BMIE Market 80126

Douglas County, Colorado · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	44,882 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,604 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	16,058 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±547 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	39,698 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	14,237 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$169,882 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±7,306 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	41.7 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$2,550 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±194 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$782,000 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±21,469 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	10.8 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	64 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 80126
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	16.4 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+1.6% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+3.2% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+25.5% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+255.6% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	65 (range 62–68) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.2 per year, r² 0.23) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	76 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	96 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	69 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	53 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 80126. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.2 restaurants per year, r² 0.23, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Colorado and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 390, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 76 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	96.3	96	40%	+38.5
Restaurant Opportunity Score	69.5	69	35%	+24.3
Market Momentum Score	53.5	53	25%	+13.4

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 96 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	44,882	96	40%	+38.3
Median household income (ACS)	169,882	98	40%	+39.1
Households (ACS)	16,058	95	20%	+18.9

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 69 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	3.2	48	35%	+17.0
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	14.3	55	25%	+13.9
Population (ACS)	44,882	96	20%	+19.1
Median household income (ACS)	169,882	98	20%	+19.5

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 53 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	1.6	58	50%	+29.0
10-year restaurant growth	3.2	48	30%	+14.5
20-year restaurant growth	25.5	50	20%	+9.9

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (105)

By cuisine

Coffee 16 · American 10 · Pizza 10 · Bakery 9 · Sandwiches 9 · Asian 8 · Burgers 7 · Dessert 6 · Mexican 5 · Breakfast 4 · Chicken / wings 4 · Healthy / salads / bowls 4 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 4 · BBQ 3 · Chinese 3 · Japanese 3 · Juice / smoothies 3 · Tea / bubble tea 3 · Vegetarian 3 · Indian 2 · Italian 2 · Latin American (other) 2 · Middle Eastern 2 · Noodles / ramen / pho 2 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 2 · Sushi 2 · British / Irish pub food 1 · Caribbean 1 · Cuban 1 · Greek 1 · Korean 1 · Mediterranean 1 · Steakhouse 1 · Vietnamese 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 53 · Quick service 23 · Coffee shop 14 · Café 10 · Bakery 9 · Dessert 9 · Bar 8 · Juice, smoothie, tea 5 · Casual dining 4 · Specialty food shop 3 · Other 3 · Brewery / taproom 2 · Delivery-focused 1 · Fast casual 1 · Food truck 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
3 Freaks Brewery	Brewery / taproom · Bar		7140 E County Line Rd	open
5x5 Capital, Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		3982 Red Cedar Dr	open
Ali Baba Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Middle Eastern	8800 S Colorado Blvd	open
Allegro Coffee Company Allegro Coffee Company	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	9366 S Colorado Blvd	open
Baskin Robbins Baskin-Robbins	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	3626 E Highlands Ranch Pkwy Suite C120 Suite C120	open
Beau Jo's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	2690 E County Line Rd	open
Boba Tea Direct	Juice, smoothie, tea	Tea / bubble tea · Juice / smoothies	9457 S University Blvd	open
Byblos Express Byblos Cafe Greek and Lebanese	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Middle Eastern · Mediterranean · Greek	9385 S Colorado Blvd	open
Camille's Sidewalk Cafe	Coffee shop	Coffee	4004 Red Cedar Dr	open
Casa Caliente Mexican Restaurant	Casual dining · Bar	Mexican · Latin American (other)	8800 S Colorado Blvd	open
Chick-fil-A Chick-fil-A	Quick service	Chicken / wings · Sandwiches	3700 E Highlands Ranch Pkwy	open
Chili's Grill & Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2070 E. County Line Rd.	open
Chipotle Mexican Grill Chipotle Mexican Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	9579 S University Blvd Lot 3A	open
