BMIE Market 80004
Jefferson County, Colorado · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 33,700 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,299 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 14,387 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±608 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 35,892 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 15,158 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $103,659 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±5,250 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 43.2 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $1,825 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±90 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $616,700 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±10,351 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 7.2 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 36 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 80004 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 8.6 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | -14.3% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +5.9% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +38.5% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +89.5% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 39 (range 31–47) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.0 per year, r² 0.00) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 68 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 88 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 70 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 35 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 80004. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.0 restaurants per year, r² 0.00, confidence Low.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. Colorado and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 390, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 68 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 88.2 | 88 | 40% | +35.3 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 69.9 | 70 | 35% | +24.5 |
| Market Momentum Score | 34.6 | 35 | 25% | +8.7 |
Consumer Market Score: 88 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 33,700 | 91 | 40% | +36.4 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 103,659 | 83 | 40% | +33.3 |
| Households (ACS) | 14,387 | 93 | 20% | +18.5 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 70 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 5.9 | 50 | 35% | +17.7 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 10.7 | 70 | 25% | +17.4 |
| Population (ACS) | 33,700 | 91 | 20% | +18.2 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 103,659 | 83 | 20% | +16.6 |
Market Momentum Score: 35 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | -14.3 | 16 | 50% | +7.9 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 5.9 | 50 | 30% | +15.1 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 38.5 | 58 | 20% | +11.5 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (76)
By cuisine
Mexican 10 · Coffee 9 · Asian 8 · Sandwiches 8 · American 7 · Bakery 7 · Pizza 7 · Chinese 4 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 4 · Burgers 3 · Dessert 3 · Healthy / salads / bowls 3 · Japanese 3 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Italian 2 · Latin American (other) 2 · Tea / bubble tea 2 · BBQ 1 · Breakfast 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Hawaiian / Pacific 1 · Hot dogs 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Middle Eastern 1 · Noodles / ramen / pho 1 · Sushi 1 · Thai 1 · Vietnamese 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 49 · Quick service 12 · Bakery 8 · Café 8 · Coffee shop 8 · Bar 6 · Casual dining 5 · Dessert 4 · Juice, smoothie, tea 3 · Other 3 · Fast casual 2 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Specialty food shop 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5280 Eats | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | American | 6156 Simms St unit A | open |
| 5340 Coffee & Events | Juice, smoothie, tea · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop · Café | Tea / bubble tea · Coffee | 6474 Ward Rd | open |
| 64th Dutch Bros. Coffee | Coffee shop · Café | Coffee | 11180 W. 64th Ave. | open |
| Abo's Pizza Abo's Pizza Arvada | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 14705 W 64th Ave | open |
| Arvada 64th and Yank Noodles & Company | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 6408 Yank Way | open | |
| Asuka Ramen Poke - ARVADA | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Healthy / salads / bowls · Hawaiian / Pacific · Asian | 6156 Simms St Unit B | open |
| Azuma Japanese Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 12391 W 64th Ave | open | |
| Bambu Dessert Drinks | Juice, smoothie, tea · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Tea / bubble tea | 6476 Ward Rd Ste 6474 | open |
| Blackjack Pizza Blackjack Pizza & Salads | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Fast casual | Pizza · Healthy / salads / bowls | 11651 W 64th Ave | open |
| Blazing Bird | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings · Burgers · American | 12368 W 64th Ave #12 | open |
| Bliss Frozen Yogurt | Dessert | Dessert · Ice cream / frozen desserts | 11651 W 64th Ave | open |
| Blue Mountain Funding Solutions, Inc. | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 12650 W 64th Ave | open | |
| Bncc Pizza Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 5804 Ward Rd Unit B | open | |
| Bohemian Coffee Club | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 12650 W 64th Ave | open | |
| Burger King Burger King | Quick service | Burgers · American | 12580 W 64th Ave | open |
| Cheese Boat - Arvada Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 11651 W 64th Ave | open | |
| Chipotle Mexican Grill Chipotle Mexican Grill | Quick service | Mexican | 12550 W 64th Ave | open |
| Chopstix Asian Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Asian | 9604 Ralston Rd | open |
| CobbleStone Coffee | Coffee shop · Café | Coffee | 6276 Devinney Cir | open |
| Coculas Mexican Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 11651 W 64th Ave | open |
| Dairy Queen Grill & Chill | Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Café | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Sandwiches · Coffee | 11631 W 64th Ave | open |
| Das Meyer Fine Pastry Chalet | Bakery · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | 13251 W 64th Ave | open |
| Donut Time | Bakery · Dessert | Dessert | 10370 W 64th Ave | open |
| El Jefe Tacos And Burritos | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 6156 Simms St Unit B | open |
| EL TEQUILEÑO Family Mexican Restaurant El Tequileño Family Mexican Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 12391 W 64th Ave | open |
| Elevated Pastries | Bakery | Bakery | 6085 Vivian St | open |
| Firehouse Subs Firehouse Subs | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 12345 W. 64th Ave | open |
| First Watch First Watch | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Breakfast · American | 12325 W 64th Ave | open |
