BMIE Market 79905

El Paso County, Texas · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	22,594 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2,067 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	8,016 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±458 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	26,036 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	8,909 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$25,721 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4,734 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	33.8 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$674 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±39 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$106,800 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±5,652 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	6.6 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	34 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 79905
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	13.1 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+17.2% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+9.7% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+30.8% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+3.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	31 (range 27–35) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.1 per year, r² 0.10) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	53 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	50 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	49 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	64 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 79905. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.1 restaurants per year, r² 0.10, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Texas and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,534, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 53 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	50.2	50	40%	+20.1
Restaurant Opportunity Score	48.9	49	35%	+17.1
Market Momentum Score	64.2	64	25%	+16.0

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 50 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	22,594	83	40%	+33.4
Median household income (ACS)	25,721	1	40%	+0.5
Households (ACS)	8,016	82	20%	+16.3

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 49 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	9.7	54	35%	+18.8
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	15.1	52	25%	+13.1
Population (ACS)	22,594	83	20%	+16.7
Median household income (ACS)	25,721	1	20%	+0.3

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 64 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	17.2	75	50%	+37.6
10-year restaurant growth	9.7	54	30%	+16.1
20-year restaurant growth	30.8	52	20%	+10.5

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (115)

By cuisine

Mexican 45 · American 17 · Coffee 13 · Latin American (other) 13 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 11 · Bakery 6 · Burgers 5 · Dessert 5 · Breakfast 3 · Chicken / wings 3 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 3 · Japanese 3 · Pizza 3 · Healthy / salads / bowls 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · Sandwiches 2 · Asian 1 · Chinese 1 · Hot dogs 1 · Noodles / ramen / pho 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 63 · Quick service 21 · Bar 20 · Café 12 · Dessert 9 · Casual dining 8 · Food truck 8 · Coffee shop 7 · Bakery 6 · Juice, smoothie, tea 3 · Brewery / taproom 2 · Buffet 1 · Catering 1 · Delivery-focused 1 · Fast casual 1 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
787 Coffee 787 Coffee Co.	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	5038 Alameda Ave	open
Adrian's Cocktail Lounge	Bar		3400 Gateway Blvd E	open
Arby's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	445 Raynolds St	open
Beach Bar	Bar		6920 Delta Dr	open
Big Al's Place	Bar		6722 Alameda Ave	open
Big Boy Restaurant	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	Fox Plaza, 5543 Alameda Ave	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	5431 Alameda Ave	open
Burritos Juarez, Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		4901 Alameda Ave	open
Burritos Lore's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	6066 E Yandell Dr	open
Burritos Tin Tan	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	5710 Alameda Ave	open
Cafe Alameda	Café · Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop	Coffee	3215 Alameda Ave	open
Cafeteria Saul	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Breakfast	3405 Alameda Ave	open
Cazadores Cantina	Bar		3530 Durazno Ave	open
Charly's Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	5551 Alameda Ave	open
Chelsea Cafe Mexican Restaurant	Café	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Coffee	324 Chelsea St	open
Chicken Coop	Bar	Chicken / wings	4118 Alameda Ave	open