CM Chicken - Highlands Ranch	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Korean · Asian	9385 S Colorado Blvd	open
Cornzapoppin - Highlands Ranch	Other · Dessert	Dessert	9555 S University Blvd Unit 104	open
Crumbl - Highlands Ranch	Dessert	Dessert	9557 S University Blvd Unit 102	open
Cuba Cuba Highlands Ranch CUBA CUBA Restaurants	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cuban · Latin American (other) · Caribbean	9567 S University Blvd	open
Culinary Creations, Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2660 E County Line Rd Unit B	open
Dairy Queen Dairy Queen	Dessert · Quick service	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	9435 S University Blvd	open
Dickey's Barbecue Pit	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	4004 Red Cedar Dr	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Quick service · Delivery-focused	Pizza	9579 S University Blvd	open
Egg Roll King	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	7142 E County Line Rd	open
Einstein Bros. Bagels Einstein Bros. Bagels	Bakery	Bakery · Sandwiches	9385 S Colorado Blvd Unit 110	open
Einstein Bros. Bagels Einstein Bros. Bagels	Bakery	Bakery · Breakfast	7120 E County Line Road	open
Enchanted Grounds	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	8800 S Colorado Blvd	open
Fajita Pete's - Highlands Ranch	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	9385 S Colorado Blvd Unit 109	open
Firehouse Subs Firehouse Subs	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	9559 S. University Blvd., Ste 108	open
Five Guys Five Guys	Quick service	Burgers · American	9352 S Colorado Blvd	open
Food Truck - Max T	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Food truck	British / Irish pub food	2680 E County Line Rd	open
Four Seasons Asian Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian	9559 S University Blvd	open
Good Times Burgers & Frozen Custard Good Times Burgers & Frozen Custard	Quick service	Burgers · American	9401 S University Blvd	open
Great Taste Indian & More	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Vegetarian · Indian	9563 S University Blvd	open
Highlands Ranch Optical	Restaurant (service type not stated)		9567 S University Blvd	open
IHOP	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Coffee · Breakfast · American	9565 S University Blvd	open
It's Just Wings	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	2070 E. County Line Rd.	open
JackdawBakery	Bakery	Bakery	8845 Jackdaw St	open
Jersey Mike's Jersey Mike's Subs	Quick service · Specialty food shop	Sandwiches	9362 S. Colorado Blvd. Ste. 0-4	open
Jimmy John's Jimmy John's	Quick service · Specialty food shop	Sandwiches	9567 S University Blvd Suite D-2	open
Juki Sushi and Asian Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian · Sushi · Japanese	8800 S Colorado Blvd #B	open
KFC KFC	Quick service	Chicken / wings · American	1960 East County Line Road	open
Kreativebaking.com	Bakery	Bakery	9457 S University Blvd PMB 306	open
Kung Fu Tea	Juice, smoothie, tea	Tea / bubble tea	9559 S University Blvd	open
LaMar's Donuts and Coffee LaMar's Donuts and Coffee	Bakery · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Coffee · Bakery	9360 S Colorado Blvd	open
Le Peep Le Peep Cincinnati	Café	Breakfast · Coffee · American	7156 E County Line Rd	open
Long John Silver's	Quick service		3984 Red Cedar Dr	open
Lost Coffee	Coffee shop	Coffee	10420 Backcountry Dr	open
Max Taps	Bar · Brewery / taproom		2680 E County Line Rd	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	8667 S Quebec St	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	9235 S Broadway	open
MOD Pizza MOD Pizza	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	3622 E Highlands Ranch Pkwy	open
Nekter Juice Bar Nekter Juice Bar	Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies · Vegetarian · Healthy / salads / bowls	3620 E Highlands Ranch Pkwy	open
Nicolo's Chicago Style Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	9463 S University Blvd	open
Noir Hookah Lounge	Bar		7132 E County Line Rd	open
Noodles & Company Noodles & Company	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Noodles / ramen / pho	9563 S University Blvd	open
Olive Garden Olive Garden	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	2520 E County Line Rd	open
Panda Express	Quick service	Chinese · Asian	9563 South University Blvd.	open
Panera Bread Panera Bread	Bakery · Café	Bakery · Sandwiches · Coffee	9579 S University Blvd	open
Papa Murphy's Papa Murphy's - Jefferson City	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	9559 South University Blvd	open
Par Bar Patio	Bar	Pizza		open
Parry's Pizza Parry's Pizza	Casual dining · Bar	Pizza	9567 S University Blvd	open
Pei Wei Asian Kitchen Pei Wei	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian · Chinese	9352 S Colorado Blvd	open
Pho Vy	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Vietnamese · Noodles / ramen / pho · Asian	4004 Red Cedar Dr	open
Pizza Hut Pizza Hut	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	9385 S Colorado Blvd #106 #106	open
Pizza Hut Express Starbucks	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Pizza · Coffee	1950 E County Line Rd	open
Pizza Takeout & Delivery Papa Murphy's	Quick service			open
Qdoba Mexican Grill Qdoba	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	9364 S Colorado Blvd Highlands Ranch	open
