Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert	Bakery · Juice / smoothies · Dessert	1474 Enrique Perez Cir	open
Barbacoa La casita	Casual dining · Bar	Mexican · BBQ	300 Camino De La Rosa Rd	open
Bikersinc Restaurants LLC	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1591 Main St.,San Elizario.\nOpen Friday from 6:00 pm to 12:00 pm and Saturday and Sunday from 12:00 am-12 midnight.	open
Cabral's Gyros	Casual dining · Quick service	American · Burgers	12725 Campo Bello Dr	open
Café Arte mi Admore	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee	1498 Main St	open
Charlie's Munchie Truck	Food truck · Dessert		13201 S Tabasco Dr	open
Church's Texas Chicken Church's Chicken	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	13296 Socorro Road	open
DJ's Food Truck Park	Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated)		12520 Glorietta Rd	open
El Bandido Restaurant and Cantina	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Mexican	1591 Main St	open
El Chapo Tacos, Hamburguesas y Antojitos	Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	301 Hartley Ave	open
El Panda Feliz	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	11948 Socorro Rd	open
El Rorris Food Truck	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	13244 Socorro Rd	open
El Tapatillo	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	11948 Socorro Rd	open
El Zarape Café Mexican Food	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	11861 Socorro Rd	open
Kings Pizza San Elizario	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	12273 Socorro Rd	open
La Nevada 915	Dessert		13450 Socorro Rd	open
Little Caesars Pizza Little Caesars	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	12040 Socorro Rd	open
Lokos Snack	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	11980 Socorro Rd	open
Los Cuates Paleteria	Dessert · Juice, smoothie, tea	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Juice / smoothies	12006 Socorro Rd	open
Los gordos mar y tierra	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · Burgers		open
Luna Snacks	Quick service		12155 Socorro Rd Ste b	open
Machete's Bar	Bar		11851 Socorro Rd	open
Mamacitas Restaurant & Bar	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	1580 San Elizario Rd	open
Mr Poncho	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	11861 Socorro Rd	open
Mr. Ponchos Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)		San Elceario Catholic Church, 1556 San Elizario Rd	open
San Elizario Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	11836 Glorietta Rd	open
Sky Nutrition	Juice, smoothie, tea · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Juice / smoothies	12155 Socorro Rd	open
Super T Sushi	Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated)		1408 San Antonio Rd	open
The Outlaw Saloon & Grill	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	11951 Glorietta Rd	open
The Place Tortas	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Mexican · American	13000 Socorro Rd	open
Tortilleria Valle Real	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	11881 Socorro Rd	open
U HANNGRY?!	Restaurant (service type not stated)		12020 Socorro Rd	open
Wild Rise Bakery	Bakery	Bakery		open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	1	1	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	1	1	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	1	1	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	3	2	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1998	2	2	1	1	—	—	NAICS1997
1999	2	1	—	1	—	1	NAICS1997
2000	3	3	1	2	—	—	NAICS1997
2001	3	2	1	1	—	1	NAICS1997
2002	3	3	1	2	—	—	NAICS1997
2003	2	2	1	1	—	—	NAICS2002
2006	1	1	—	1	—	—	NAICS2002
2007	2	2	—	2	—	—	NAICS2002
2008	2	2	—	2	—	—	NAICS2007
2009	2	2	—	2	—	—	NAICS2007
2010	1	1	—	1	—	—	NAICS2007
2011	2	2	—	2	—	—	NAICS2007
2012	2	2	—	2	—	—	NAICS2012
2013	2	2	—	2	—	—	NAICS2012
2014	2	2	—	2	—	—	NAICS2012
2015	2	2	—	2	—	—	NAICS2012
2016	6	3	—	2	1	1	NAICS2012
2017	4	3	—	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	4	3	—	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	8	6	—	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	5	4	—	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	7	6	—	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	8	6	3	3	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	7	5	3	—	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 79849. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
79836	2.8 mi	10	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.