BMIE Market 80005

Jefferson County, Colorado · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	28,459 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,204 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	11,217 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±448 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	25,553 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	10,342 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$136,821 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±6,202 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	42.7 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$2,188 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±173 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$649,800 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±11,388 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	11.7 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	19 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 80005
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	5.9 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+35.7% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+72.7% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	-5.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+5.6% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	21 (range 19–23) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.6 per year, r² 0.77) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	86 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	90 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	89 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	73 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 80005. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.6 restaurants per year, r² 0.77, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Colorado and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 390, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 86 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	90.4	90	40%	+36.2
Restaurant Opportunity Score	88.7	89	35%	+31.1
Market Momentum Score	73.4	73	25%	+18.3

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 90 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	28,459	88	40%	+35.1
Median household income (ACS)	136,821	94	40%	+37.7
Households (ACS)	11,217	88	20%	+17.6

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 89 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	72.7	88	35%	+30.9
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	6.7	86	25%	+21.4
Population (ACS)	28,459	88	20%	+17.6
Median household income (ACS)	136,821	94	20%	+18.9

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 73 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	35.7	86	50%	+43.2
10-year restaurant growth	72.7	88	30%	+26.5
20-year restaurant growth	-5	19	20%	+3.7

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (35)

By cuisine

American 7 · Pizza 5 · Coffee 4 · Burgers 3 · Dessert 3 · Italian 3 · Mexican 2 · Asian 1 · Bakery 1 · BBQ 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Hawaiian / Pacific 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Japanese 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Sandwiches 1 · Seafood 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Steakhouse 1 · Sushi 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 19 · Quick service 7 · Casual dining 6 · Bar 5 · Café 3 · Coffee shop 3 · Dessert 3 · Bakery 2 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Delivery-focused 1 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
528tea	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert	7639 W 88th Ave	open
Baskin-Robbins Baskin-Robbins	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	7645 W 88th Ave	open
Black Rock Coffee Bar Black Rock Coffee Bar	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	7630 W 80th Ave	open
Buffalo Wild Wings Buffalo Wild Wings	Bar · Casual dining	American	8350 West 80th Avenue	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	7613 West 88th Avenue	open
Café Esperanza Denver	Café	Coffee	14584 W 91st Dr	open
CD's Wings	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings · American	7685 W 88th Ave	open
city pizza & pasta	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	9959 W 80th Ave	open
Corona's Mexican Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Latin American (other)	7617 W 88th Ave	open
Domino's Pizza Domino's Pizza	Quick service · Delivery-focused	Pizza	14749 W 87th Pkwy	open
Downing Services Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		7617 W 88th Ave	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Quick service		9075 Howell Street	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Coffee · Bakery	7615 W 88th Ave	open
I Love Sushi and Poke	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Healthy / salads / bowls · Hawaiian / Pacific	9014 W 88th Ave	open
Jack’s Bar and Grill Jack's	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		8565 Five Parks Dr	open
Js Boba&Bites	Juice, smoothie, tea	Tea / bubble tea · Asian	7639 W 88th Ave	open
La Pizza Del Re	Restaurant (service type not stated)		9008 W 88th Ave	open
Long John Silvers	Quick service		7615 W 88th Ave	open
Lost Coffee Lost Coffee	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	8290 W 80th Ave #1	open
Lot One	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	13730 W 85th Dr	open
Marco's Pizza Marco's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	7699 W 88th Ave	open
Marco's Pizza Marco's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	8560 Five Parks Dr, Ste 100	open
Massino’s Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	9959 W 80th Ave	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	8001 Wadsworth Blvd	open
Old Neighborhood Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse · Seafood · American	7923 Allison Way	open
Pizza Takeout & Delivery Papa Murphy's	Quick service			open
Sano's Italian Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Italian · American	9008 W 88th Ave	open
Sideways Sports Lounge	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar · Casual dining	Burgers · BBQ	9134 W 88th Ave	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	8050 Kipling St	open
Taco Bell	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	9105 Howell Street	open
Thane's Table	Casual dining · Bar		7655 W 88th Ave	open
The Glass Onion	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Bar			open
The Real Deal Natural Smoothies & Latin Food	Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies	7639 W 88th Ave	open
Voss Farms Colorado	Brewery / taproom		13870 W 72nd Ave	open
White Fence Farm	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	7685 W 88th Ave	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	18	18	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	14	14	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	20	20	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	25	25	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	21	20	8	10	2	—	NAICS1997
1999	17	16	7	7	2	—	NAICS1997
2000	16	14	6	6	2	1	NAICS1997
2001	17	15	5	7	3	1	NAICS1997
2002	20	18	9	6	3	—	NAICS1997
2003	21	20	10	6	3	—	NAICS2002
2004	20	20	9	7	3	—	NAICS2002
2005	16	16	6	6	3	—	NAICS2002
2006	19	18	8	5	4	—	NAICS2002
2007	19	19	8	7	3	—	NAICS2002
2008	17	16	9	5	1	1	NAICS2007
2009	15	15	7	5	2	—	NAICS2007
2010	15	15	8	5	1	—	NAICS2007
2011	15	15	8	4	2	—	NAICS2007
2012	12	11	6	4	1	1	NAICS2012
2013	11	11	6	4	1	—	NAICS2012
2014	13	13	7	4	2	—	NAICS2012
2015	14	13	8	3	2	—	NAICS2012
2016	17	16	11	3	2	—	NAICS2012
2017	15	14	8	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	16	14	6	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	17	14	6	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	18	15	7	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	20	17	6	8	3	—	NAICS2017
2022	21	17	7	8	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	23	19	8	9	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 80005. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
80004	2.7 mi	36	2023
80021	2.9 mi	81	2023
80007	3.7 mi	21	2023
80003	4.0 mi	75	2023
80002	4.2 mi	79	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.