BMIE Market 80230

Denver County, Colorado · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	10,449 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,159 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	5,455 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±535 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	7,559 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	3,825 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$99,750 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±21,580 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	45.7 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$2,247 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±189 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$829,000 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±85,314 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	2.8 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	18 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 80230
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	13.2 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+12.5% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+100.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+260.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+1,700.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	21 (range 18–25) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.6 per year, r² 0.63) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	77 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	76 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	74 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	82 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 80230. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.6 restaurants per year, r² 0.63, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Colorado and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 390, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 77 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	76	76	40%	+30.4
Restaurant Opportunity Score	73.9	74	35%	+25.9
Market Momentum Score	82.0	82	25%	+20.5

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 76 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	10,449	71	40%	+28.6
Median household income (ACS)	99,750	81	40%	+32.3
Households (ACS)	5,455	76	20%	+15.1

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 74 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	100	92	35%	+32.2
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	17.2	45	25%	+11.3
Population (ACS)	10,449	71	20%	+14.3
Median household income (ACS)	99,750	81	20%	+16.2

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 82 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	12.5	71	50%	+35.3
10-year restaurant growth	100	92	30%	+27.6
20-year restaurant growth	260	96	20%	+19.1

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (31)

By cuisine

Asian 4 · Coffee 4 · American 3 · Mexican 3 · Pizza 3 · Bakery 2 · Burgers 2 · Japanese 2 · Sandwiches 2 · Sushi 2 · Breakfast 1 · Chinese 1 · Dessert 1 · European 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Italian 1 · Korean 1 · Seafood 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 19 · Bar 8 · Casual dining 5 · Café 3 · Coffee shop 3 · Quick service 3 · Bakery 2 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Dessert 1 · Fast casual 1 · Specialty food shop 1 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
BaekGa	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Korean · Asian	200 Quebec St Bldg 600 unit 115	open
Cafe Mercato	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · European	7561 E Academy Blvd	open
Chop Shop Casual Urban Eatery Chop Shop Casual Urban Eatery	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Burgers	200 Quebec St	open
Comedy On The Rocks	Bar		7711 E Academy Blvd	open
Copper Door Coffee Roasters	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	7581 E Academy Blvd	open
Crisp & Green	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Fast casual	Healthy / salads / bowls	7111 E Lowry Blvd	open
Denver Beer Co. Lowry Denver Beer Co	Brewery / taproom · Casual dining · Bar		7070 E Lowry Blvd	open
Einstein Bros. Bagels Einstein Bros. Bagels	Bakery · Café	Bakery · Coffee	200 Quebec St Bldg 101	open
Fire Within Wood Fired Mobile Ovens	Restaurant (service type not stated)		200 Quebec St	open
Logan House Coffee - Lowry	Coffee shop	Coffee	7111 E Lowry Blvd Ste 101	open
Lowry Beer Garden	Dessert · Bar · Casual dining	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	7577 E Academy Blvd	open
Lucky Cat	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Sushi · Japanese · Asian	7559 E Academy Blvd	open
Masterpiece Kitchen	Casual dining · Bar		84 Rampart Way	open
MOD Pizza MOD Pizza	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	63 N Quebec St Suite 111	open
North County	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Mexican · Seafood	94 Rampart Way	open
Officers Club	Bar · Casual dining	American	84 Rampart Way	open
Pei Wei	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian	200 Quebec St. Bldg. 100, Suite 115	open
QDOBA Mexican Eats	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	200 Quebec St Ste 115	open
Salty Ritas	Restaurant (service type not stated)		200 Quebec St	open
Serioz	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	200 Quebec St	open
Smashburger	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	200 Quebec St	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	200 Quebec St	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	200 Quebec St Bldg 800 , Unit 109	open
The Delectable Egg The Delectable Egg	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast · American	200 Quebec St, Denver, CO 80230-7144, United States	open
The Hangar Club	Bar		7600 E 1st Pl	open
Torchy's Tacos Torchy's Tacos	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	63 N Quebec St	open
Walter's303 Pizzeria & Publik House \| Lowry Walter's303 Uptown	Casual dining · Bar	Pizza	200 Quebec St	open
Woodgrain Lowry Llc Woodgrain Bagels	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bakery · Quick service · Specialty food shop	Bakery · Sandwiches	7559 E Academy Blvd	open
ZENSHI Handcrafted Sushi Zenshi Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	200 Quebec St	open
Raw Roots Juice Bar & Cafe	Café	Coffee	200 Quebec St # 117	closed
Tavern Lowry	Casual dining · Bar		7401 E 1st Ave	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	1	1	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	1	1	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
2001	2	1	1	—	—	1	NAICS1997
2002	5	4	1	2	1	1	NAICS1997
2003	5	5	2	2	1	—	NAICS2002
2004	6	6	3	2	1	—	NAICS2002
2005	7	7	3	2	2	—	NAICS2002
2006	9	9	4	2	3	—	NAICS2002
2007	10	10	4	3	3	—	NAICS2002
2008	11	10	3	4	3	1	NAICS2007
2009	9	9	3	3	3	—	NAICS2007
2010	10	10	3	4	3	—	NAICS2007
2011	10	10	3	4	3	—	NAICS2007
2012	12	10	4	3	3	—	NAICS2012
2013	11	9	3	3	3	—	NAICS2012
2014	16	13	6	3	4	—	NAICS2012
2015	18	15	7	4	4	—	NAICS2012
2016	18	15	8	3	4	—	NAICS2012
2017	21	18	6	6	6	—	NAICS2017
2018	19	16	5	6	5	—	NAICS2017
2019	25	17	6	6	5	—	NAICS2017
2020	27	17	7	6	4	—	NAICS2017
2021	25	17	7	6	4	—	NAICS2017
2022	26	17	6	8	3	—	NAICS2022
2023	27	18	7	8	3	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 80230. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
80247	1.7 mi	11	2023
80220	1.7 mi	63	2023
80010	2.0 mi	69	2023
80246	2.4 mi	57	2023
80224	2.5 mi	38	2023
80012	3.1 mi	134	2023
80207	3.2 mi	35	2023
80045	3.3 mi	8	2023
80231	3.4 mi	57	2023
80206	3.4 mi	121	2023
80222	4.0 mi	98	2023
80238	4.0 mi	69	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.