BMIE Market 80045

Adams County, Colorado · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	1,676 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±148 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	828 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±107 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	277 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	173 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$49,500 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±22,322 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	31.5 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$2,042 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±131 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	Data source not yet connected
Land area	0.9 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	8 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 80045
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	252.7 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+33.3% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-11.1% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+700.0% DERIVED: 2005 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	4 (range 1–7) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.3 per year, r² 0.31) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	35 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	31 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	20 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	60 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence Medium · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 80045. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.3 restaurants per year, r² 0.31, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Colorado and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 390, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 35 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	31.5	31	40%	+12.6
Restaurant Opportunity Score	19.9	20	35%	+7.0
Market Momentum Score	59.8	60	25%	+15.0

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 31 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	1,676	41	40%	+16.6
Median household income (ACS)	49,500	14	40%	+5.7
Households (ACS)	828	46	20%	+9.2

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 20 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-11.1	18	35%	+6.2
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	47.7	10	25%	+2.6
Population (ACS)	1,676	41	20%	+8.3
Median household income (ACS)	49,500	14	20%	+2.9

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 60 (Medium confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	33.3	85	50%	+53.2
10-year restaurant growth	-11.1	18	30%	+6.6

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (26)

By cuisine

Coffee 5 · American 3 · Sandwiches 3 · Indian 2 · Mexican 2 · Pizza 2 · Bakery 1 · Japanese 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 15 · Café 4 · Bar 3 · Casual dining 3 · Coffee shop 3 · Quick service 3 · Brewery / taproom 2 · Specialty food shop 2 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Bakery 1 · Buffet 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
California Wrap Runner	Restaurant (service type not stated)		12348 E Montview Blvd	open
Cedar Creek Pub	Bar · Casual dining		2100 Ursula St	open
Chai & Chai	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Café	Indian · American · Coffee	12501 E 17th Ave	open
Change Please Coffee	Coffee shop	Coffee	2115 N Scranton St Suite 1080	open
Courtyard Cafe	Buffet		1635 Aurora Ct	open
Dazbog Coffee Dazbog	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Coffee · Tea / bubble tea	1635 Aurora Ct	open
El Meson de Liz	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Mexican · American	2101 N Ursula St	open
Etai's Green House	Restaurant (service type not stated)		12501 E 17th Ave Unit E	open
Intermission Cafe	Café	Coffee	13120 E 19th Ave	open
Jimmy John's Jimmy John's	Quick service · Specialty food shop	Sandwiches	12501 E 17th Ave	open
Lost Coffee	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	2100 N Ursula St Unit 30	open
Masala Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Indian · Pizza	12501 E 17th Ave	open
Milieu Fermentation	Brewery / taproom · Bar		2101 N Ursula St	open
Pudge Brothers Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	12501 E 17th Ave Unit F	open
Robeks Fresh Juices & Smoothies	Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies	12700 E 19th Ave	open
Root & Sprig By Tom Colicchio - Aurora	Restaurant (service type not stated)		13001 E 17th Pl	open
Rosa's Mexican Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	12501 E 17th Ave Unit F	open
Shreeji Associates Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		12501 E 17th Ave	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	12501 E 17th Ave Unit D	open
The Common Good	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	13025 E Montview Blvd	open
Tin Cup Bar & Grill & Catering	Bar		2323 Scranton St	open
Tstreet Kitchen and Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1890 N Revere Ct	open
Ursula Brewery	Brewery / taproom		2101 N Ursula St Unit 10	open
Wok & Roll Teriyaki	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese	13001 E 17th Pl	open
Woodgrain Bagel & Deli Woodgrain Bagels	Bakery · Quick service · Specialty food shop	Bakery · Sandwiches	13120 E 19th Ave	open
Cimarron Cafe	Café	Coffee	2323 Scranton St	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
2005	1	1	1	—	—	—	NAICS2002
2007	3	3	—	3	—	—	NAICS2002
2008	3	3	—	3	—	—	NAICS2007
2009	6	6	—	6	—	—	NAICS2007
2010	7	7	—	6	1	—	NAICS2007
2011	8	7	—	6	1	1	NAICS2007
2012	9	9	2	6	1	—	NAICS2012
2013	10	9	2	6	1	—	NAICS2012
2014	10	9	3	5	1	—	NAICS2012
2015	9	9	3	4	2	—	NAICS2012
2016	8	8	3	4	1	—	NAICS2012
2017	8	8	3	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	6	6	—	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	8	7	—	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	5	5	—	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	5	5	—	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	8	8	3	4	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	8	8	3	4	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 80045. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
80010	1.4 mi	69	2023
80011	2.5 mi	77	2023
80239	2.9 mi	52	2023
80238	3.1 mi	69	2023
80012	3.2 mi	134	2023
80230	3.3 mi	18	2023
80247	4.0 mi	11	2023
80220	4.3 mi	63	2023
80207	4.3 mi	35	2023
80266	4.5 mi	1	2016
80017	4.6 mi	35	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.