Chico's Tacos	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	4230 Alameda Ave	open
Church's Texas Chicken Church's Chicken	Quick service	Chicken / wings · American	6101 Alameda Avenue	open
Cl &amp Cl Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		5026 Rosa Ave	open
Clamatos Y Mariscos El Chueko	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Food truck		5305 Alameda Ave	open
Clasico Kitchen Bar Clasico Kitchen Bar	Bar		6900 Delta Dr	open
Cocina El Mestizo	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	3530 Durazno Ave	open
Code Brew	Bar		5038 Alameda Ave	open
Coffee Party	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	3803 Frutas Ave B	open
Conchitas Burritos	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Latin American (other)		open
Cracker Barrel	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American		open
Dairy Queen Dairy Queen	Quick service · Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · American	4850 E Paisano Dr 4850 E Paisano Dr	open
DeadBeach Brewery	Brewery / taproom · Casual dining · Bar		3200 Durazno Ave	open
Denny's Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	6144 Gateway Blvd. E	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Quick service · Delivery-focused	Pizza	6920 Delta	open
Donuts Hot & Fresh Kolaches	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert · Bakery	2031 Central Ave	open
DQ Grill & Chill DQ Grill & Chill	Quick service		4850 E Paisano Dr	open
Dunkin' Donuts Dunkin'	Bakery · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Coffee · Bakery		open
El Asador Mar & Tierra	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	3214 Alameda Ave	open
El Calico Bar	Bar		146 Chelsea St	open
El Capitan Candy Shop	Dessert · Bar	Dessert	6070 Gateway Blvd E	open
El Changarro De Jenny	Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	3707 Pera Ave	open
El Loco	Dessert · Juice, smoothie, tea	Mexican · Juice / smoothies	3600 Alameda Ave	open
El Paso Los Angeles Limo Express	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	203 Chelsea St	open
El Paso's Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	5901 Ybarra Ct	open
El Paso/I-110/Mexico	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)		open
El Rinconcito de Juarez	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	3501 Alameda Ave	open
El Sazón de Cecy	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	805 N Clark Dr	open
El TACO CHON	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	Fox Plaza, 5559 Alameda Ave	open
Elpaso TX	Quick service			open
Embassy Suites - Atrium	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		6110 Gateway Blvd E	open
Forti's Mexican Elder Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	321 Chelsea St	open
Fox Plaza Tropical Sno	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	5507 Alameda Ave	open
Futuro	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Latin American (other) · American	3799 Frutas Ave	open
Gateway	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	6100 Gateway Blvd E	open
Good Luck Cafe	Café · Casual dining	Coffee · Mexican · American	3813 Alameda Ave	open
IHOP IHOP	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast · American	6080 Gateway Blvd E	open
Jack in the Box	Quick service		5519 W Alameda Ave	open
Jaime's Hut	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other) · American	3700 Alameda Ave	open
La Central	Casual dining	Mexican · Latin American (other) · American	2131 Central Ave	open
La Colonial Tortilla Factory	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Latin American (other)	212 N Copia St	open
La Familia	Restaurant (service type not stated)		4302 Alameda Ave	open
La Flauta Asesina	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	5555 Alameda Ave	open
La Gorda La Gorda Mexican Food	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	2914 E Paisano Dr	open
La Michoacana	Dessert	Mexican · Dessert	6726 Alameda Ave	open
La Nueva Rosita Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Mexican · American	3131 Alameda Ave	open
La Rosita Cafe	Café · Coffee shop	Mexican · Coffee	3100 Gateway Blvd E	open
La Sabrosita Food Truck	Food truck	Mexican · Burgers	5559 Alameda Ave	open
La Valentina Mexican Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	3501 Alameda Ave	open
Lonches y hamburguesas LOS TOTONES	Quick service	Burgers · Mexican		open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	5305 E Paisano	open
MetalGround	Bar		3300 Alameda Ave	open
Mi Pueblo Nuevo Mexican Food	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	5630 Gtwy Blvd E	open
Mikys	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Japanese	120 Walker St	open
Monster Dogs	Food truck · Quick service	Hot dogs	6100 Tesuque Dr	open
Nenita Mi Amor Cafe	Café	Coffee	5316 E Paisano Dr	open
Nexstep Logic, Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2138 Cypress Ave	open