R L Inc D/b/a Eggroll King	Restaurant (service type not stated)		7142 E County Line Rd	open
RauHaus Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · BBQ	8937 S Miners St	open
Rita's Italian Ice & Frozen Custard	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	9559 S University Blvd, Unit 107	open
Rocket Fizz Highlands Ranch	Dessert		9567 S University Blvd Ste C-1	open
RTJN Hill	Restaurant (service type not stated)		0641 Ashfield Street	open
Rush Bowls Rush Bowls	Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies · Vegetarian · Healthy / salads / bowls	9579 S University Blvd #180	open
Sharetea Highlands Ranch	Juice, smoothie, tea	Tea / bubble tea	9579 S University Blvd Unit 180	open
Smashburger	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	9563 S University Blvd Ste A	open
Smoking Cave Cigar Lounge	Bar		5435 Boatworks Dr	open
Star Tickets	Coffee shop	Coffee	9449 S University Blvd	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Coffee shop · Café · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	9360 S Colorado Blvd	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	9551 S University	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Coffee shop · Café · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	8243 So. Quebec	open
Starbucks	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee	1950 E County Line Rd (Target Highland, S Ranch T-271)	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	4000 Red Cedar Drive	open
Stretch Zone	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian · Sushi · Japanese	9579 S University Blvd Ste #120	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	3996 Red Cedar Dr Unit A2	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	2030 E County Line Rd	open
Subway Restaurants	Quick service		10585 Mountain Vista Rdg	open
Sushi Mango	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese	9579 S University Blvd Unit 150	open
Sweetgreen sweetgreen	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Fast casual	Healthy / salads / bowls	3620 East Highlands Ranch Parkway suite 101	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	3984 Red Cedar Drive	open
Tart and Soul Bakery	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	9005 S Laurel Ct	open
Taste Of Highlands Ranch	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	80126 United States	open
Taste of Philly Taste Of Philly	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches · American	2660 E County Line Rd	open
Texas Road House Texas Roadhouse Philippines	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse · BBQ		open
The Egg	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast · American	8800 S Colorado Blvd	open
The Waterford Restaurant Group Inc.	Restaurant (service type not stated)		4004 Red Cedar Dr Unit C4	open
Thunder Strom Burger	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	2114 Scheuvront Drive	open
Toastique Toastique	Café · Coffee shop	Coffee · Healthy / salads / bowls	9567 S University Blvd Ste C3	open
Total Vegan Indian	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Indian		open
Twisted Sugar	Restaurant (service type not stated)		3624 E Highlands Ranch Pkwy	open
Valor Career Center	Restaurant (service type not stated)		3775 Grace Blvd	open
Village Center Liquors	Restaurant (service type not stated)		9553 S University Blvd	open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service	Burgers · American	9485 S. University Blvd.	open
White Rock Tavern	Casual dining · Bar			open
Wingstop Wingstop	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	American · Chicken / wings	9559 S University Blvd Unit 106	open
Yogurtini Self-Serve	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Ice cream / frozen desserts	3996 Red Cedar Dr	open
Colorado Smokin Subs One Llc	Other	Sandwiches	9559 S University Blvd	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	19	18	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1995	20	20	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	24	24	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	37	37	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	38	38	18	16	4	—	NAICS1997
1999	39	38	18	15	5	—	NAICS1997
2000	38	37	17	16	4	—	NAICS1997
2001	44	42	17	19	5	—	NAICS1997
2002	50	49	16	25	7	—	NAICS1997
2003	53	51	17	26	8	—	NAICS2002
2004	57	55	18	26	11	—	NAICS2002
2005	61	56	19	27	10	—	NAICS2002
2006	63	57	20	26	11	—	NAICS2002
2007	65	60	20	29	11	1	NAICS2002
2008	66	60	19	28	13	2	NAICS2007
2009	67	62	19	32	11	1	NAICS2007
2010	68	65	19	34	12	1	NAICS2007
2011	72	69	18	39	12	1	NAICS2007
2012	69	67	21	37	9	—	NAICS2012
2013	62	62	20	33	9	—	NAICS2012
2014	60	60	20	31	9	—	NAICS2012
2015	64	62	20	33	9	1	NAICS2012
2016	67	65	21	33	11	1	NAICS2012
2017	65	64	19	35	10	—	NAICS2017
2018	66	63	20	33	10	—	NAICS2017
2019	68	65	19	35	11	—	NAICS2017
2020	64	62	19	31	12	—	NAICS2017
2021	66	63	19	34	10	—	NAICS2017
2022	68	64	21	32	11	—	NAICS2022
2023	67	64	22	31	11	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 80126. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
80130	2.3 mi	10	2023
80129	2.6 mi	70	2023
80122	2.7 mi	84	2023
80124	3.9 mi	98	2023
80120	4.4 mi	72	2023
80121	4.7 mi	24	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.