BMIE Market 80121
Arapahoe County, Colorado · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 18,029 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±979 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 7,270 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±413 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 17,853 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 7,307 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $142,056 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±13,109 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 47.8 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $2,151 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±361 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $707,900 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±17,704 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 7.2 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 24 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 80121 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 10.6 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | +33.3% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +9.1% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +41.2% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +41.2% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 24 (range 20–27) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.3 per year, r² 0.23) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 76 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 86 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 68 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 70 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 80121. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.3 restaurants per year, r² 0.23, confidence Low.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. Colorado and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 390, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 76 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 85.9 | 86 | 40% | +34.4 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 68.3 | 68 | 35% | +23.9 |
| Market Momentum Score | 70.3 | 70 | 25% | +17.6 |
Consumer Market Score: 86 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 18,029 | 80 | 40% | +31.8 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 142,056 | 95 | 40% | +38.0 |
| Households (ACS) | 7,270 | 80 | 20% | +16.0 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 68 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 9.1 | 53 | 35% | +18.6 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 13.3 | 59 | 25% | +14.8 |
| Population (ACS) | 18,029 | 80 | 20% | +15.9 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 142,056 | 95 | 20% | +19.0 |
Market Momentum Score: 70 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | 33.3 | 85 | 50% | +42.5 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 9.1 | 53 | 30% | +16.0 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 41.2 | 59 | 20% | +11.8 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (41)
By cuisine
Coffee 7 · Mexican 6 · Latin American (other) 4 · Pizza 4 · American 3 · Bakery 3 · Italian 3 · Asian 2 · Dessert 2 · Healthy / salads / bowls 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · Middle Eastern 2 · Sandwiches 2 · Breakfast 1 · British / Irish pub food 1 · Burgers 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Chinese 1 · Greek 1 · Japanese 1 · Mediterranean 1 · Seafood 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Steakhouse 1 · Sushi 1 · Thai 1 · Vegetarian 1 · Vietnamese 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 32 · Bar 5 · Café 5 · Coffee shop 4 · Dessert 4 · Bakery 3 · Quick service 3 · Casual dining 2 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Delivery-focused 1 · Fast casual 1 · Food truck 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arby's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 5685 S Broadway | open |
| Atlas Coffee Atlas Coffees | Coffee shop · Café | Coffee · Sandwiches | 6504 S Broadway | open |
| Big Daddy's Pizza | Delivery-focused · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 5829 S Broadway | open |
| Brad B Jammin | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Food truck | 6518 S Broadway St | open | |
| Brew Bomb Cold Brew Equipment | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 31 E Panama Dr Ste B | open | |
| By The Bucket | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian | 5910 S University Blvd | open |
| Catering Concepts - Taco Mojo | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 6518 S Broadway | open | |
| Cherry Crest Seafood Restaurant and Market | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood | 5909 S University Blvd | open |
| Cherry Hills Wine Shop | Bar · Winery / distillery / taproom · Restaurant (service type not stated) | 5910 S University Blvd Ste D4 | open | |
| Chez Jose | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 5910 S University Blvd | open |
| China Dynasty | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese | 6645 S Broadway | open |
| Chipotle Mexican Grill Chipotle Mexican Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 5699 S Broadway | open |
| Chook | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 2500 E Orchard Rd Ste C | open |
| Dubb's Pub | Bar | British / Irish pub food | 5301 S Broadway | open |
| El Senor Sol | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 6651 S University Blvd | open |
| Famous Amos Tacos | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 5301 S Broadway St | open |
| Got Yogurt? | Quick service · Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 5859 S University Blvd | open |
| Great Harvest Bread Co. | Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Bakery · Coffee | 5910 S University Blvd | open |
| Hungry Gene | Café | Coffee | 6518 S Broadway | open |
| iVibe Coffee | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Coffee | 5549 S Broadway | open |
| Mama Sol Cafe | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Mexican · Latin American (other) · Coffee | 6439 S Broadway | open |
| Menya Sushi Bar Menya Ramen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi · Asian | 5910 S University Blvd | open |
| Na Favola Trattoria & Pizzeria | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian · Pizza | 5909 S University Blvd | open |
| Nekter Juice Bar Nekter Juice Bar | Juice, smoothie, tea | Juice / smoothies · Vegetarian · Healthy / salads / bowls | 2500 E Orchard Rd | open |
| ON's Thai Cuisine | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Thai | 5969 S University Blvd | open |
| Pho Broadway | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Vietnamese · Asian | 6645 S Broadway | open |
| Ruth's Chris Steak House | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Steakhouse | 1 E Belleview Dr | open |
| Sansone Bistro | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 5969 S University Blvd | open |
| Sazza Pizza + Salads | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Fast casual | Pizza · Italian · Healthy / salads / bowls | 2500 E Orchard Rd | open |
| Sipps and Sammies | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | American | 5910 S University Blvd Suite A12 | open |
| Smoking Caterpillar Hookah Lounge | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) | 5501 S Broadway Ste 105 | open | |
| Solid Grounds Coffee House | Coffee shop | Coffee | 6504 S Broadway | open |
| Starbucks Coffee Company Starbucks | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 5910 S University Blvd | open |
| T & K Smith Enterprises Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 6657 S Broadway | open | |
| Taco Bell Taco Bell | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Pizza · Mexican | 5572 S Broadway | open |
| TCBY | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 5910 S University Blvd | open |
| The Bundt Shoppe The Bundt Shoppe | Bakery · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | 5910 CO-177 | open |
| The Castle Bar and Grill | Casual dining · Bar | Burgers | 6657 S Broadway | open |
| The Original Pancake House | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Breakfast · American | 5900 S University Blvd D | open |
| Tzatziki's | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Greek · Middle Eastern · Mediterranean | 5919 S University Blvd | open |
| We Knead Donut | Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert | Dessert · Middle Eastern · Juice / smoothies · Bakery | 5999 S University Blvd | open |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 17 | 17 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 14 | 14 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 12 | 10 | — | — | — | 2 | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 20 | 18 | — | — | — | 2 | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 24 | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 23 | 21 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 22 | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 18 | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 19 | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 20 | 17 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 22 | 19 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 3 | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 22 | 20 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 22 | 20 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 16 | 14 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 21 | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 2 | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 23 | 18 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 2 | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 23 | 19 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 23 | 19 | 11 | 7 | 1 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 26 | 21 | 10 | 8 | 3 | 3 | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 26 | 22 | 9 | 8 | 4 | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 24 | 20 | 9 | 8 | 2 | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 24 | 20 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 23 | 19 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 23 | 20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 22 | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 24 | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 22 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 25 | 22 | 10 | 6 | 6 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 27 | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 27 | 24 | 8 | 9 | 7 | — | NAICS2022 |