Nutrismoothies & Salads	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Healthy / salads / bowls	5549 Alameda Ave	open
Nutrismoothies and Salads	Juice, smoothie, tea · Fast casual	Juice / smoothies · Healthy / salads / bowls	5549 Alameda Ave	open
Oasis Bar	Bar		5610 El Paso Dr	open
Old Sheepdog Brewery	Brewery / taproom · Bar		3900 Rosa Ave	open
Otto Vacation Rentals	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Pizza	5316 Gateway Blvd E	open
Paisano & Piedras Whataburger	Quick service		2130 E PAISANO DR	open
Pala Cruda El Paso Tx	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service		5777 Alameda Ave	open
Palace Bar	Bar		3201 Alameda Ave	open
Panchos Snacks	Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	5804 Delta Dr	open
Park Inn Bar	Bar		53 N Boone St	open
Passport Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Coffee · American	Train Station, 4001 E Paisano Dr	open
Peter Piper Pizza Peter Piper Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	5230 E Paisano Dr	open
Plaza Del Sol	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	5630 Gateway Blvd E	open
Popeyes Louisiana Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	5505 Alameda Ave	open
Rainbow Fountain	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Mexican	6920 Delta Dr	open
Rainbow Tortas #4 Fox plaza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	5559 Alameda Ave	open
Rex Ball	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Asian	3027 Alameda Ave	open
Santa Cecilia Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)		5500 El Paso Dr	open
Santa Fe Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)		3501 Alameda Ave	open
Scotch & Butter	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Bakery	530 Dolan St	open
Slice Of Life	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	5777 Alameda Ave	open
Snack Bus	Food truck	Mexican	2120 E Paisano Dr	open
Sr. Benjos	Buffet · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	3504 Alameda Ave	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	5505 Alameda Ave	open
Stop & Go Kitchen	Quick service	Breakfast · Chinese	2133 Central Ave	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Other	Sandwiches · American	200 Rick Francis St	open
Super Lonches	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	3025 Rivera Ave	open
Súper Lonches	Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	210 N Copia St	open
Supreme Bakery Supreme Bakery	Bakery · Café	Bakery · Coffee	3720 Alameda Ave	open
Tacos Chinampa Tacos Chinampa	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	6110 Gtwy Blvd E	open
Tacos Don Cuco	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	3027 Alameda Ave	open
Tacos Don Cuco Tacos Don Cuco	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	5901 Alameda Ave	open
Tamales El Dorado	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Mexican		open
Taquizas Grill	Café	Coffee	3216 Alameda Ave	open
Tea Cafe	Café · Juice, smoothie, tea · Coffee shop	Coffee · Tea / bubble tea	Inside 6070 building, 6070 Gtwy Blvd E #101	open
The Bar	Bar		6030 Gateway Blvd E	open
The Don Ramen Bar	Bar	Japanese · Noodles / ramen / pho	5525 Alameda Ave	open
The Heavenly Churro	Food truck		5559 Alameda Ave	open
Tio's Auto Center	Restaurant (service type not stated)		5030 E Paisano Dr	open
Tortilleria Durango	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	3309 Alameda Ave	open
TrompoLoco	Catering · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	5316 E Paisano Dr	open
Whataburger Whataburger	Quick service	Burgers · American	2130 E PAISANO DR	open
Xochitl Bakery	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	241 S Concepcion St	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	45	33	—	—	—	12	SIC1987
1995	36	25	—	—	—	11	SIC1987
1996	38	28	—	—	—	10	SIC1987
1997	45	31	—	—	—	14	SIC1987
1998	45	29	16	13	—	14	NAICS1997
1999	39	27	15	12	—	10	NAICS1997
2000	40	30	16	13	1	8	NAICS1997
2001	41	30	17	12	1	9	NAICS1997
2002	41	31	19	11	1	9	NAICS1997
2003	39	26	13	13	—	11	NAICS2002
2004	43	28	16	10	2	13	NAICS2002
2005	40	26	14	10	2	12	NAICS2002
2006	35	20	10	9	1	11	NAICS2002
2007	37	24	12	11	1	10	NAICS2002
2008	40	29	15	13	1	9	NAICS2007
2009	36	28	13	14	1	6	NAICS2007
2010	40	34	18	14	2	4	NAICS2007
2011	41	33	18	14	1	6	NAICS2007
2012	35	29	13	14	2	4	NAICS2012
2013	39	31	12	16	3	4	NAICS2012
2014	38	29	10	15	4	7	NAICS2012
2015	40	30	11	15	4	6	NAICS2012
2016	39	31	10	17	4	5	NAICS2012
2017	37	30	9	17	3	3	NAICS2017
2018	37	29	8	18	—	3	NAICS2017
2019	39	31	11	18	—	3	NAICS2017
2020	37	30	13	16	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	38	28	10	17	—	3	NAICS2017
2022	40	31	12	16	3	3	NAICS2022
2023	45	34	14	16	4	3	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 79905. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
79903	1.7 mi	53	2023
79906	3.0 mi	13	2023
79901	3.2 mi	58	2023
79915	3.5 mi	51	2023
79930	4.0 mi	24	2023
79925	4.3 mi	183	2023
79902	4.4 mi	88	2023
79920	4.4 mi	1	2006

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.