BMIE Market 80007
Jefferson County, Colorado · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 19,078 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,252 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 6,656 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±389 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 7,262 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 2,640 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $176,122 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±11,478 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 40.7 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $2,714 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±612 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $872,000 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±21,446 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 25.0 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 21 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 80007 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 13.8 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | +50.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +50.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +425.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +2,000.0% DERIVED: 1996 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 20 (range 15–25) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.6 per year, r² 0.38) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 86 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 87 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 82 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 89 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 80007. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.6 restaurants per year, r² 0.38, confidence Low.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. Colorado and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 390, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 86 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 87.2 | 87 | 40% | +34.9 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 81.6 | 82 | 35% | +28.6 |
| Market Momentum Score | 89.4 | 89 | 25% | +22.4 |
Consumer Market Score: 87 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 19,078 | 81 | 40% | +32.3 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 176,122 | 98 | 40% | +39.2 |
| Households (ACS) | 6,656 | 79 | 20% | +15.7 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 82 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 50 | 82 | 35% | +28.8 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 11.0 | 68 | 25% | +17.1 |
| Population (ACS) | 19,078 | 81 | 20% | +16.1 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 176,122 | 98 | 20% | +19.6 |
Market Momentum Score: 89 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | 50 | 90 | 50% | +45.1 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 50 | 82 | 30% | +24.7 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 425 | 98 | 20% | +19.6 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (34)
By cuisine
Coffee 6 · American 5 · Dessert 5 · Asian 4 · Sandwiches 4 · Burgers 3 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 3 · Bakery 2 · Breakfast 2 · Latin American (other) 2 · Pizza 2 · Caribbean 1 · Chinese 1 · Cuban 1 · Italian 1 · Japanese 1 · Mexican 1 · Sushi 1 · Thai 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 18 · Bar 9 · Coffee shop 5 · Dessert 5 · Quick service 5 · Café 4 · Casual dining 3 · Bakery 2 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Specialty food shop 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Sons Italian Restaurant and Bar | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian | 14805 W 64th Ave | open |
| Agave Blue | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 18168 W 92nd Ln | open |
| Balance Pan-Asian Grille | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Asian | 15177 Candelas Pkwy | open |
| Big Daddy's Pizza Arvada | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 16255 W 64th Ave | open |
| Buffalo Wild Wings Buffalo Wild Wings | Bar · Casual dining | American | 15570 W 64th Ave | open |
| Cold Stone Creamery Cold Stone Creamery | Dessert · Bar | Dessert | 15400 W 64th Ave, Bldg E | open |
| Cold Stone Creamery Cold Stone Creamery | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 15400 W 64th Ave Bldg E | open |
| Cold Stone Creamery Cold Stone Creamery | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 18168 W 92nd Ln | open |
| Colorado Tap House | Bar | 14982 W 69th Ave | open | |
| Firehouse Subs Firehouse Subs | Quick service | Sandwiches | 15207 Candelas Pkwy, Suite 102 | open |
| Heaven Dragon Arvada | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 16255 W 64th Ave #14 | open |
| Home Cookin Cafe | Café | Breakfast · Coffee · American | 16255 W 64th Ave #7 | open |
| Illegal Burger Arvada | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 15400 W 64th Ave Unit E1a | open |
| JAM-Bers | Bar · Casual dining | 6711 West Woods Cir | open | |
| Jama Miami Cuban food and drink | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Cuban · Latin American (other) · Caribbean | 15177 Candelas Pkwy | open |
| Jeremiah's Italian Ice Jeremiah's Italian Ice | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert · Coffee shop · Bar | Pizza · Ice cream / frozen desserts · Coffee · Breakfast · Dessert | 15177 Candelas Pkwy | open |
| Jersey Mike's Subs Jersey Mike's Subs | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | Nec Of West 90Th Ave. & Indiana St. | open |
| Jersey Mike's Subs Jersey Mike's Subs | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches · American | 15530 W 64th Ave | open |
| Jhon's Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 8642 Yule St | open |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 14825 West 64th Avenue | open |
| Resolute Brewing Tap & Cellar | Brewery / taproom · Bar | 18148 W 92nd Ln | open | |
| Royal Garden Asian Grill Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 16255 W 64th Ave Unit 14 | open | |
| Sanun Thai | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Thai | 18068 W 92nd Lane Ste 300 | open |
| Starbucks | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Coffee | 14967 Candelas Pkwy | open |
| Starbucks Starbucks | Coffee shop · Café · Bakery | Coffee · Bakery | 15200 W 64th Ave | open |
| Starbucks Coffee Company Starbucks | Café · Coffee shop · Bakery | Coffee · Bakery | 8830 Indiana St | open |
| Subway | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 15300 W 64th Ave, Unit 3 | open |
| Sushi Aji | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi · Asian | 14807 W 64th Ave | open |
| Sushi Kuro | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Asian | 15177 Candelas Pkwy | open |
| The Bluegrass Lounge - Candelas | Bar | 18068 W 92nd Ln | open | |
| Wendy's Wendy's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 14857 Candelas Pkwy | open |
| West Woods Bar and Grill | Casual dining · Bar | 6655 Quaker St | open | |
| Yeti’s Sweets And Arcade | Dessert | Dessert | 18068 W 92nd Ln | open |
| Ziggi's Coffee Ziggi's Coffee | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 18168 W 92nd Ln | open |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1996 | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 3 | 3 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 1 | 1 | — | — | 1 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 1 | 1 | — | — | 1 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 1 | 1 | — | — | 1 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 3 | 3 | — | 2 | 1 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 9 | 9 | — | 7 | 2 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 12 | 11 | — | 9 | 2 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 11 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 13 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 15 | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 13 | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 14 | 13 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 13 | 11 | 5 | 3 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 15 | 14 | 7 | 4 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 14 | 13 | 6 | 4 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 15 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 3 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 13 | 12 | 4 | 5 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 18 | 17 | 5 | 8 | 3 | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 22 | 21 | 6 | 8 | 6 | — | NAICS2022 |