| Gluten Free Things | Bakery | Bakery | 11651 W 64th Ave | open |
| House of Js Coffee | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 12650 W 64th Ave | open |
| Howie's Ralston Lounge | Bar | 6420 Ward Rd | open | |
| Inta Juice - Arvada | Juice, smoothie, tea | Juice / smoothies | 14705 W 64th Ave Unit B | open |
| Jiffys Hot Dog Deli | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Hot dogs | 10370 W 64th Ave | open |
| Jimmy John's Jimmy John's | Quick service · Specialty food shop | Sandwiches | 12650 W 64th Ave Ste. B-1 | open |
| Laredo Taco Company | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 11601 W 64th Ave | open | |
| Las Potrancas Las Potrancas Mexican restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 11651 W 64th Ave | open |
| Little Caesar's | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 6480 Ward Rd | open |
| LUKI Brewery | Brewery / taproom · Bar | 14715 W 64th Ave Units A&B | open | |
| Malone's Clubhouse Grill | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | American | 14455 W 64th Ave | open |
| Mika Sushi | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Thai · Japanese · Sushi · Asian | 12650 W 64th Ave B2 | open |
| Ming's Asian Fusion | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Asian | 9604 Ralston Rd | open |
| Monterrey House | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Latin American (other) | 9868 W 60th Ave | open |
| Mt. Fuji Japanese Sushi & Hibachi Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese | 12322 W 64th Ave | open |
| Nixon Restaurant Group Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 6610 Holman St Unit 301 | open | |
| Noodles & Company Noodles & Company | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Noodles / ramen / pho · Asian | 6408 Yank Way | open |
| Orion Hot Pot | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 9604 Ralston Rd | open |
| Panera Bread Panera Bread | Bakery · Fast casual | Bakery · Sandwiches · Healthy / salads / bowls | 6408 Yank Way | open |
| Papa Johns Papa John's Pizza | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 12850 west 64th avenue | open |
| Papa Murphy's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 12650 West 64th Avenue | open |
| Pizza Takeout & Delivery Papa Murphy's | Quick service | open | ||
| Prtd Corp | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 12312 W 64th Ave | open | |
| Qdoba Mexican Grill Qdoba | Quick service | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 14575 West 64th Ave Arvada | open |
| Quiznos | Other | Sandwiches | 14715 W 64th Ave Unit A | open |
| Ralibertos | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 12006 Ralston Rd | open |
| Ralston Lounge | Bar | 6420 Ward Rd | open | |
| Randi's Pizza & Italian Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian · Pizza | 12312 W 64th Ave | open |
| Red Silo Coffee Company Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 6590 Holman St Unit 207 | open | |
| Red Silo Coffee Roasters Red Silo Coffee Roasters | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 6590 Holman St | open |
| Rib City | Casual dining · Bar | BBQ · American | 14705 W 64th Ave Ste d bldg 7 | open |
| Royal Bakery | Bakery | Bakery | 9606 Ralston Rd | open |
| R|Taco | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 12368 W 64th Ave | open |
| Silver Mine Subs | Other | Sandwiches | 11651 W 64th Ave | open |
| Starbucks | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Coffee | 12680 W 64th Ave # 1107 | open |
| Starbucks Starbucks | Café · Coffee shop · Bakery | Coffee · Bakery | 12395 W 64th Ave | open |
| Subway Subway | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 12304 W 64th Ave Unit 1 | open |
| Sultan Grill SULTAN GRILL | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar | Middle Eastern | 12650 W 64th Ave | open |
| Sunny Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 10290 Ralston Rd | open | |
| Taco Bell Taco Bell | Quick service | Mexican | 12480 West 64th Avenue | open |
| Tam's Chinese | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese | 6375 Simms St | open |
| Tea Garden | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 10290 Ralston Rd | open |
| The Pie Dive | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Other | Sandwiches · Pizza | 10050 Ralston Rd Unit D | open |
| Treasure Pot | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Asian · Vietnamese · Chinese | 6375 Simms St | open |
| Wendy's Wendy's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 14565 W. 64th Ave | open |
| Wildflour Bakery and Coffee | Bakery | Bakery | 6480 Ward Rd | open |
| Ziggi's Coffee Ziggi's Coffee | Coffee shop · Café | Coffee | 7700 W 67th Ave | open |
| J&f Restaurants | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 6610 Holman St | closed |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 21 | 19 | — | — | — | 2 | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 18 | 16 | — | — | — | 2 | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 23 | 21 | — | — | — | 2 | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 25 | 24 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 25 | 23 | 10 | 9 | 4 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 30 | 27 | 11 | 10 | 6 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 23 | 20 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 26 | 22 | 8 | 10 | 4 | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 28 | 25 | 9 | 12 | 3 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 29 | 26 | 9 | 13 | 3 | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 30 | 26 | 10 | 13 | 2 | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 38 | 34 | 12 | 15 | 6 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 37 | 31 | 12 | 14 | 4 | 3 | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 35 | 31 | 13 | 14 | 4 | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 34 | 32 | 14 | 15 | 3 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 33 | 31 | 12 | 16 | 3 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 33 | 31 | 13 | 15 | 3 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 33 | 31 | 13 | 14 | 4 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 38 | 34 | 13 | 15 | 6 | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 37 | 34 | 11 | 17 | 6 | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 41 | 37 | 13 | 19 | 5 | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 44 | 40 | 13 | 22 | 5 | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 48 | 46 | 16 | 23 | 7 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 45 | 42 | 16 | 22 | 4 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 46 | 42 | 15 | 20 | 7 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 45 | 41 | 15 | 19 | 7 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 42 | 38 | 12 | 19 | 7 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 39 | 36 | 10 | 20 | 6 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 47 | 43 | 12 | 21 | 10 | 3 | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 40 | 36 | 12 | 17 | 7 | 3 | NAICS2022 |